WEEKLY ECONOMIC INDICATORS

Transkripsi

1 ASIA STOCK INDEX Page 1 of 5 MARKET UPDATE & OUTLOOK Asia: Brent crude tembus $50 per barel untuk pertama kalinya dalam hampir 7 bulan pada hari Kamis, mengangkat saham terkait komoditas dan energi di Asia, meskipun kekhawatiran soal kenaikan suku bunga AS dan melambatnya ekonomi Cina membatasi reli. Indeks Nikkei naik 0,1%, memangkas kenaikan sebelumnya seiring menguatnya yen, sementara indeks MSCI untuk saham Asia-pasifik diluar Jepang naik 0,4%. Saham Cina sempat jatuh lebih dari 1%, dengan indeks CSI300 sentuh level terendah sejak 11 Maret setelah data menunjukkan keuntungan pada perusahaan milik negara merosot 8,4% y/y dalam 4 bulan pertama di 2016, sementara utang naik 18%. Namun demikian, di akhir sesi indeks CSI300 dan Shanghai masingmasing berhasil ditutup menguat 0,2% dan 0,3%. Eropa: Bursa saham Eropa bergerak stabil pada hari Kamis dengan saham perbankan tertekan setelah adanya rights issue oleh Banco Popular Spanyol yang menambah kekhawatiran akan diikuti oleh bank-bank lainnya untuk memperkuat balance sheets mereka. Indeks FTSEurofirst 300 dan STOXX 600 masing-masing naik 0,2% dan 0,1% setelah disesi sebelumnya keduanya tembus level tertinggi 4 minggu oleh reli 2 hari saham perbankan. Bursa Inggris juga bergerak stabil pasca tembus level tertinggi 1 bulan, menyusul reli pada saham pertambangan mengimbangi tekanan dari saham sektor energi dan perbankan. Indeks FTSE 100 ditutup menguat 0,04% di 6265,65. AS & Global Markets: Harga minyak terkonsolidasi setelah tembus di atas $50 per barel untuk pertama kalinya selama sekitar 7 bulan, sementara bursa AS ditutup hampir datar pasca reli tajamnya selama 2 hari. Minyak berjangka telah naik hampir 90% dari level terendah 12 tahun yang ditembusnya pada musim dingin tahun ini. Indeks dolar melemah 0,2% setelah rilis data durable goods orders menjadikan ketidakpastian kenaikan suku bunga Fed. Order untuk barang tahan lama AS (durable goods orders) memang meningkat di bulan April, namun minat belanja bisnis AS melemah untuk bulan ketiga berturut-turut di tengah lesunya permintaan untuk mesin. Fokus perhatian pasar saat ini tertuju pada Kepala Fed Janet Yellen yang akan memberikan pernyataan di sebuah acara panel yang diselenggarakan oleh Harvard University pada hari Jumat ini, hari dimana data revisi pertama PDB-Q1 AS dan sentimen konsumen AS dirilis. ASIA AND GLOBAL MARKET SPOT PRICE 2016 HIGH / LOW.N225.KS200.HSI.DJI /.SPX /.SSEC RECORD HIGH (29/Dec/89) (03/May/11) (30/Oct/07) (19/May/2015) (20/May/2015) (16/Oct./07) 2015 HIGH (24/Jun/2015) (24/Apr/2015) (27/Apr/2015) (19/May/2015) (20/May/2015) (12/Jun/2015) 2016 HIGH LOW (12/Feb/16) (20/Jan/16) (12/Feb/16) (20/Jan/16) (11/Feb/16) (27/Jan/16) 2015 LOW (16/Jan/2015) (29/Sep/2015) (26/Aug/2015) RECORD LOW (06/Jul/50) (16/Jun/98) (31/Aug/67) (17/Jan/55) (23/Nov./82) (29/Jul/94) Closing Prices 26 Mei 2016 CLOSE CHANGE CLOSE CHANGE.DJI / 0.13%.N /0.09% /.SPX / 0.02%.KS /0.14% /.IXIC / 0.14%.HSI /0.14% JPY= / 0.39% /.SSEC /0.27% KRW= / 0.15% /CLc1(Oil) / 0.32% DISCLAIMER: All contents of This Report have been prepared by Research Dept. and are provided solely for informational purpose. We have taken reasonable measures to ensure the accuracy of the report, however, do not guarantee its accuracy and will not accept liability for any consequential loss or damage which may arise directly or indirectly from any use of the report.

2 Page 2 of 5 WEEKLY ECONOMIC INDICATORS DATE WIB CTY INDICATORS PER ACTUAL FORECAST LAST REV MON/23-May JP Exports YY Apr % JP Imports YY Apr % JP Trade Balance Total Yen Apr B JP Nikkei Mfg PMI Flash May IND US FOMC Bullard Speaks HK Consumer Price Index Apr 2.7 N/A % US Markit Mfg PMI Flash May IND 50.8 TUE/24-May AU RBA Stevens Speaks US New Home Sales-Units Apr M US New Home Sales Chg MM Apr % US Rich Fed Comp Indx May -1 9 IND US Rich Fed Services Index May 11 N/A IND 15 WED/25-May AU Construction Work Done Q % US Build Permits R Numb. MM Apr 1.13 N/A M US Build Permits R Chg. MM Apr 4.9 N/A % US Adv Goods Trade Balance Apr B US Monthly Home Price MM Mar % US Monthly Home Price YY Mar 6.1 N/A % US Monthly Home Price Index Mar N/A IND US EIA Crude Inventories w/e M THU/26-May KR Consumer Sentiment Ind May 99 N/A IND JP Reuters Tankan DI May 2 N/A IND AU Capital Expenditure Q % AU Building Capex Q % AU Plant/Machinery Capex Q % HK Imports Apr -4.5 N/A % HK Exports Apr -2.3 N/A % US Initial Jobless Claims W/E K US Jobless Claims 4-Week Avg. W/E N/A K US Continued Jobless Claims W/E M US Durable Goods Apr % US Pending Homes Index Apr N/A IND US Pending Sales Chg. Apr % US KC Fed Manufacturing May -11 N/A IND US KC Fed Composite Index May -5-4 IND -4 FRI/27-May JP CPI Core Nationwide YY Apr -0.4 % JP CPI Overall Nationwide Apr N/A % JP CPI Core Tokyo YY May -0.4 % JP CPI Overall Tokyo May N/A % US Corporate Profits Prelim Q1 N/A % US GDP 2nd Estimate Q1 0.9 % US GDP Sales Prelim Q1 1.1 % US GDP Cons Spending Prelim Q1 N/A % US GDP Deflator Prelim Q1 0.7 % US Core PCE Prices Prelim Q1 2.1 % US PCE Prices Prelim Q1 0.3 % US UoM Sentiment Final May 95.4 IND US UoM Conditions Final May IND US UoM Expectations Final May 86.6 IND 87.5 (Source: Reuters-FXstreet-DailyFX-

3 ASIA STOCK INDEX Page 3 of 5 SSIamM6 (Nikkei June Futures) Last Trading Date: 13 Jun Trendline Support di sekitar Reli dekati level psikologi di DATE OPEN HIGH LOW RANGE CLOSE SETTLE CHANGE % CHANGE VOLUME 26 May SSIpmM May SSIamM May SSIpmM May SSIamM May SSIpmM May SSIamM May SSIpmM May SSIamM May SSIpmM May SSIamM (25/May) (23/May) (25/May) (03/May) (22/Apr) (07/Apr) (04/Jan) (12/Feb) ANALYSIS & High 01/Feb/2016 (Peak) High 25/Apr/2016 (Peak) High 28/Apr/2016 (Reaction high) Pivot line (1-D chart) Reaction low (1-H chart) Trendline support Low 23/May/ Low 13/May/2016 BUY STOP LOSS

4 Page 4 of 5 KSM6 (Kospi June Futures) Exp. Date: 09 Jun Rebound sedang uji area resistance di sekitar 242 Target uptick di 244 DATE OPEN HIGH LOW RANGE CLOSE SETTLE CHANGE % CHANGE VOLUME 26 May May May May May (26/May) (23/May) (02/May) (23/May) (20/Apr) (08/Apr) (20/Apr) (20/Jan) ANALYSIS & High 02/May/ High 11/May/2016 (Reaction high) High 12/May/ High 13/May/ Pivot line Low 25/May/ Pivot line Low 29/Feb/2016 (Reaction low) BUY STOP LOSS

5 Page 5 of 5 HSIK6 (Hang Seng May Futures) Exp. Date: 30 May 2016 Target uptick di Waspadai dibuka menguat di sekitar 20400! DATE OPEN HIGH LOW RANGE CLOSE SETTLE CHANGE % CHANGE VOLUME 26 May May May May May May (25/May) (24/May) (03/May) (13/May) (21/Apr) (08/Apr) (04/Jan) (12/Feb) ANALYSIS & High 28/Apr/2016 (Peak) High 29/Apr/ High 03/May/ High 04/May/ Low 26/May/ Pivot line (1-D chart) Pivot line (1-D chart) Low 24/May/2016 (Reaction low) BUY STOP LOSS