MARKET UPDATE & OUTLOOK

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1 z Page 1 of 12 MARKET UPDATE & OUTLOOK Bursa saham global menguat di hari Senin, sementara dolar tertekan terhadap sejumlah rivalnya, setelah Kepala Federal Reserve Janet Yellen mengatakan suku bunga nampaknya masih dalam perjalanan, namun tidak menyebutkan secara spesifik kapan kenaikan itu akan dilakukan. Wall Street menguat dengan indeks S&P 500 tembus level tertinggi 7 bulan, berkat komentar Yellen dan juga kenaikan pada saham minyak dan energi, sementara harga obligasi AS turun. Kalangan ekonom saat ini memprediksi The Fed akan menunggu hingga sidang bulan Juli sebelum menaikkan suku bunga, yang berarti bahwa keputusan kebijakan moneter akan dibuat pasca referendum Inggris pada 23 Juni yang akan menentukan apakah keluar dari Uni Eropa ataukah tidak. Pekan ini investor akan mencermati data revisi pertumbuhan ekonomi Jepang (Rabu) yang diprediksi akan tumbuh lebih pesat dari perkiraan di kuartal pertama menyusul belanja modal turun lebih sedikit dari perkiraan, meskipun nampaknya data revisi ini belum akan mengubah kesan ekonomi yang terlihat lesu. PDB-Q1 tahunan Jepang ditaksir tumbuh 1,9% setelah data awal menunjukkan pertumbuhan 1,7% dan untuk data PDB-QQ diprediksi naik 0,5%, dari laporan awal 0,4%. Disamping data Jepang, investor juga akan disuguhi sidang bank sentral Selandia Baru (RBNZ) pada hari Kamis yang diprediksi unchanged di 2,25%. Selasa 07 Juni 2015 WIB CTY INDICATORS PER ACTUAL FORECAST PREV. REV GB BRC Retail Sales YY May N/A % JP Foreign Reserves May N/A B AU RBA Cash Rate Jun 1.75 % AU RBA Rate Statement JP Coincident Indicator MM Apr N/A IND DE Industrial Output MM Apr 0.7 % GB Halifax House Prices MM May 0.3 % HK FX Reserves May N/A B EZ GDP Revised QQ Q1 0.5 % US Labor Costs Revised Q1 4.0 % CA Ivey PMI May N/A IND US Consumer Credit Apr B Laporan dibuat untuk tujuan informatif & dapat dijadikan bahan perbandingan atas prediksi lain namun tidak harus menjadi satu-satunya referensi dalam pengambilan keputusan untuk masuk pasar. Dengan demikian, segala sesuatu yang menyangkut akibat dari transaksi yang dilakukan nasabah, sepenuhnya menjadi tanggung jawab nasabah. RESEARCH DEPARTMENT PT VALBURY ASIA FUTURES Menara Karya 9th Floor, Jl. HR Rasuna Said Blok X-5 Kav. 1-2 Jakarta Indonesia, Phone :

2 Page 2 of 12 EUR/ Interest Rate: 0.00% (EU)/0.25%-0.50% (US) Daily EUR= 01/02/ /06/2016 (GMT) Cndl; EUR=; Bid 07/06/2016; 1,1353; 1,1358; 1,1347; 1,1353 EMA; EUR=; Bid(Last); 20 07/06/2016; 1,1258 WMA; EUR=; Bid(Last); 55 07/06/2016; 1, Price 1,15 1,14 1,13 1, ,11 1,1 1,09 1,08 1,07 Rangkaian kenaikan level high harian RSI flat dekati area jenuh beli Value 50 RSI; EUR=; Bid(Last); 14; Exponential 07/06/2016; 65,960 Value Mom; EUR=; Bid(Last); 14 07/06/2016; 0, Februari 2016 Maret 2016 April 2016 Mei 2016 Juni 2016 June June June June May (06/Jun) (06/Jun) (06/Jun) (01/Jun) (03/May) (30/May) (03/May) (05/Jan) High May High May High May High June Reaction low on 1-H chart Low June Reaction low on 1-H chart Reaction low on daily chart BUY SELL STOP LOSS

3 Page 3 of 12 /JPY Interest Rate: 0.25%-0.50% (US)/0-0.1% (JP) RSI mulai keluar dari zona oversold Rebound potensial tes area pivot line di sekitar June June June June May (06/Jun) (06/Jun) (01/Jun) (06/Jun) (30/May) (03/May) (29/Jan) (03/May) High 01/Jun/ High 02/Jun/ High 03/Jun/ Pivot line (1-D chart) Trendline support Reaction low (1-H chart) Low 03/May/2016 (Bottom) Low 15/Oct/2014 (Bottom) BUY SELL ---- STOP LOSS

4 Page 4 of 12 GBP/ Interest Rate: 0.1% (GB)/0.25%-0.50% (US) Short-term support di Trendline support di sekitar Target downtick di June June June June May (06/Jun) (06/Jun) (03/Jun) (06/Jun) (03/May) (16/May) (04/Jan) (29/Feb) High 29/Dec/ High 04/Jan/2016 (Reaction high) High 03/May/2016 (Peak) High 03/Jun/ Low 16/May/2016 (Bottom) Low 21/Apr/2016 (Reaction low) Low 18/Apr/2016 (Reaction low) Low 14/Apr/2016 (Reaction low) BUY ---- SELL STOP LOSS

5 Page 5 of 12 /CHF Interest Rate: 0.25%-0.50% (US)/-1.25 to -0.25% (CH) Koreksi dekati area support di Target downtick di Waspadai RSI sudah oversold (28) June June June June May UNCH (06/Jun) (06/Jun) (01/Jun) (06/Jun) (30/May) (03/May) (29/Jan) (03/May) High 10/Mar/2016 (Peak) The level of psychology High 30/May/2016 (Reaction high) High 06/Jun/ Low 12/May/2016 (Reaction low) Low 05/May/ Low 04/May/ Pivot line BUY ---- SELL STOP LOSS

6 Page 6 of 12 AUD/ Interest Rate: 2.0% (AU)/0.25%-0.50% (US) Daily AUD= 03/02/ /06/2016 (GMT) EMA; AUD=; Bid(Last); 20 07/06/2016; 0,7306 WMA; AUD=; Bid(Last); 55 07/06/2016; 0,7394 Cndl; AUD=; Bid 07/06/2016; 0,7364; 0,7369; 0,7357; 0, Price 0,78 0,77 0, ,7 RSI; AUD=; Bid(Last); 14; Exponential 07/06/2016; 64,756 Value Mom; AUD=; Bid(Last); 14 07/06/2016; 0,0130 Value Februari 2016 Maret 2016 April 2016 Mei 2016 Juni ,75 0,74 0,73 0,72 Penguatan harian dekati puncak trend channel harian RSI harian flat dekati area jenuh beli June June June June May (06/Jun) (06/Jun) (06/Jun) (02/Jun) (03/May) (24/May) (20/Apr) (15/Jan) Reaction high on 1-H chart High May High May High June Reaction low on 1-H chart Low May Reaction low on daily chart Reaction low on daily chart BUY SELL STOP LOSS

7 Page 7 of 12 NZD/ Interest Rate: 2.25% (NZ)/0.25%-0.50% (US) Daily NZD= 29/01/ /06/2016 (GMT) Cndl; NZD=; Bid 07/06/2016; 0,6920; 0,6924; 0,6912; 0,6916 EMA; NZD=; Bid(Last); 20 07/06/2016; 0,6817 WMA; NZD=; Bid(Last); 55 07/06/2016; 0, Price 0,7 0,695 0,69 0,685 0, ,675 0,67 0,665 0,66 0,655 0,65 0,645 0,64 Rangkaian naik level high harian RSI harian flat masuk area jenuh beli RSI; NZD=; Bid(Last); 14; Exponential 07/06/2016; 68,835 Value Mom; NZD=; Bid(Last); 14 07/06/2016; 0,0178 Value Februari 2016 Maret 2016 April 2016 Mei 2016 Juni 2016 June June June June May (06/Jun) (06/Jun) (06/Jun) (01/Jun) (03/May) (30/May) (19/Apr) (20/Jan) High June 11, Reaction high on 1-H chart Reaction high on 1-H chart High June Reaction low on 1-H chart Low June Low June Low May 31 BUY SELL STOP LOSS

8 Page 8 of 12 EUR/JPY Interest Rate: 0.00% (EU)/0-0.1% (JP) Membentuk double bottom di sekitar Daily trend bearish Target uptick di 123 June June June June May (06/Jun) (06/Jun) (01/Jun) (06/Jun) (12/May) (06/May) (29/Jan) (06/Jun) High 31/May/ Trendline resistance High 01/Jun/ High 02/Jun/ Low 06/Jun/ Low 03/Apr/2013 (Bottom) Low 25/Feb/2013 (Bottom) Low 24/Jan/2013 BUY SELL ---- STOP LOSS

9 Page 9 of 12 /CAD Interest Rate: 0.25%-0.50% (US)/0.5% (CA) Koreksi berpotensi uji area support di Key support di sekitar WEEKLY OPEN CURRENT PRICE (06/Jun) (06/Jun) (02/Jun) (06/Jun) (24/May) (03/May) (20/Jan) (03/May) High 05/Apr/2016 (Peak) High 24/May/2016 (Peak) High 03/Jun/ High 06/Jun/ Low 12/May/2016 (Reaction low) Low 04/May/ Pivot line Low 03/May/2016 BUY --- SELL STOP LOSS

10 Page 10 of 12 GOLD (XAU/) Daily XAU= 11/03/ /06/2016 (GMT) Price Ozs Cndl; XAU=; Bid 06/06/2016; 1.242,4000; 1.248,4000; 1.239,5500; 1.244,8600 EMA; XAU=; Bid(Last); /06/2016; 1.237,3934 WMA; XAU=; Bid(Last); 55 06/06/2016; RSI; XAU=; Bid(Last); 14; Exponential 06/06/2016; 59,932 Value Ozs Mom; XAU=; Bid(Last); 14 06/06/2016; -34,7400 Value Maret 2016 April 2016 Mei 2016 Juni Penguatan dekati puncak trend channel harian RSI flat jauhi area jenuh jual AM FIX (16.30 WIB) PM FIX (21.00 WIB) June June June June May (06/Jun) (06/Jun) (06/Jun) (01/Jun) (02/May) (30/May) (02/May) (04/Jan) High May High May Reaction high on 1-H chart High June Low June Reaction low on 1-H chart Reaction low on 1-H chart Low June 02 BUY SELL STOP LOSS

11 Page 11 of 12 SILVER (XAG/) Daily XAG= 09/03/ /06/2016 (GMT) Cndl; XAG=; Bid 06/06/2016; 16,3870; 16,5310; 16,3300; 16,4580 EMA; XAG=; Bid(Last); 20 06/06/2016; 16,4308 WMA; XAG=; Bid(Last); 55 06/06/2016; 16, RSI; XAG=; Bid(Last); 14; Exponential 06/06/2016; 55,899 Value Ozs Mom; XAG=; Bid(Last); 14 06/06/2016; -0,7730 Value Maret 2016 April 2016 Mei 2016 Juni 2016 Price Ozs 17, , , ,5 Penguatan jauhi area bawah trendline hariannya Rangkaian naik level high harian RSI harian flat Help desk close price (16.457) previous (16.391) June June June June May (06/Jun) (06/Jun) (06/Jun) (01/Jun) (02/May) (30/May) (02/May) (12/Jan) Reaction high on 1-H chart High May High May High May Reaction low on 1-H chart Low June Low Apr Reaction low on daily chart BUY SELL STOP LOSS

12 Page 12 of 12 CLN6/ (OIL) (Exp.: 21 Jun Reuters) Daily CLN Cndl; CLN6; Trade Price 06/06/2016; 48,88; 49,90; 48,71; 49,71 WMA; CLN6; Trade Price(Last); 55 06/06/2016; 46,49 EMA; CLN6; Trade Price(Last); 20 06/06/2016; 48, /03/ /06/2016 RSI; CLN6; Trade Price(Last); 14; Exponential 06/06/2016; 66,210 Value Bbl Mom; CLN6; Trade Price(Last); 14 06/06/2016; 1,29 Value Maret 2016 April 2016 Mei 2016 Juni 2016 Price Bbl Tunjukkan rangkaian penguatan level low harian RSI naik, dekati puncak trend channel June June June June May (06/Jun) (06/Jun) (06/Jun) (01/Jun) (26/May) (10/May) (26/May) (11/Feb) High Oct 12, Reaction high on daily chart High Nov 05, High June Low June Low June Low May Reaction low on daily chart BUY SELL STOP LOSS