ASIA AND GLOBAL MARKET SPOT PRICE 2016

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1 ASIA STOCK INDEX Page 1 of 6 MARKET UPDATE & OUTLOOK Asia: Saham Asia dan emas melemah di hari Rabu sedangkan yield obligasi bergerak dekat level tertinggi 2 pekan karena pasar terguncang oleh laporan media yang mengisyaratkan kemungkinan penarikan program pembelian obligasi oleh Bank Sentral Eropa. Indeks MSCI untuk saham Asia- Pasifik diluar Jepang merosot 0,4% sementara indeks Nikkei ditutup naik 0,5% didukung oleh mlemahnya yen. Adapun pasar Cina tutup sepekan ini. Bloomberg baru-baru ini telah melaporkan bahwa ECB mungkin akan menarik 80 milyar euro (atau setara dengan $90 milyar) dari program pembelian obligasi bulanan secara bertahap sebelum mengakhiri program pelonggaran kuantitatif, menurut pejabat yang tidak ingin disebutkan namanya pada bank sentral negara-negara zona euro. Sementara itu, sejumlah pernyataan hawkish pejabat The Fed kian memperbesar peluang kenaikan suku bunga AS di bulan Desember, dengan pasar saat ini memberi peluang sebesar 63%. Eropa: Laporan mengenai kemungkinan penarikan bertahapan program pembelian obligasi ECB juga turut menekan bursa Eropa di hari Rabu dengan saham utilitas dan properti mendapat pukulan terhebat. Indeks STOXX 600 ditutup melemah 0,6% dan catat penurunan sekitar 6% sepanjang Bursa Inggris juga melemah pasca tembus rekor tertinggi di hari sebelumnya, dengan saham pertambangan Polymetal terkoreksi karena adanya kekhawatiran tentang pembayaran dividen dan United Utilities terpukul setelah RBC Capital Markets men-downgrade peringkatnya menjadi "underperform". Indeks FTSE ditutup melemah 0,6%. AS & Global Markets: Indeks utama AS ditutup menguat pada hari Rabu, didukung oleh naiknya saham keuangan ditengah kondisi data ekonomi yang membaik dan juga saham energi setelah harga minyak naik ke level tertinggi Juni. Yield Treasury AS juga naik setelah data menunjukkan sektor jasa AS rebound ke level tertinggi 11 bulan di bulan September, sebuah indikasi membaiknya pertumbuhan ekonomi. Penurunan stok minyak AS selama 5 pekan berturut-turut dan harapan akan dicapainya kesepakatan diantara produsen minyak dunia untuk memangkas produksi minyaknya bulan depan telah mendorong kenaikan harga minyak ke level tertinggi sejak Juni. Dolar bergerak tipis terhadap sejumlah rivalnya sementara sterling berhasil rebound 0,2% setelah terkoreksi di bawah $1.27 dan menembus level terendah 3 dekade terhadap dolar. Weekahead: Fokus utama pasar pekan ini akan tertuju pada sejumlah data ekonomi AS yang akan mencapai puncaknya pada rilis data non-farm payrolls untuk melihat peluang kenaikan suku bunga AS pada sidang The Fed Desember. Juga akan ada update untuk ekonomi AS oleh IMF, dimana estimasi PDB 2016 akan diturunkan lagi setelah memangkasnya menjadi 2,2% dari 2,4% di bulan Juli. Dari Eropa, pasar akan mengikuti terus perkembangan langkah penyelesaian masalah yang menimpa Deutsche Bank. ASIA AND GLOBAL MARKET SPOT PRICE 2016 HIGH / LOW.N225.KS200.HSI.DJI /.SPX /.SSEC RECORD HIGH (29/Dec/89) (03/May/11) (30/Oct/07) (19/May/2015) (20/May/2015) (16/Oct./07) 2015 HIGH (24/Jun/2015) (24/Apr/2015) (27/Apr/2015) (19/May/2015) (20/May/2015) (12/Jun/2015) 2016 HIGH (04/Jan/16) (07/Sep/16) (09/Sep/16) (15/Aug/16) (15/Aug/16) (04/Jan/16) 2016 LOW (24/Jun/16) (20/Jan/16) (12/Feb/16) (20/Jan/16) (11/Feb/16) (27/Jan/16) 2015 LOW (16/Jan/2015) (24/Aug/2015) (29/Sep/2015) (24/Aug/2015) (24/Aug/2015) (26/Aug/2015) RECORD LOW (06/Jul/50) (16/Jun/98) (31/Aug/67) (17/Jan/55) (23/Nov./82) (29/Jul/94) Closing Prices 05 Oktober 2016 CLOSE CHANGE CLOSE CHANGE.DJI / 0.62%.N /0.50% /.SPX / 0.43%.KS /0.07% /.IXIC / 0.50%.HSI /0.42% JPY= / 0.59% /.SSEC HOLIDAY /0.23% KRW= / 0.14% /CLc1 (Oil) / 2.07% DISCLAIMER: All contents of This Report have been prepared by Research Dept. and are provided solely for informational purpose. We have taken reasonable measures to ensure the accuracy of the report, however, do not guarantee its accuracy and will not accept liability for any consequential loss or damage which may arise directly or indirectly from any use of the report.

2 Page 2 of 6 WEEKLY ECONOMIC INDICATORS DATE WIB CTY INDICATORS PER ACTUAL FORECAST LAST REV Mon/03-Oct 05:30 AU AIG Manufacturing Index Sep 49.8 N/A ind :50 JP Tankan Big Mf Index Q3 6 7 ind 6 06:50 JP Tankan Big Mf Outlook DI Q3 6 8 ind 6 06:50 JP Tankan Big Non-Mf Index Q ind 19 06:50 JP Tankan big non-mf outlook Q ind 17 06:50 JP Tankan All Big Capex Est Q % :50 JP Tankan Small Mf Index Q ind -5 06:50 JP Tankan Small Mf Outlook DI Q ind -7 06:50 JP Tankan Small Non-Mf Index Q3 1-1 ind 0 06:50 JP Tankan Small non-mf outlook Q ind -4 06:50 JP Tankan All Small Capex Est Q % :30 JP Nikkei Mfg PMI Sep ind :45 US Markit Mfg PMI Final Sep ind :00 US Construction Spending MM Aug % :00 US ISM Manufacturing PMI Sep ind :00 US ISM Mfg Prices Paid Sep ind :00 US ISM Manufacturing Employment Idx Sep ind :00 US ISM Manufacturing New Orders Idx Sep 55.1 N/A ind 49.1 Tue/04-Oct 06:00 KR Current Account Balance Aug 5.79 N/A b :30 AU Building Approvals* Aug % :30 AU Private House Approvals Aug -1.3 N/A % :30 AU ANZ Internet Job Ads Sep -0.3 N/A % :30 AU RBA Cash Rate* Oct % :00 JP Consumer Confidence Index* Sep ind US ISM-New York Index Sep N/A ind US ISM-NY Biz Conditions Sep 49.6 N/A ind 47.5 Wed/05-Oct 05:30 AU AIG Services Index Sep 48.9 N/A ind :00 KR CPI Growth* Sep % :00 KR CPI Growth YY* Sep % :30 AU Retail Sales MM* Aug % HK Nikkei PMI Sep 49.3 N/A ind :15 US ADP National Employment Sep k :30 US International Trade MM $ Aug b :45 US Markit Services PMI Final Sep ind :45 US Markit Comp Final PMI Sep 52.3 N/A ind :00 US Durables Ex-Def, R MM Aug -0.8 N/A % :00 US Durable Goods, R MM Aug 0.1 N/A % :00 US Factory Orders MM Aug % :00 US Durables Ex-Transport R MM Aug -0.2 N/A % :00 US Non defense Cap Ex-Air R MM Aug 0.9 N/A % :00 US Factory Ex-Transport MM Aug 0.0 N/A % :00 US ISM N-Mfg PMI Sep ind :00 US ISM N-Mfg Bus Act Sep ind :00 US ISM N-Mfg Employment Index Sep 57.2 N/A ind :00 US ISM N-Mfg New Orders Index Sep 60.0 N/A ind :00 US ISM N-Mfg Price Paid Index Sep 54.0 N/A ind :30 US EIA Weekly Crude Stocks w/e m :30 US EIA Weekly Dist. Stocks w/e m :30 US EIA Weekly Gasoline Stocks w/e m ~07Oct : CN FX Reserves (Monthly)* Sep N/A t 3.19 Thu/06-Oct 04:00 KR FX Reserves* Sep N/A b :30 AU Trade Balance G&S (A$)* Aug m :30 AU Goods/Services Imports* Aug N/A % :30 AU Goods/Services Exports* Aug N/A % 3.0

3 Page 3 of US Challenger Layoffs Sep N/A k :30 US Initial Jobless Claims w/e 257 k US Jobless Claims 4-Week Avg. w/e N/A k US Continued Jobless Claims w/e m Fri/07-Oct 05:30 AU AIG Construction Index Sep N/A ind :50 JP Foreign Reserves Sep N/A b :00 JP Overtime Pay Aug N/A % :00 JP Coincident Indicator MM* Aug N/A ind :00 JP Leading Indicator* Aug N/A ind :30 HK FX Reserves Sep N/A b :30 US Non-Farm Payrolls Sep 175 k :30 US Private Payrolls Sep 170 k :30 US Manufacturing Payrolls Sep -5 k :30 US Government Payrolls Sep N/A k 25 19:30 US Unemployment Rate Sep 4.9 % :30 US Average Earnings MM Sep 0.2 % :30 US Average Workweek Hrs Sep 34.4 h :30 US Labor Force Participation Sep N/A % :30 US U6 Underemployment Sep N/A % :00 US Wholesale Inventory (y), R MM Aug -0.1 % :00 US Wholesale Sales MM Aug 0.2 % -0.4 Sat/08-Oct 02:00 US Consumer Credit Aug b :45 CN Caixin Services PMI Sep N/A ind 52.1 (Source: Reuters-FXstreet-DailyFX- Tradingeconomics-forexfactory,

4 Page 4 of 6 SSIamZ6 (Nikkei Dec Futures) Last Trading Date: 12 Dec Reli berlanjut mendekati level psikologi Hourly trend bullish namun RSI sudah overbought Short-term support di DATE OPEN HIGH LOW RANGE CLOSE SETTLE CHANGE % CHANGE VOLUME 05 Oct SSIpmZ Oct SSIamZ Oct SSIpmZ Oct SSIamZ Oct SSIpmZ Oct SSIamZ Sep SSIpmZ Sep SSIamZ Sep SSIpmZ Sep SSIamZ WEEKLY OCTOBER SEPTEMBER 2016 HIGH LOW HIGH LOW HIGH LOW HIGH LOW (05/Oct) (03/Oct) (05/Oct) (03/Oct) (02/Sep) (27/Sep) (04/Jan) (12/Feb) RESISTANCE SUPPORT RECOMMENDATION ANALYSIS & RECOMMENDATION High 31/May/2016 (Peak) Peak level (1-H chart) Peak level (1-H chart) Peak level (1-H chart) Reaction low (1-H chart) Reaction low (1-H chart) Pivot line (1-H chart) Pivot line (1-H chart) BUY SELL ---- STOP LOSS TARGET 17060

5 Page 5 of 6 KSZ6 (Kospi Dec Futures) Exp. Date: 08 Dec Masih bergerak di kisaran Rebound berpotensi uji trendline resistance di sekitar Area support di DATE OPEN HIGH LOW RANGE CLOSE SETTLE CHANGE % CHANGE VOLUME 05 Oct Oct Oct H O L I D A Y 30 Sep Sep Sep WEEKLY OCTOBER SEPTEMBER 2016 HIGH LOW HIGH LOW HIGH LOW HIGH LOW (04/Oct) (05/Oct) (04/Oct) (05/Oct) (08/Sep) (19/Sep) (08/Sep) (20/Jan) ANALYSIS & RECOMMENDATION RESISTANCE SUPPORT RECOMMENDATION High 27/May/ High 29/May/2015 (Reaction high) High 07/Sep/2016 (Peak) High 29/Sep/ Low 05/Oct/ Pivot line Low 27/Sep/ Low 21/Sep/2016 BUY SELL ---- STOP LOSS TARGET

6 Page 6 of 6 HSIV6 (Hang Seng Oct Futures) Exp. Date: 28 October 2016 Area upperline dari pola symmetrical triangle pecah Daily trend bullish Reli berpotensi uji level psikologi di DATE OPEN HIGH LOW RANGE CLOSE SETTLE CHANGE % CHANGE VOLUME 05 Oct Oct Oct Sep (HSIV6) Sep (HSIV6) Sep (HSIV6) Sep (HSIU6) WEEKLY OCTOBER SEPTEMBER 2016 HIGH LOW HIGH LOW HIGH LOW HIGH LOW (05/Oct) (03/Oct) (05/Oct) (03/Oct) (09/Sep) (01/Sep) (09/Sep) (12/Feb) ANALYSIS & RECOMMENDATION RESISTANCE SUPPORT RECOMMENDATION High 09/Sep/ High 12/Sep/ Reaction high (1-H chart) Reaction high (1-H chart) Reaction low (1-H chart) Reaction low (1-H chart) Reaction low (1-H chart) Pivot line (1-H chart) BUY SELL ---- STOP LOSS TARGET