ASIA AND GLOBAL MARKET SPOT PRICE 2016

Transkripsi

1 ASIA STOCK INDEX Page 1 of 5 MARKET UPDATE & OUTLOOK Asia: Saham Asia ikuti penguatan Wall Street pada hari Rabu, sementara dolar menguat terhadap yen menyusul rilis optimis data ekonomi AS pada malam sebelumnya. Harga minyak naik oleh ekspektasi pengurangan produksi. Indeks MSCI untuk saham Asia-Pasifik diluar Jepang naik 0,5%. Saham Australia juga naik 1%, saham Indonesia bertambah 2% sedangkan Shanghai merosot 0,4% sementara Nikkei naik 0,1%. Bursa AS catata menguat tipis pada Selasa, didukung oleh rilis optimis data kepercayaan konsumen dan perumahan, dengan naiknya saham teknologi telah angkat Nasdaq Composite ke rekor penutupan tertingginya. Eropa: Saham Eropa menguat pada hari Rabu didukung oleh naiknya saham pertambangan dan membantu saham Inggris (FTSE 100) ke rekor penutupan tertingginya. Indeks STOXX 600 ditutup naik 0,3% sementara FTSE 100, yang dibuka kembali pada hari Rabu pasca libur Natal, naik 0,5% dan catat penutupan tertinggi di 7106,08 poin. Sejumlah saham pertambangan yang terapresiasi diantaranya saham BHP Billiton dan Anglo American yang masing-masing naik 4,3% dan 3,6%. AS & Global Markets: Dolar menguat pada hari Rabu oleh ekspektasi meningkatnya pertumbuhan ekonomi AS, sementara saham jatuh secara umum menyusul penjualan rumah turun tajam. Yield Treasury AS tenor 10 tahun menurun, namun kekhawatiran di Eropa mengenai rencana penyelamatan bank Italia telah melebarkan jarak antara yield Bunds Jerman tenor 10 tahun ke level terbesarnya. Di Wall Street, saham jatuh secara umum dengan S&P 500 catat penurunan harian tertajamnya sejak 11 Oktober. Data semalam menunjukkan kontrak untuk membeli rumah di AS jatuh di bulan November ke level terendah selama hampir 1 tahun, sinyal bahwa naiknya suku bunga berpotensi membebani pasar perumahan. Harga minyak, meskipun ditutup melemah, namun tercatat telah menguat sekitar 50% di tahun 2016 setelah jatuh di bulan Januari ke level terendah lebih dari 1 dekade. ASIA AND GLOBAL MARKET SPOT PRICE 2016 HIGH / LOW.N225.KS200.HSI.DJI /.SPX /.SSEC RECORD HIGH (29/Dec/89) (03/May/11) (30/Oct/07) (19/May/2015) (20/May/2015) (16/Oct./07) 2015 HIGH (24/Jun/2015) (24/Apr/2015) (27/Apr/2015) (19/May/2015) (20/May/2015) (12/Jun/2015) 2016 HIGH (21/Dec/16) (21/Dec/16) (09/Sep/16) (20/Dec/16) (13/Dec/16) (04/Jan/16) 2016 LOW (24/Jun/16) (20/Jan/16) (12/Feb/16) (20/Jan/16) (11/Feb/16) (27/Jan/16) 2015 LOW (16/Jan/2015) (29/Sep/2015) (26/Aug/2015) RECORD LOW (06/Jul/50) (16/Jun/98) (31/Aug/67) (17/Jan/55) (23/Nov./82) (29/Jul/94) Closing Prices 28 December 2016 CLOSE CHANGE CLOSE CHANGE.DJI / 0.56%.N /0.01% /.SPX / 0.84%.KS /1.06% /.IXIC / 0.89%.HSI /0.83% JPY= / 0.16% /.SSEC /0.39% KRW= / 0.34% /CLc1 (Oil) / 0.45% DISCLAIMER: All contents of This Report have been prepared by Research Dept. and are provided solely for informational purpose. We have taken reasonable measures to ensure the accuracy of the report, however, do not guarantee its accuracy and will not accept liability for any consequential loss or damage which may arise directly or indirectly from any use of the report.

2 Page 2 of 5 WEEKLY ECONOMIC INDICATORS DATE WIB CTY INDICATORS PER ACTUAL FORECAST PREV. REV. Mon/26-Dec-16 06:50 JP BOJ Minutes of Oct. 31-Nov.1 Meeting 11:00 JP BOJ Kuroda speaks in Keidanren All Day US Bank Holiday/ Christmas (Observed) All Day AU Bank Holiday/ Christmas Day Tue/27-Dec-16 04:00 KR Consumer Confidence Dec 94.2 N/A 96 06:30 JP CPI Index Nov N/A :30 JP Unemployment Rate Nov 3.1% 3.0% 3.0% 06:30 JP Job-To-Applicant Ratio Nov :30 JP All Household Spending YY* Nov -1.5% 0.2% -0.4% 06:30 JP All Household Spending MM Nov -0.6% 0.4% -1.0% 06:30 JP CPI Core Nationwide YY Nov -0.4% -0.3% -0.4% 06:30 JP CPI Overall Nationwide Nov 0.5% N/A 0.1% 06:30 JP CPI Core Tokyo YY* Dec -0.6% -0.4% -0.4% 06:30 JP CPI Overall Tokyo Dec 0% N/A 0.5% 12:00 JP Housing Starts YY Nov 6.7% 10.2% 13.7% 13.1% 12:00 JP Construction Orders YY* Nov -6.0% N/A 15.2% 21:00 US CaseShiller 20 MM SA Oct 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 21:00 US CaseShiller 20 MM NSA Oct 0.1% N/A 0.1% 21:00 US CaseShiller 20 MM YY Oct 5.1% 5.1% 5.1% 5.0% 22:00 US Consumer Confidence Dec :00 US Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index Dec :30 US Dallas Fed Mfg Bus Idx Dec 15.5 N/A All Day AU Boxing Day/Proclamation Day Wed/28-Dec-16 06:50 JP Industrial Production Prelim Nov 1.5% 1.6% 0.0% 06:50 JP Retail Sales YY Nov 1.7% 0.8% -0.1% 22:00 US Pending Home Index Nov N/A :00 US Pending Sales Change MM Nov -2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 22:30 US Texas Serv Sect Outlook* Dec 19.4 N/A :30 US Dallas Fed Sevices Reve Dec 20.6 N/A 13.7 Thu/29-Dec-16 04:00 KR BOK Manufacturing BSI Jan 73 N/A 72 06:00 KR Industrial Production Growth Nov 1.0% -1.7% 06:00 KR Industrial Production YY Nov 1.4% -1.6% 06:00 KR Service Sector Output Growth Nov N/A -0.2% 06:50 JP BOJ Summary of Opinions at Dec Meeting 15:30 HK Exports* Nov -1.0% -1.8% 15:30 HK Imports* Nov 1.5% 0.5% 20:30 US Adv Goods Trade Balance Nov b b 20:30 US Adv Retail Invty Ex Auto Nov N/A :30 US Adv Wholesale Invty Nov :30 US Initial Jobless Claims w/e 264k 275k 20:30 US Jobless Claims 4-wk Avg w/e N/A k 20:30 US Continuing Jobless Claims w/e 2.030m 2.036m 23:00 US EIA Weekly Crude Stocks w/e m 2.256m 23:00 US EIA Weekly Dist. Stocks w/e 1.833m m 23:00 US EIA Weekly Gasoline Stk w/e 1.500m m Fri/30-Dec-16 06:00 KR CPI Growth* Dec N/A -0.1% 06:00 KR CPI Growth YY Dec N/A 1.3% 07:30 AU Private Sector Credit* Nov 0.5% 0.5% 07:30 AU Housing Credit* Nov N/A 0.6% 15:30 HK Money Supply M3* Nov N/A 8.10% 21:45 US Chicago Purchasing Manager Dec Sat/31-Dec-16 01:00 US Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count Dec-30 N/A N/A (Source: Reuters-FXstreet-DailyFX- Tradingeconomics-forexfactory,

3 Page 3 of 5 SSIamH7 (Nikkei Mar Futures) Last Trading Date: 09 Mar Reversal berkembang setelah gagal breakout area resistance di Koreksi hadapi area support di DATE OPEN HIGH LOW RANGE CLOSE SETTLE CHANGE % CHANGE VOLUME 28 Dec SSIpmH Dec SSIamH Dec SSIpmH Dec SSIamH Dec SSIpmH7 H O L I D A Y 26 Dec SSIamH7 H O L I D A Y 23 Dec SSIpmH Dec SSIamH Dec SSIpmH Dec SSIamH (28/Dec) (28/Dec) (20/Dec) (05/Dec) (30/Nov) (09/Nov) (20/Dec) (12/Feb) High 18/Dec/2015 (Reaction high) Reaction high (1-H chart) Reaction high (1-H chart) Reaction high (1-H chart) Pivot line (1-H chart) Reaction low (1-H chart) Reaction low (1-H chart) Reaction low (1-H chart) BUY ---- SELL STOP LOSS

4 Page 4 of 5 KSH7 (Kospi Mar Futures) Exp. Date: 09 Mar Reli hadapi resistance krusial di Waspadai RSI sudah overbought Short-term support di 259 DATE OPEN HIGH LOW RANGE CLOSE SETTLE CHANGE % CHANGE VOLUME 28 Dec Dec Dec H O L I D A Y 23 Dec Dec Dec (28/Dec) (27/Dec) (21/Dec) (05/Dec) (09/Nov) (09/Nov) (08/Sep) (20/Jan) High 27/May/ High 29/May/2015 (Reaction high) High 07/Sep/ Double Top Reaction low (1-H chart) Low 15/Dec/ Reaction low (1-H chart) Pivot line (1-H chart) BUY SELL ---- STOP LOSS

5 Page 5 of 5 HSIF7 (Hang Seng Jan Futures) Exp. Date: 26 January 2017 RSI di zona oversold Area sedang diuji Short-term resistance di DATE OPEN HIGH LOW RANGE CLOSE SETTLE CHANGE % CHANGE VOLUME 28 Dec (HSIF7) Dec (HSIZ6) Dec H O L I D A Y 23 Dec Dec Dec Dec (19/Dec) (23/Dec) (08/Dec) (23/Dec) (01/Nov) (09/Nov) (09/Sep) (12/Feb) Reaction high (4-H chart) Reaction high (4-H chart) Reaction high (4-H chart) High 28/Dec/ Low 23/Dec/2016 (Reaction low) Low 14/Jul/2016 (Reaction low) Pivot line Low 12/Jul/2016 BUY SELL ---- STOP LOSS