DAILY. Terdorong Sentimen Global dan Regional, IHSG Berpotensi Terkoreksi. Highlights. Market DAILY RESEARCH

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1 DAILY DAILY RESEARCH 11 April 2022 Market Activity Friday, 08 Apr 2022 Market Index : 7,210.8 Index Movement : % Market Volume : 21,803 Mn shrs Market Value : 13,943 Bn rupiah Leading Movers MDKA 5, BBCA 7, ADMR 2, UNTR 28, Lagging Movers BBRI 4, BUKA CPIN 5, BANK 2, Foreign Net Buy / Sell (Regular Market) Net Buy (IDR bn) Net Sell (IDR bn) TLKM 291 ADRO 47 BBRI 178 BUMI 42 BBCA 164 BMRI 35 ADMR 124 ESSA 18 UNTR 117 NATO 17 Money Market USD/IDR 14, JIBOR O/N Dual Listing Securities TLKM EIDO Global Indices DJIA 34, S&P 500 4, Euro Stoxx 3, MSCI World 3, STI 3, Nikkei 26, Hang Seng 21, Commodities* Brent Oil Coal (ICE) CPO Malay 6, Gold 1, Nickel 34, Tin 43, *last price per closing date Highlights MAPI : Membukukan Laba Bersih IDR Miliar di FY21 Market Terdorong Sentimen Global dan Regional, IHSG Berpotensi Terkoreksi Pada penutupan Jumat lalu (08/4), pasar AS bergerak cenderung melemah. Dow Jones menguat +0.4%, S&P 500 melemah -0.27%, dan Nasdaq melemah -1.34%. Perhatian pasar AS pada minggu ini akan tertuju pada rilis rilis data consumer dan producer CPI pada hari rabu waktu setempat serta data retail sales dan consumer sentiment pada hari kamis waktu setempat. Yield UST 10Y meningkat ke level 2.72%, dan USD index meningkat +0.18% ke level Pasar komoditas terpantau bergerak menguat pada Jumat (08/4) kemarin; minyak WTI menguat +1.88% ke level USD 97.84/bbl, Brent menguat +1.76% ke level USD /bbl. Harga batubara menguat +3.53% ke level USD 291.6/ton, nikel menguat +2.63% ke level USD 34,584, dan CPO menguat +1.07% ke level MYR 6,681. Sedangkan harga emas terpantau flat di level USD 1,932/toz). Bursa Asia bergerak mixed pada Jumat (08/4) kemarin. Kospi menguat +0.17%, Nikkei menguat +0.36%, Hang Seng menguat +0.3%, dan Shanghai menguat +0.5%. IHSG ditutup menguat +1.17% pada perdagangan Jumat lalu (08/4) ke level 7,210, dengan net buy sebesar IDR 1.4 triliun. Di pasar reguler, investor asing mencatatkan net buy sebesar IDR 1.3 triliun, dan pada pasar negosiasi tercatat net buy sebesar IDR 45.7 miliar. Angka net buy asing tertinggi di pasar reguler dicatatkan oleh TLKM (IDR miliar), BBRI (IDR miliar), dan BBCA (IDR miliar). Sementara itu, angka net sell asing tertinggi di pasar reguler dicetak ADRO (IDR 46.6 miliar), BUMI (IDR 41.7 miliar), dan BMRI (IDR 35.2 miliar). Top leading movers adalah MDKA, BBCA, dan ADMR, sedangkan BBRI, BUKA, dan CPIN menjadi top lagging movers. Terjadi penambahan 1,071 kasus baru COVID-19 di Indonesia pada hari Minggu (10/4) namun dengan jumlah kasus sembuh yang meningkat lebih besar +2,493. Daily positive sebesar 0.1% dan overall positive rate sebesar 9.8% (recovery rate: 96.2%; kasus aktif: 72,679). Pagi ini Kospi dibuka melemah -0.23% dan Nikkei dibuka melemah -0.63%. Kami memperkirakan IHSG akan terkoreksi hari ini, seiring dengan sentimen beragam dari pergerakan bursa global dan bursa regional. 1

2 12-May Jun Jul Aug-21 9-Sep-21 9-Oct-21 8-Dec-21 7-Jan-22 6-Feb-22 8-Mar-22 7-Apr May Jun Jul Aug-21 9-Sep-21 9-Oct-21 8-Dec-21 7-Jan-22 6-Feb-22 8-Mar-22 7-Apr-22 3-May May Jun-21 5-Jul Jul Aug-21 6-Sep Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Jan Feb Mar-22 4-Apr May Jun Jul Aug-21 9-Sep-21 9-Oct-21 8-Dec-21 7-Jan-22 6-Feb-22 8-Mar-22 7-Apr-22 3-May May Jun-21 5-Jul Jul Aug-21 6-Sep Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Jan Feb Mar-22 4-Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar-22 COVID-19 Data Indonesia 7 Day Running Covid-19 Data Total 1D Change Total Daily Total d Cases Cases % Deaths Deaths Active Cases % 4/10/2022 6,031, ,597 - (178,568,453) /9/2022 6,031, , (178,568,453) /8/2022 6,030, , (178,569,880) /7/2022 6,028, , (178,571,588) /6/2022 6,026, , (178,573,632) /5/2022 6,023, , (174,436,833) /4/2022 6,015, ,164 - (167,284,625) Average Source: SSI Research, Bloomberg COMMODITIES Gold: Gold 100 Oz Futures (USD/Troi oz) 2,100 2,000 1,900 1,800 1,700 1,600 1,500 Oil: Generic 1st Crude Oil, Brent (USD/Barel) ,400 0 Coal: Newcastle Coal (USD/MT) CPO: Bursa Malaysia Crude Palm Oil (MYR/MT) 8,500 7,500 6,500 5,500 4,500 3,500 2,500 1,500 Pulp: Generic Bleached Softwood Craft Pulp (CNY/MT) 8,000 7,500 7,000 6,500 6,000 5,500 5,000 4,500 4,000 Nickel: London Metal Exchange Nickel Future (USD/MT) 55,000 50,000 45,000 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 2

3 MAPI: Membukukan Laba Bersih IDR Miliar di FY21 Sepanjang 2021, pendapatan MAPI naik +24.1%% yoy menjadi IDR 18.4 triliun. Laba kotornya naik +24.5% yoy menjadi IDR 7.7 triliun, dengan GPM sebesar 41.8% (FY20: 41.6%). MAPI berhasil membukukan laba usaha sebesar IDR 1.2 triliun (FY20: rugi -IDR 57 miliar), dan laba bersih sebanyak IDR 438,9 miliar (FY20: IDR rugi -554 miliar). (Laporan Keuangan) Comment: Angka penjualan dan laba bersih MAPI di 2021 masing-masing mencapai 104.5% dan 110.8% dari proyeksi SSI. Secara stand alone, di 4Q21 pendapatan MAPI naik cukup signifikan (+115.3% qoq, +37.0% yoy) menjadi IDR 6.3 triliun, setelah sebelumnya di 3Q21 mengalami penurunan kinerja akibat PPKM darurat. Selain itu, secara seasonality pendapatan MAPI di 4Q21 memang cenderung lebih tinggi dibandingkan kuartal lain, dan menyumbang 28.5% dari total pendapatan tahunan MAPI secara rata-rata di 5 tahun terakhir. Laba kotor MAPI naik % yoy menjadi IDR 2.7 triliun dengan GPM sebesar 42.1% (3Q21: 38.2%). Laba operasional MAPI naik menjadi IDR 846 miliar (FY20: -IDR 296 miliar), dengan laba bersih sebesar IDR 522 miliar (FY20-: rugi -IDR 355 miliar). Pertumbuhan kinerja MAPI juga didorong oleh penurunan rasio opex/sales menjadi 28.8% (3Q21: 48.3%). Sepanjang FY21, MAPI telah membuka beberapa gerai pertama untuk sejumlah brand baru dalam naungannya, diantaranya Digiplus (Mei elektronik) dan Subway (Oktober restoran sandwich asal US). MAPI: Under review (Previous: MAPI: BUY: 26.3x PE '22E, 3.2x PBV '22E, TP: IDR 1,100) 3

4 Stock Rec. JCI Wgt price TP SSI TP Cons SSI Upside PE (x) PE (x) PBV (x) PBV (x) ROE (%) ROE (%) (%) (IDR) (IDR) (IDR) (%) 22A 23E 22A 23E 22A 23E Banks BBCA HOLD 8.7 7,850 8,100 8, BBRI BUY 8.6 4,610 5,400 5, BMRI HOLD 5.6 7,700 8,000 9, BBNI HOLD 2.4 8,425 8,500 9, BBTN BUY 0.3 1,645 2,200 2, Average Consumer (Staples) ICBP BUY 0.7 7,450 12,000 10, INDF BUY 1.1 6,125 7,150 8, KLBF BUY 1.2 1,580 1,950 1, UNVR BUY 0.8 3,540 4,800 4, SIDO HOLD , Average Cigarette HMSP SELL , GGRM HOLD ,800 32,500 35, Average Healthcare MIKA BUY 0.5 2,400 2,960 2, SILO BUY 0.1 1,190 1,420 1, HEAL BUY 0.4 1,300 5,700 1, Average Poultry CPIN HOLD 1.4 5,500 5,800 6, JPFA HOLD 0.3 1,650 1,800 2, MAIN HOLD WMUU BUY WMPP BUY Average Retail MAPI BUY ,100 1, RALS BUY ACES BUY 0.3 1,085 1,900 1, LPPF SELL 0.2 5,975 3,430 5, ERAA BUY Average Pulp and Paper INKP BUY 0.6 7,925 9,900 10, ALDO BUY 0.0 1,010 2,000 2, Average Media MNCN BUY ,300 1, SCMA BUY FILM BUY 0.0 1,120 1,350 1, Average Telco EXCL BUY 0.4 2,690 3,000 3, ISAT BUY 0.2 5,325 7,250 7, n/a TLKM HOLD 8.6 4,580 5,000 5, Average

5 Stock Rec. JCI Wgt price TP SSI TP Cons SSI Upside PE (x) PE (x) PBV (x) PBV (x) ROE (%) ROE (%) (%) (IDR) (IDR) (IDR) (%) 22A 23E 22A 23E 22A 23E Telco Infra TBIG SELL 0.9 2,970 1,550 3, TOWR BUY 1.0 1,040 1,600 1, MTEL BUY , Average Auto ASII HOLD 5.1 7,000 7,300 7, DRMA BUY ASLC BUY Average Mining Contracting UNTR HOLD ,600 31,000 30, Average Property BSDE BUY ,480 1, PWON BUY SMRA BUY ,200 1, CTRA BUY ,360 1, Average Construction PTPP BUY ,400 1, ADHI BUY ,420 1, WSKT BUY , n/a n/a WIKA BUY ,440 1, WEGE BUY Average Cement INTP BUY ,450 13,000 13, SMGR BUY 0.8 6,675 13,050 9, Average Precast WTON BUY Average Oil and Gas PGAS BUY 0.6 1,395 1,800 1, AKRA BUY ,040 1, MEDC BUY , n/a Average Chemical TPIA SELL ,750 10,250 7, BRPT BUY ,150 1, ESSA SELL 0.4 1, , n/a Average Utilities Metal JSMR BUY 0.3 3,710 4,150 5, ANTM BUY 0.9 2,800 3,230 3, MDKA SELL 2.5 5,525 3,000 4, INCO SELL 0.6 7,575 6,900 6, BRMS SELL Average

6 Stock Rec. JCI Wgt price TP SSI TP Cons SSI Upside PE (x) PE (x) PBV (x) PBV (x) ROE (%) ROE (%) (%) (IDR) (IDR) (IDR) (%) 22A 23E 22A 23E 22A 23E Coal ITMG BUY ,475 33,850 31, ADRO HOLD 1.7 3,160 3,200 3, PTBA BUY 0.5 3,600 4,000 4, HRUM HOLD ,900 13,600 15, Average Plantation AALI BUY ,750 14,500 14, LSIP SELL 0.2 1,470 1,370 1, SSMS HOLD 0.1 1,145 1,200 2, TAPG BUY ,050 1, Average Technology ASSA BUY 0.1 2,360 4,300 4, EMTK SELL 1.7 2,840 2,600 2, BUKA BUY n/a n/a Average (88.1) (51.8) Source: SSI Research, Bloomberg Note: GIAA, INKP, PGAS, ITMG, ADRO, MEDC, BRPT, INCO, DOID, TPIA report in USD. Upcoming IPO's Ticker GOTO* Company (Sector) GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (Technology) Listing Potential Mkt. Cap Offering Shares issued Proceeds Net Profit P/E (IDRbn) Period Price (IDR) mn shares % (IDRbn) Usage (IDRbn) (x) 11-Apr 400, Apr , Working Capital and capital injection to subsidiaries Financial Result Period -8,169 n.a 7M21 SICO* Sigma Energy Compressindo (Energy) 8-Apr Apr Capex, working capital and debt payment M21 TLDN* WINR* Teladan Prima Agro (Consumer Non- Cyclicals) Winner Nusantara Jaya ( Properties & Real Estate) 12-Apr 7, Apr Debt payment, capex and capital injection to subsidiaries M21 18-Apr Apr , Working capital and landbank acquisition M21 MTMH* Murni Sadar (Healthcare) 20-Apr 2,441-3, Apr 1,180-1, Lending facility to subsidiary, capex and working capital M21 IBOS* Indo Boga Sukses (Consumer Non- Cyclicals) 25-Apr Apr , Capital injection to subsidiaries, working capital and capex OLIV* Oscar Mitra Sukses Sejahtera (Consumer Non- Cyclicals) 29-Apr Apr Working Capital and Capex M21 Source : e-ipo.co.id, *Note: Subject to OJK approval 6

7 Regional Indices Price Chg (Pts) Change (%) 1 Year 1D 1D 1W 1M 3M YTD 1YR High Low World 3,012 (1.88) (0.06) (2.25) 6.06 (5.67) (6.79) ,262 2,792 U.S. (S&P) 4,488 (11.93) (0.27) (1.27) 6.75 (4.77) (5.83) ,819 4,057 U.S. (DOW) 34, (0.28) 5.39 (4.22) (4.45) ,953 32,273 Europe 3, (1.54) 4.65 (9.88) (10.24) (3.03) 4,415 3,387 Emerging Market 1, (2.90) 3.89 (9.26) (8.45) (15.22) 1,395 1,024 FTSE 100 7, ,687 6,788 CAC 40 6, (2.04) 4.60 (8.84) (8.46) ,385 5,756 Dax 14, (1.13) 4.81 (10.40) (10.08) (6.24) 16,290 12,439 Indonesia 7, ,216 5,742 Japan 26,869 (116.43) (0.43) (3.13) 6.78 (4.79) (6.68) (9.74) 30,796 24,682 Australia 7, ,633 6,758 Korea 2, (1.93) 1.63 (7.61) (9.17) (13.64) 3,316 2,592 Singapore 3,383 (20.95) (0.62) (1.05) ,466 3,024 Malaysia 1, (0.31) 1,623 1,475 Hong Kong 21, (0.57) 6.41 (7.86) (6.52) (23.79) 29,491 18,235 China 3, (0.45) (1.75) (8.85) (10.66) (5.76) 3,724 3,023 Taiwan 17, (2.57) 0.11 (5.49) (5.13) ,620 15,160 Thailand 1, (0.55) ,719 1,501 Philipines 7, (1.89) (1.32) (0.96) (1.47) ,552 6,081 1D 1D 1W 1M 3M YTD 1YR High Low Foreign Reserves (US$Bn) (1.65) (4.01) (4.01) Inflation Rate (yoy, %) Gov Bond Yld (10yr, %) US Fed Rate (%) Exchange Rate (per USD) Price Chg (Pts) Change (%) 1 Year 1D 1D 1W 1M 3M YTD 1YR High Low Indonesia 14, (0.02) (0.38) (0.76) ,635 14,057 Japan (0.14) (1.39) (5.81) (7.40) (7.58) (12.16) UK (0.68) (0.08) (4.46) (3.73) (5.20) Euro (0.75) (0.20) (4.20) (4.22) (8.57) China (0.07) (0.03) (0.73) 0.18 (0.14) Commodity Indicators Price Chg (Pts) Change (%) 1 Year 1D 1D 1W 1M 3M YTD 1YR High Low Oil (Brent) (1.78) (1.73) (6.07) (10.36) CPO 6, (7.43) ,034 3,343 Coal (29.64) Tin 43, (2.36) (10.15) ,000 25,300 Nickel 33, #N/A N/A ,000 15,925 Copper 10, (0.29) ,845 8,740 Gold 1,944 (3.25) (0.17) 0.60 (2.22) ,070 1,691 Silver (0.01) (0.04) 0.92 (4.28) (0.21) Source: Bloomberg, SSI Research 7

8 Research Team Suria Dharma Head of Equity Research, Strategy, Banking, Consumer Staples Lionel Priyadi Macro Equity Strategist Fikri C Permana Senior Economist fikri.permana@samuel.co.id Muhamad Alfatih, CSA, CTA, CFTe Senior Technical Analyst m.alfatih@samuel.co.id William Mamudi, CFTe, CMT Senior Technical Analyst william.mamudi@samuel.co.id Yosua Zisokhi Cement, Cigarette, Paper, Plantation,Telco Infra, Chemicals yosua.zisokhi@samuel.co.id Andreas Kristo Saragih Construction, Toll Roads andreas.kristo@samuel.co.id Dessy Lapagu Aviation, Coal, Metals dessy.lapagu@samuel.co.id Paula Ruth Telco paula.ruth@samuel.co.id Olivia Laura Anggita Healthcare, Property olivia.laura@samuel.co.id M. Farras Farhan Media, Poultry, Oil & Gas, Technology farras.farhan@samuel.co.id Pebe Peresia Automotive, Consumer Staples pebe.peresia@samuel.co.id Adolf Richardo Editor adolf.richardo@samuel.co.id Ashalia Fitri Yuliana Research Associate ashalia.fitri@samuel.co.id Equity Institutional Team Benny Bambang Soebagjo Head of Institutional Equity Sales benny.soebagjo@samuel.co.id Ronny Ardianto Institutional Equity Sales ronny.ardianto@samuel.co.id Anthony Yunus Institutional Equity Sales anthony.yunus@samuel.co.id Fachruly Fiater Sales Trader fachruly.fiater@samuel.co.id Lucia Irawati Sales Trader lucia.irawati@samuel.co.id Suryanti Salim Sales Trader suryanti.salim@samuel.co.id Muhammad Faisal Dealer m.faisal@samuel.co.id Private Wealth Management Evelyn Satyono Head of PWM Equity Sales evelyn.satyono@samuel.co.id Clarice Wijana PWM Equity Sales clarice.wijana@samuel.co.id Gitta Wahyu Retnani PWM Equity Sales gitta.wahyu@samuel.co.id Vincentius Darren PWM Equity Sales darren@samuel.co.id Wahyudi Budiyono Dealer wahyudi.budiyono@samuel.co.id Fixed Income Sales Team R. Virine Tresna Sundari Head of Fixed Income virine.sundari@samuel.co.id Rudianto Nugroho Fixed Income Sales rudianto.nugroho@samuel.co.id Sany Rizal Keliobas Fixed Income Sales sany.rizal@samuel.co.id Julio Simangunsong Fixed Income Sales julio.natanael@samuel.co.id Equity Retail / Online Team Joseph Soegandhi Head of OLT joseph.soegandhi@samuel.co.id Nugroho Nuswantoro Head of Marketing Online Trading nugroho.nuswantoro@samuel.co.id Damargumilang Head of Equity Retail damargumilang@samuel.colid Salt World Widjaja Retail Equity Sales salt@samuel.co.id Widya Meidrianto Equity Retail widya.meidrianto@samuel.co.id Michael Alexander Equity Retail michael.alexander@samuel.co.id DISCLAIMER: Analyst Certification: The views expressed in this research accurately reflect the personal views of the analyst(s) about the subject securities or issuers and no part of the compensation of the analyst(s) was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the inclusion of specific recommendations or views in his research. The analyst(s) principally responsible for the preparation of this research has taken reasonable care to achieve and maintain independence and objectivity in making any recommendations. This document is for information only and for the use of the recipient. It is not to be reproduced or copied or made available to others. Under no circumstances is it to be considered as an offer to sell or solicitation to buy any security. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors. Moreover, although the information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, its accuracy, completeness and reliability cannot be guaranteed. All rights reserved by PT Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia 8