LAMPIRAN 149
150 Lampiran 1. Perhitungan Manfaat Produk Bukan Kayu di TNGL Komoditas Produksi (ton) Harga (Rp) Nilai Randu 1,177 571,050 672,125,850 Rotan 18,064 571,050 10,315,447,200 Damar 319 761,400 242,886,600 Rumbia/Nipah/Sagu 2,645 951,750 2,517,378,750 Kemenyan 37 1,269,000 46,953,000 Gula Aren 870 3,807,000 3,312,090,000 Pala 8,416 8,883,000 74,759,328,000 Nilam 334 10,152,000 3,390,768,000 Kemiri 27,027 12,690,000 342,972,630,000 Kayu Manis 156 12,690,000 1,979,640,000 Madu 1 38,070,000 38,070,000 Vanila 233 63,450,000 14,783,850,000 Sarang Burung 2,209 126,900,000 280,322,100,000 Total 735,353,267,400
151 Lampiran 2. Perhitungan Manfaat Pariwisata terhadap TNGL Besarnya jumlah uang yang dihabiskan oleh wisatawan domestik maupun luar negeri dalam Rupiah adalah sebagai berikut: Wisatawan Domestik Wisatawan LN Pengeluaran Aktual WTP Karcis Masuk WTP Sumbangan 96.029 1.105 5.657 101.925 5.364 72.195 Jumlah Wisatawan domestik adalah 63.417 orang dan wisatawan luar negeri sebanyak 5.987 dimana mengalami peningkatan sebesar 2 persen per tahun.
152 Lampiran 3. Perhitungan Manfaat Air di TNGL Air yang dihasilkan per hari Konsumsi air per hari Harga per 125 liter Manfaat air per hari Manfaat air per tahun : 1.296.000 liter : 125 liter : 836 Rupiah : 104.500 Rupiah : 38.142.500 Rupiah
153 Lampiran 4. Analisis Manfaat-Biaya Kondisi Awal (Suku Bunga Pasar), dengan Discount Rate18 % 1. Produk Bukan Kayu 82,603,388,895 90,772,954,830 99,750,499,813 109,615,933,860 120,457,070,176 132,370,406,787 145,461,985,480 159,848,335,693 175,657,511,750 193,030,232,693 Total Manfaat 87,388,087,227 95,749,414,017 104,926,466,995 114,999,469,159 126,056,559,344 138,194,574,360 151,519,908,467 166,149,457,811 182,211,658,245 199,847,625,748 2. Biaya Operasional 530,501,315 1,254,656,869 675,913,318 1,579,700,998 2,259,034,745 2,259,034,745 6,111,325,860 3,978,723,989 2,389,348,061 2,389,348,061 Total Biaya 678,276,740,958 5,811,849,617 4,045,701,292 6,401,914,656 8,367,696,456 25,526,722,706 32,139,486,890 18,041,845,999 12,815,915,648 16,051,607,255 MANFAAT BERSIH -590,888,653,731 89,937,564,400 100,880,765,703 108,597,554,503 117,688,862,888 112,667,851,654 119,380,421,577 148,107,611,811 169,395,742,597 183,796,018,494 Discount Factor (i=18%) 0.847 0.718 0.609 0.516 0.437 0.370 0.314 0.266 0.225 0.191 PV -500,753,096,382 64,591,758,403 61,399,148,466 56,013,410,481 51,442,886,616 41,735,725,704 37,476,502,807 39,402,277,081 38,191,298,563 35,116,888,294 NPV -75,383,199,966 NET B/C 0.878 IRR 0.1386
154 Lampiran 5. Analisis Manfaat-Biaya dengan Subsidi Suku Bunga, Discount Rate 10% 1. Produk Bukan Kayu 82,603,388,895 90,772,954,830 99,750,499,813 109,615,933,860 120,457,070,176 132,370,406,787 145,461,985,480 159,848,335,693 175,657,511,750 193,030,232,693 Total Manfaat 87,388,087,227 95,749,414,017 104,926,466,995 114,999,469,159 126,056,559,344 138,194,574,360 151,519,908,467 166,149,457,811 182,211,658,245 199,847,625,748 2. Biaya Operasional 530,501,315 1,254,656,869 675,913,318 1,579,700,998 2,259,034,745 2,259,034,745 6,111,325,860 3,978,723,989 2,389,348,061 2,389,348,061 Total Biaya 678,276,740,958 5,811,849,617 4,045,701,292 6,401,914,656 8,367,696,456 25,526,722,706 32,139,486,890 18,041,845,999 12,815,915,648 16,051,607,255 MANFAAT BERSIH -590,888,653,731 89,937,564,400 100,880,765,703 108,597,554,503 117,688,862,888 112,667,851,654 119,380,421,577 148,107,611,811 169,395,742,597 183,796,018,494 Discount Factor (i=10%) 0.909 0.826 0.751 0.683 0.621 0.564 0.513 0.467 0.424 0.386 PV -537,171,503,391 74,328,565,620 75,793,212,399 74,173,590,945 73,075,524,454 63,598,065,014 61,261,032,490 69,093,293,975 71,840,330,998 70,861,321,554 NPV 96,853,434,058 NET B/C 1.141 IRR 0.1386
155 Lampiran 6. Analisis Manfaat-Biaya dengan Subsidi Suku Bunga, Discount Rate 7% 1. Produk Bukan Kayu 82,603,388,895 90,772,954,830 99,750,499,813 109,615,933,860 120,457,070,176 132,370,406,787 145,461,985,480 159,848,335,693 175,657,511,750 193,030,232,693 Total Manfaat 87,388,087,227 95,749,414,017 104,926,466,995 114,999,469,159 126,056,559,344 138,194,574,360 151,519,908,467 166,149,457,811 182,211,658,245 199,847,625,748 2. Biaya Operasional 530,501,315 1,254,656,869 675,913,318 1,579,700,998 2,259,034,745 2,259,034,745 6,111,325,860 3,978,723,989 2,389,348,061 2,389,348,061 Total Biaya 678,276,740,958 5,811,849,617 4,045,701,292 6,401,914,656 8,367,696,456 25,526,722,706 32,139,486,890 18,041,845,999 12,815,915,648 16,051,607,255 MANFAAT BERSIH -590,888,653,731 89,937,564,400 100,880,765,703 108,597,554,503 117,688,862,888 112,667,851,654 119,380,421,577 148,107,611,811 169,395,742,597 183,796,018,494 Discount Factor (i=7%) 0.935 0.873 0.816 0.763 0.713 0.666 0.623 0.582 0.544 0.508 PV -552,232,386,664 78,554,951,874 82,348,754,862 82,848,554,371 83,910,532,719 75,075,346,824 74,344,126,723 86,199,978,530 92,140,060,248 93,432,575,898 NPV 196,622,495,384 NET B/C 1.275 IRR 0.1386
156 Lampiran 7. Analisis Manfaat-Biaya Tanpa Subsidi Bunga (Discount Rate 18%) dan Manfaat Produk Bukan Kayu Turun 20% 1. Produk Bukan Kayu 66,082,711,116 72,618,363,864 79,800,399,850 87,692,747,088 96,365,656,141 105,896,325,430 116,369,588,384 127,878,668,554 140,526,009,400 154,424,186,154 Total Manfaat 70,867,409,448 77,594,823,051 84,976,367,032 93,076,282,387 101,965,145,309 111,720,493,003 122,427,511,371 134,179,790,672 147,080,155,895 161,241,579,210 2. Biaya Operasional 530,501,315 1,254,656,869 675,913,318 1,579,700,998 2,259,034,745 2,259,034,745 6,111,325,860 3,978,723,989 2,389,348,061 2,389,348,061 Total Biaya 678,276,740,958 5,811,849,617 4,045,701,292 6,401,914,656 8,367,696,456 25,526,722,706 32,139,486,890 18,041,845,999 12,815,915,648 16,051,607,255 MANFAAT BERSIH -607,409,331,510 71,782,973,434 80,930,665,740 86,674,367,731 93,597,448,853 86,193,770,297 90,288,024,481 116,137,944,673 134,264,240,247 145,189,971,955 Discount Factor (i=18%) 0.847 0.718 0.609 0.516 0.437 0.370 0.314 0.266 0.225 0.191 PV -514,753,670,771 51,553,413,842 49,256,901,716 44,705,674,637 40,912,307,509 31,928,890,999 28,343,671,083 30,897,125,540 30,270,688,076 27,740,644,593 NPV -179,144,352,776 NET B/C 0.710 IRR 0.0781
157 Lampiran 8. Analisis Manfaat-Biaya Tanpa Subsidi Bunga (Discount Rate 18%) dan Biaya Operasional Naik 20% 1. Produk Bukan Kayu 82,603,388,895 90,772,954,830 99,750,499,813 109,615,933,860 120,457,070,176 132,370,406,787 145,461,985,480 159,848,335,693 175,657,511,750 193,030,232,693 Total Manfaat 87,388,087,227 95,749,414,017 104,926,466,995 114,999,469,159 126,056,559,344 138,194,574,360 151,519,908,467 166,149,457,811 182,211,658,245 199,847,625,748 2. Biaya Operasional 636,601,578 1,505,588,243 811,095,982 1,895,641,198 2,710,841,694 2,710,841,694 7,333,591,032 4,774,468,787 2,867,217,673 2,867,217,673 Total Biaya 678,382,841,221 6,062,780,991 4,180,883,955 6,717,854,856 8,819,503,405 25,978,529,655 33,361,752,062 18,837,590,797 13,293,785,260 16,529,476,867 MANFAAT BERSIH -590,994,753,994 89,686,633,026 100,745,583,039 108,281,614,304 117,237,055,939 112,216,044,705 118,158,156,405 147,311,867,013 168,917,872,985 183,318,148,882 Discount Factor (i=18%) 0.847 0.718 0.609 0.516 0.437 0.370 0.314 0.266 0.225 0.191 PV -500,843,011,859 64,411,543,397 61,316,872,124 55,850,452,041 51,245,397,635 41,568,362,161 37,092,803,172 39,190,578,596 38,083,559,958 35,025,584,392 NPV -77,057,858,384 NET B/C 0.876 IRR 0.1376
158 Lampiran 9. Analisis Manfaat-Biaya dengan Subsidi Bunga (Discount Rate 10%) dan Manfaat Bukan Kayu Turun 20% 1. Produk Bukan Kayu 66,082,711,116 72,618,363,864 79,800,399,850 87,692,747,088 96,365,656,141 105,896,325,430 116,369,588,384 127,878,668,554 140,526,009,400 154,424,186,154 Total Manfaat 70,867,409,448 77,594,823,051 84,976,367,032 93,076,282,387 101,965,145,309 111,720,493,003 122,427,511,371 134,179,790,672 147,080,155,895 161,241,579,210 2. Biaya Operasional 530,501,315 1,254,656,869 675,913,318 1,579,700,998 2,259,034,745 2,259,034,745 6,111,325,860 3,978,723,989 2,389,348,061 2,389,348,061 Total Biaya 678,276,740,958 5,811,849,617 4,045,701,292 6,401,914,656 8,367,696,456 25,526,722,706 32,139,486,890 18,041,845,999 12,815,915,648 16,051,607,255 MANFAAT BERSIH -607,409,331,510 71,782,973,434 80,930,665,740 86,674,367,731 93,597,448,853 86,193,770,297 90,288,024,481 116,137,944,673 134,264,240,247 145,189,971,955 Discount Factor (i=10%) 0.909 0.826 0.751 0.683 0.621 0.564 0.513 0.467 0.424 0.386 PV -552,190,301,372 59,324,771,433 60,804,407,018 59,199,759,396 58,116,651,777 48,654,136,265 46,332,032,741 54,179,208,312 56,941,144,521 55,977,019,380 NPV -52,661,170,529 NET B/C 0.923 IRR 0.0781
159 Lampiran 10. Analisis Manfaat-Biaya dengan Subsidi Bunga (Discount Rate 10%) dan Biaya Operasional Naik 20% 1. Produk Bukan Kayu 82,603,388,895 90,772,954,830 99,750,499,813 109,615,933,860 120,457,070,176 132,370,406,787 145,461,985,480 159,848,335,693 175,657,511,750 193,030,232,693 Total Manfaat 87,388,087,227 95,749,414,017 104,926,466,995 114,999,469,159 126,056,559,344 138,194,574,360 151,519,908,467 166,149,457,811 182,211,658,245 199,847,625,748 2. Biaya Operasional 636,601,578 1,505,588,243 811,095,982 1,895,641,198 2,710,841,694 2,710,841,694 7,333,591,032 4,774,468,787 2,867,217,673 2,867,217,673 Total Biaya 678,382,841,221 6,062,780,991 4,180,883,955 6,717,854,856 8,819,503,405 25,978,529,655 33,361,752,062 18,837,590,797 13,293,785,260 16,529,476,867 MANFAAT BERSIH -590,994,753,994 89,686,633,026 100,745,583,039 108,281,614,304 117,237,055,939 112,216,044,705 118,158,156,405 147,311,867,013 168,917,872,985 183,318,148,882 Discount Factor (i=10%) 0.909 0.826 0.751 0.683 0.621 0.564 0.513 0.467 0.424 0.386 PV -537,267,958,176 74,121,184,319 75,691,647,663 73,957,799,538 72,794,987,885 63,343,031,770 60,633,817,194 68,722,073,154 71,637,667,633 70,677,082,132 NPV 94,311,333,113 NET B/C 1.137 IRR 0.1376
160 Lampiran 11. Analisis Manfaat-Biaya dengan Subsidi Bunga (Discount Rate 10%), Manfaat Produk Bukan Kayu Turun 20%, dan Biaya Operasional Naik 20% 1. Produk Bukan Kayu 66,082,711,116 72,618,363,864 79,800,399,850 87,692,747,088 96,365,656,141 105,896,325,430 116,369,588,384 127,878,668,554 140,526,009,400 154,424,186,154 Total Manfaat 70,867,409,448 77,594,823,051 84,976,367,032 93,076,282,387 101,965,145,309 111,720,493,003 122,427,511,371 134,179,790,672 147,080,155,895 161,241,579,210 2. Biaya Operasional 636,601,578 1,505,588,243 811,095,982 1,895,641,198 2,710,841,694 2,710,841,694 7,333,591,032 4,774,468,787 2,867,217,673 2,867,217,673 Total Biaya 678,382,841,221 6,062,780,991 4,180,883,955 6,717,854,856 8,819,503,405 25,978,529,655 33,361,752,062 18,837,590,797 13,293,785,260 16,529,476,867 MANFAAT BERSIH -607,515,431,773 71,532,042,060 80,795,483,077 86,358,427,531 93,145,641,904 85,741,963,348 89,065,759,309 115,342,199,875 133,786,370,635 144,712,102,343 Discount Factor (i=10%) 0.909 0.826 0.751 0.683 0.621 0.564 0.513 0.467 0.424 0.386 PV -552,286,756,157 59,117,390,132 60,702,842,282 58,983,967,988 57,836,115,208 48,399,103,021 45,704,817,446 53,807,987,491 56,738,481,157 55,792,779,958 NPV -55,203,271,474 NET B/C 0.920 IRR 0.0770
161 Lampiran 12. Analisis Manfaat-Biaya dengan Subsidi Bunga (Discount Rate 7%) dan Manfaat Produk Bukan Kayu Turun 20% 1. Produk Bukan Kayu 66,082,711,116 72,618,363,864 79,800,399,850 87,692,747,088 96,365,656,141 105,896,325,430 116,369,588,384 127,878,668,554 140,526,009,400 154,424,186,154 Total Manfaat 70,867,409,448 77,594,823,051 84,976,367,032 93,076,282,387 101,965,145,309 111,720,493,003 122,427,511,371 134,179,790,672 147,080,155,895 161,241,579,210 2. Biaya Operasional 530,501,315 1,254,656,869 675,913,318 1,579,700,998 2,259,034,745 2,259,034,745 6,111,325,860 3,978,723,989 2,389,348,061 2,389,348,061 Total Biaya 678,276,740,958 5,811,849,617 4,045,701,292 6,401,914,656 8,367,696,456 25,526,722,706 32,139,486,890 18,041,845,999 12,815,915,648 16,051,607,255 MANFAAT BERSIH -607,409,331,510 71,782,973,434 80,930,665,740 86,674,367,731 93,597,448,853 86,193,770,297 90,288,024,481 116,137,944,673 134,264,240,247 145,189,971,955 Discount Factor (i=7%) 0.935 0.873 0.816 0.763 0.713 0.666 0.623 0.582 0.544 0.508 PV -567,672,272,439 62,698,029,028 66,063,530,619 66,123,460,149 66,733,687,467 57,434,548,579 56,226,843,941 67,593,341,185 73,030,850,693 73,807,219,468 NPV 22,039,238,690 NET B/C 1.031 IRR 0.0781
162 Lampiran 13. Analisis Manfaat-Biaya dengan Subsidi Bunga (Discount Rate 7%) dan Biaya Operasional Naik 20% 1. Produk Bukan Kayu 82,603,388,895 90,772,954,830 99,750,499,813 109,615,933,860 120,457,070,176 132,370,406,787 145,461,985,480 159,848,335,693 175,657,511,750 193,030,232,693 Total Manfaat 87,388,087,227 95,749,414,017 104,926,466,995 114,999,469,159 126,056,559,344 138,194,574,360 151,519,908,467 166,149,457,811 182,211,658,245 199,847,625,748 2. Biaya Operasional 636,601,578 1,505,588,243 811,095,982 1,895,641,198 2,710,841,694 2,710,841,694 7,333,591,032 4,774,468,787 2,867,217,673 2,867,217,673 Total Biaya 678,382,841,221 6,062,780,991 4,180,883,955 6,717,854,856 8,819,503,405 25,978,529,655 33,361,752,062 18,837,590,797 13,293,785,260 16,529,476,867 MANFAAT BERSIH -590,994,753,994 89,686,633,026 100,745,583,039 108,281,614,304 117,237,055,939 112,216,044,705 118,158,156,405 147,311,867,013 168,917,872,985 183,318,148,882 Discount Factor (i=7%) 0.935 0.873 0.816 0.763 0.713 0.666 0.623 0.582 0.544 0.508 PV -552,331,545,788 78,335,778,694 82,238,405,541 82,607,525,105 83,588,400,608 74,774,288,777 73,582,961,403 85,736,847,812 91,880,130,842 93,189,651,219 NPV 193,602,444,212 NET B/C 1.269 IRR 0.1376
163 Lampiran 14. Analisis Manfaat-Biaya dengan Subsidi Bunga (Discount Rate 7%), Manfaat Produk Bukan Kayu Turun 20%, dan Biaya Operasional Naik 20% 1. Produk Bukan Kayu 66,082,711,116 72,618,363,864 79,800,399,850 87,692,747,088 96,365,656,141 105,896,325,430 116,369,588,384 127,878,668,554 140,526,009,400 154,424,186,154 Total Manfaat 70,867,409,448 77,594,823,051 84,976,367,032 93,076,282,387 101,965,145,309 111,720,493,003 122,427,511,371 134,179,790,672 147,080,155,895 161,241,579,210 2. Biaya Operasional 636,601,578 1,505,588,243 811,095,982 1,895,641,198 2,710,841,694 2,710,841,694 7,333,591,032 4,774,468,787 2,867,217,673 2,867,217,673 Total Biaya 678,382,841,221 6,062,780,991 4,180,883,955 6,717,854,856 8,819,503,405 25,978,529,655 33,361,752,062 18,837,590,797 13,293,785,260 16,529,476,867 MANFAAT BERSIH -607,515,431,773 71,532,042,060 80,795,483,077 86,358,427,531 93,145,641,904 85,741,963,348 89,065,759,309 115,342,199,875 133,786,370,635 144,712,102,343 Discount Factor (i=7%) 0.935 0.873 0.816 0.763 0.713 0.666 0.623 0.582 0.544 0.508 PV -567,771,431,563 62,478,855,848 65,953,181,298 65,882,430,884 66,411,555,357 57,133,490,531 55,465,678,620 67,130,210,468 72,770,921,286 73,564,294,789 NPV 19,019,187,518 NET B/C 1.026 IRR 0.0770
164 Lampiran 15. Analisis Finansial dan Ekonomi Pengusahaan TNGL (Rp/tahun) Uraian Finansial Ekonomi Tradable Non-Tradable Total Tradable Non-Tradable Total I. PENERIMAAN 1. Wisatawan Domestik 521,340,000 573,474,000 2. Wisatawan Luar Negeri 44,120,000 48,532,000 Total 565,460,000 622,006,000 1. Biaya Operasional 176,833,772 176,833,772 123,783,640 123,783,640 2. Pembangunan Fisik 255,324,866 255,324,866 241,538,730 241,538,730 3. Pembangunan Operasi 179,666,174 179,666,174 161,699,557 161,699,557 Total 356,499,946 255,324,866 611,824,812 285,483,197 241,538,730 527,021,927
165 Lampiran 16. Matrik Analisis Kebijakan Pengelolaan TNGL (Rp/tahun) Komponen Penerimaan Biaya Input Keuntungan Output Tradable Non-Tradable Harga Finansial 565,460,000 356,499,946 255,324,866-46,364,812.00 Harga Ekonomi 622,006,000 285,483,197 241,538,730 94,984,073.00 Dampak Kebijakan -56,546,000.00 71,016,749.00 13,786,136.00-141,348,885.00 Keuntungan Privat (PP) -46,364,812 Rasio Biaya Privat (PCR) 1.22 Keuntungan Sosial (SP) 94,984,073 Rasio Sumberdaya Domestik (DRC) 0.72 Transfer Output (OT) -56,546,000 Koefisien Proteksi Output Nominal (NPCO) 1.98 Transfer Input (IT) 71,016,749 Koefisien Proteksi Input Nominal (NPCI) 1.25 Tranfer Faktor (FT) 13,786,136 Koefisien Proteksi Efektif (EPC) 0.62 Transfer Bersih (NT) -141,348,885 Koefisien Keuntungan (PC) -0.49 Rasio Subsidi Produsen(SRP) -0.23