Weekly Technical View Time to Take Profit Technical Report Feb 23, 2015 Market Recap Pada minggu lalu indeks pergerakan indeks cukup volatile, namun sentiment penurunan BI rate berhasil mendorong indeks mencapai rekor tertinggi baru baik intraday maupun closing. Betrand Raynaldi +62-21-5151140 betrand@dwsec-id.com says astic masih bertahan di area jenuh beli, dan masih naik. Sentiment Investor masih akan berfokus kepada laporan keuangan emiten yang akan mulai banyak keluar pada minggu ini selain dari pada data ekonomi dari luar negeri. This Week s Prediction Walaupun indeks masih bergerak dalam trend naik namun indicator yang sudah di area jenuh beli mengindikasikan akan adanya koreksi dalam rangka konsolidasi. Trading Strategy Sell on Strength Analysts who prepared this report are registered as research analysts in Indonesia but not in any other jurisdiction. PLEASE SEE ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS AND IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES & DISCLAIMERS IN APPENDIX 1 AT THE END OF REPORT.
Technical Analysis Trading Buy IHSG Support 5.350 Resistance 5.427 Sentiment Investor masih akan berfokus kepada laporan keuangan emiten yang akan mulai banyak keluar pada minggu ini selain dari pada data ekonomi dari luar negeri. Close 5.400 OB Technical View Daily Analysis Pada minggu lalu indeks sempat terkoreksi dalam pada hari senin sebelum terus menguat sampai hari jumat, namun sayangnya indeks membuka gap besar di level 5343. Semua indicator mendukung kenaikan ini namun indicator stochastic telah masuk area jenuh beli. Key Charts Chart 1. Daily Chart Chart 2. Weekly Chart Source: HOTS Source: HOTS 2
Sell Stock in Focus Target price 1305/1225 PT. Gajah Tunggal Tbk Close 1360 DC (GJTL) Pada minggu lalu saham GJTL mengalami tekanan jual dengan ditutup turun 7%, penurunan ini diperkirakan masih akan berlanjut dengan target 1305 sebelum ke 1225, hal ini juga didukung oleh deathcross pada indicator. Sehingga gunakan hal ini untuk jual lebih dahulu dan mulai akumulasi lagi di level 1225. Sell PT Alam Sutera Realty Tbk Target price 635 Close 690 OB (ASRI) Saham ASRI pada minggu lalu mengalami kenaikan 8.66% yang disertai dengan peningkatan volume namun penguatan ini masih dalam trend naiknya dan belum dapat menembus resistancenya. Sementara melihat pergerakan daily, terlihat gap di 635 terbuka lebar. Dengan stochastic yang berada di area jenuh beli terlihat downside lebih besar sehingga strategi yang digunakan Sell dan mulai akumulasi beli kembali ketika gap mulai tertutup. Chart 3 Chart 4. Source: HOTS Source: HOTS 3
Technical Analysis Buy On Weakness Target price 755 Stop-loss 720 Close 740 (Daily) OS DM PT Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk (RALS) Tekanan jual saham RALS pada telah jauh berkurang sehingga trend turun telah berubah menjadi konsolidasi, hal ini juga terlihat dari stochastic yang telah masuk di area jenuh jual dan yang mulai meningkat. Kami perkirakan saham RALS akan bergerak antara 755-725, sehingga strategi yang dapat dilakukan trading di range tersebut. Trading Sell PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (persero) Tbk. Target price 12000 Close 12.725 OB (BBRI) Saham BBRI pada minggu lalu naik 6% dan tidak dapat menembus resistancenya, akibat kenaikan yang tinggi ini pada minggu lalu saham BBRI membuat gap di 12025. Dimana secara indicator juga telah masuk area jenuh beli sehingga pada minggu ini koreksi akan berlangung dengan target penurunan ke 12000. Chart 5. Chart 6. Source:HOTS, Source: HOTS, 4
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