Weekly Technical View

Transkripsi

1 Weekly Technical View The Gap must be filled Technical Report Jan 26, 2015 Market Recap Pada minggu lalu indeks mengalami kenaikan 3,4% dan ditutup di level yang merupakan rekor penutupan tertinggi. Betrand Raynaldi says astic golden cross di area jenuh beli sementara dan juga meningkat namun sayangnya volume menurun dibanding minggu lalu. Sentiment Pergerakan IHSG bukan hanya dipengaruhi oleh factor external (dari luar Indonesia) dan harga komoditas dan minyak namun faktor domestic mengenai ketegangan antara polri dan KPK juga akan menjadi sorotan investor. This Week s Prediction Pada minggu ini kami perkirakan akan terkoreksi dengan target menutup gap bawah di 5267 Trading Strategy Buy on Weakness Analysts who prepared this report are registered as research analysts in Indonesia but not in any other jurisdiction. PLEASE SEE ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS AND IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES & DISCLAIMERS IN APPENDIX 1 AT THE END OF REPORT.

2 Technical Analysis Buy On weakness IHSG Support Resistance Close Sentiment Pergerakan IHSG bukan hanya dipengaruhi oleh factor external (dari luar Indonesia) dan harga komoditas dan minyak namun faktor domestic mengenai ketegangan antara polri dan KPK juga akan menjadi sorotan investor. OB DN Technical View Daily Analysis Pada minggu lalu indeks mengalami rally penguatan yang dimulai dari hari selasa sampai jumat, dan 2 kali berturut-turut membuat rekor tertinggi. Semua indicator mendukung penguatan ini, Namun sayangnya pergerakan indeks membuat gap dibawah yakni dilevel 5267 dan volume perdagangan pada hari jumat mulai menurun. Key Charts Chart 1. Daily Chart Chart 2. Weekly Chart 2

3 Sell Stock in Focus Selling price Re Entry Price Close GC PT. Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk (MAPI) Kenaikan 9% pada minggu lalu, melanjutkan kenaikan 4 minggu berturut-turut juga membuat saham MAPI menembus 2 garis resistancenya,namun sayangnya volume transaksi semakin berkurang. Semua indicator menunjukan pelanjutan kenaikan namun secara chart harian indicator telah jenuh beli dan gap di 5475 membuat saham ini terkoreksi. Strategi yang dapat dilakukan adalah jual dulu dengan target masuk kembali di Sell on Strength PT Astra International Tbk Selling price Re entry Price Close OB (ASII) Kenaikan 10% pada minggu telah membuat saham ini kembali masuk area jenuh beli baik mingguan maupun harian, walaupun volume menyertai kenaikan tersebut namun adanya gap dibawah yakni dilevel 7750 dapat membuat ASII rentan terkena profit taking. Sehingga strategi yang dapat dilakukan adalah jual dulu dengan target masuk kembali di Chart 3 Chart 4. 3

4 Technical Analysis Speculate Buy Target price 396 Stop-loss 360 Close 370 OS DN PT Eagle High Plantation Tbk (BWPT) Pada perdagangan minggu lalu, BWPT membentuk doji, indicator stochastic menunjukan oversold dan mulai meningkat walaupin masih menurun, namun dilihat dari daily chart pada minggu lalu saham ini kemungkinan mematahkan trend turunnya. Sehingga strategi yang dilakukan adalah beli dengan target harga di 396. Trading Buy/ Sell On Strength PT Matahari Putra Prima Tbk. Target price (MPPA) Stop Loss Close GC Saham MPPA mengalami rally yang kuat pada minggu lalu dengan penguatan 17%, rally ini juga disertai dengan penningkatan volume, indicator stochastic telah golden cross dan semua indicator mendukung pelanjutan kenaikan. Secara harian volume transaksi mulai melemah pada jumat kemarin, walaupun indicator harian masih mendukung penguatan. Strategi yang dipakai adalah trading buya atau sell on strength dengan target harga di Chart 5. Chart 6. Source:HOTS, Source: HOTS, 4

5 Disclaimers This report is prepared strictly for private circulation only to clients of PT Daewoo Securities Indonesia (DWS). It is purposed only to person having professional experience in matters relating to investments. The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. No warranty (express or implied) is made to the accuracy or completeness of the information. All opinions and estimates included in this report constitute our judgments as of this date, without regards to its fairness, and are subject to change without notice. However, none of DWS and/or its affiliated companies and/or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liability as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any other such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue thereof. We expressly disclaim any responsibility or liability (express or implied) of DWS, its affiliated companies and their respective employees and agents whatsoever and howsoever arising (including, without limitation for any claims, proceedings, action, suits, losses, expenses, damages or costs) which may be brought against or suffered by any person as a results of acting in reliance upon the whole or any part of the contents of this report and neither DWS, its affiliated companies or their respective employees or agents accepts liability for any errors, omissions or misstatements, negligent or otherwise, in the report and any liability in respect of the report or any inaccuracy therein or omission there from which might otherwise arise is hereby expresses disclaimed. This document is not an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any securities. This firms and its affiliates and their officers and employees may have a position, make markets, act as principal or engage in transaction in securities or related investments of any company mentioned herein, may perform services for or solicit business from any company mentioned herein, and may have acted upon or used any of the recommendations herein before they have been provided to you. PT Daewoo Securities Indonesia