Weekly Technical View

Transkripsi

1 Weekly Technical View Consolidation Time Technical Report Jan 19, 2015 Market Recap Pada minggu lalu indeks mengalami koreksi sebesar 1.3% dan ditutup dilevel , koreksi yang terjadi masih dalam pergerakan sideways. Betrand Raynaldi says stochastic mulai meninggalkan overbought area, mulai menurun walaupun masih masih pada area bullish walaupun sudah mulai melandai. Sentiment Sama seperti minggu lalu dimana pergerakan IHSG lebih dipengaruhi oleh factor external (dari luar Indonesia) juga harga komoditas dan minyak. This Week s Prediction Pada minggu ini kami perkirakan akan terjadi rebound. Trading Strategy Trading buy Analysts who prepared this report are registered as research analysts in Indonesia but not in any other jurisdiction. PLEASE SEE ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS AND IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES & DISCLAIMERS IN APPENDIX 1 AT THE END OF REPORT.

2 Technical Analysis Trading IHSG Support Resistance Sentiment Sama seperti minggu lalu dimana pergerakan IHSG lebih dipengaruhi oleh factor external (dari luar Indonesia) juga harga komoditas dan minyak. Close = Down Technical View Daily Analysis Pada minggu lalu indeks bergerak cenderung melemah, pelemahan ini telah membuat indeks stochastic masuk dalam level oversold, bila menganalisa volume maka terlihat 1) mengalami lonjakan ketika indeks naik 2) volume transaksi semakin menurun dimulai selama 3 hari terakhir dan selama itu juga indeks cenderung melemah. Hal ini mengindikasikan tekanan penurunan semakin melemah dan besar kemungkinan terjadi technical rebound. Key Charts Chart 1. Daily Chart Chart 2. Weekly Chart 2

3 Trading Buy Stock in Focus Target price 740 Stop-loss 640 Close 685 OS PT. Wintermar Offshore Marine Tbk (WINS) Kenaikan 9.26% pada minggu lalu disertai dengan peningkatan volume yang significant merupakan awal dari rebound setelah 5 minggu berturut-turut mengalami pelemaha, astic berpotensi golden cross di area oversold. Begitu juga yang terus meningkat sementara masih memberikan signal bearish. Kami perkirakan saham WINS dapat rebound dengan target fibo terdekat di level 740. Tetap jaga level stop loss di 740. = Down Trading Buy PT Pakuwon Jati Tbk Target price 510 Stop-loss 465 Close 472 (PWON) Dilihat dari chart harian tekanan jual mulai jauh berkurang, diperkirakan pada minggu ini saham PWON akan rebound dengan target 510, yang juga merupakan gap atas. weekly masih mixed sementara dari daily stochastic telah golden cross, sehingga strategi yang dipakai adalah trading buy. Namun tetap jaga level stop loss di 465. = Down Chart 3 Chart 4. 3

4 Technical Analysis Trading Buy/Sell on Strength Target price 184 PT Adi Sarana Armada Tbk (ASSA) Stop-loss 152 Close 166 Pada perdagangan minggu lalu perseroan mengalami rebound yang disertai dengan volume yang jauh meningkat, indicator stochastic telah golden cross demikian pula dengan indicator. Kami perkirakan pada minggu ini saham ASSA akan menembus level resistance channel trend turunnya di 175, dimana target berikut adalah 184. Strategi yang dipakai trading buy namun tetap jaga stop loss di 152. = Down Spec Buy PT XL Axiata Target price 4950 Stop Loss 4300 Close 4575 (EXCL) Saham EXCL berada dalam trend turun namun pola Hammer yang terjadi pada minggu lalu memberikan indikasi akan adanya perubahan trend, pola tersebut juga didukung oleh volume dan indicator, dimana indicator stochastic telah golden cross dan juga meningkat, walaupun masih memberikan signal bearish. Kami perkirakan EXCL akan rebound dengan target Namun tetap jaga level stop loss di = Down Chart 5. Chart 6. Source:HOTS, Source: HOTS, 4

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