FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

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1 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE International Finding No Available on Website: On July 18, 2013 KADIN-Roy Morgan Keyakinan Konsumen jatuh ke (turun 4.4 poin). Terendah sejak Oktober 2012 Keyakinan Konsumen Indonesia jatuh menjadi (turun 4.4 poin) di bulan i angka terendah sejak Oktober 2012 (150.6), walaupun masih 6.3 poin lebih tinggi dari setahun yang lalu, di bulan i 2012 (145.2). Jatuhnya keyakinan konsumen bulan ini terutama disebabkan turunnya keyakinin mengenai prospek ekonomi Indonesia dalam 12 bulan ke depan dan lima tahun ke depan, disertai kurangnya keyakinan bahwa sekarang adalah waktu yang baik untuk membeli peralatan rumah tangga utama. Mengenai ekonomi Indonesia, kini 79% masyarakat Indonesia (turun 5 poin) memperkirakan bahwa Indonesia secara finansial akan mengalami masa yang baik selama jangka waktu 12 bulan ke depan (terendah sejak tember 2012) dibandingkan hanya 21% (naik 5 poin) yang mengatakan bahwa secara finansial akan mengalami masa yang buruk (tertinggi sejak tember 2012). Untuk jangka panjang 89% (turun 2 poin) masyarakat memperkirakan bahwa perekonomian Indonesia akan mengalami masa yang baik selama lima tahun ke depan dibandingkan hanya 10% (naik 2 poin) yang memperkirakan perekonomian akan mengalami masa buruk. Walaupun masih mayoritas namun kini hanya 56% masyarakat Indonesia (turun 2 poin) menyatakan sekarang adalah waktu yang baik untuk membeli peralatan rumah tangga utama, dibandingkan kini 40% (naik 4 poin) yang menyatakan sekarang waktu yang buruk untuk membeli peralatan rumah tangga utama (tertinggi sejak tember 2012). Soal keuangan pribadi, kini 47% masyarakat (turun 1 poin) mengatakan bahwa keuangan keluarga mereka lebih baik dari setahun yang lalu, dibandingkan 11% (naik 1 poin) mengatakan keuangan keluarga lebih buruk daripada setahun yang lalu. Kini 71% masyarakat (tidak berubah) memperkirakan keuangan keluarga mereka akan lebih baik di waktu yang sama tahun depan, dan hanya 3% (tidak berubah) menyatakan akan lebih buruk. Suryo Sulisto, Ketua Umum KADIN mengomentari hasil KADIN-Roy Morgan Keyakinan Konsumen terbaru: Yang tak terelakkan sudah terjadi. Tepatnya, kenaikan harga BBM membuat keyakinan konsumen beranjak turun. Hal ini diperkirakan akan terus terjadi pada bulan Juli, mungkin sampai bulan Agustus. Bila sejarah berulang maka seharusnya keadaan akan mulai membaik pada bulan tember. Diangkatnya subsidi BBM memang sangat dibutuhkan untuk masa depan ekonomi kita. Keyakinan Konsumen memang turun untuk saat ini, namun harus diingat bahwa angka keyakinan selama ini berada di level yang sangat tinggi. Jatuhnya Keyakinan sekarang ini sudah dapat diprediksi. KADIN-Roy Morgan Tingkat Keyakinan Konsumen didasarkan pada wawancara tatap-muka dengan 2,127 responden, di seluruh Indonesia bukan hanya di beberapa kota besar. Survei ini dilakukan di 21 Kota Besar, 22 Kota kecil dan desa di sekitarnya, yang secara statistik mewakili seluruh Indonesia. Laki-laki dan perempuan umur 14 tahun ke atas dipilih secara random selama bulan Mei gin of Error Untuk keterangan lebih lanjut: Ira Soekirman: Office Mobile gin of Error tergantung dari jumlah sampel yang diambil. Tabel di bawah ini menunjukkan jumlah sampel yang bisa menghasilkan tingkat kerpercayaan 95% dengan level minimum gin of Error nya. Sample Size Percentage Estimate 40%-60% 25% or 75% 10% or 90% 5% or 95% 1,000 ±3.0 ±2.7 ±1.9 ±1.4 2,000 ±2.2 ±1.9 ±1.3 ±1.0

2 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE KADIN-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence falls to (down 4.4pts) Lowest since October 2012 Indonesian Consumer Confidence fell to (down 4.4pts) in e its lowest since October 2012 (150.6), although it is still 6.3pts higher than it was a year ago in e 2012 (145.2). This month s fall was driven primarily by falling confidence about Indonesia s economic prospects over the next 12 months and next five years and less confidence about whether now is a good time to buy major household items. In terms of the Indonesian economy now 79% (down 5%) of Indonesians expect Indonesia will have good times financially during the next twelve months (the lowest since tember 2012) compared to just 21% (up 5%) that say we ll have bad times financially (the highest since tember 2012). Over the longer-term 89% (down 2%) of Indonesians expect Indonesia will have good times economically over the next five years compared to only 10% (up 2%) that expect bad times economically. Now a decreasing majority 56% (down 2%) of Indonesians say now is a good time to buy major household items compared to 40% (up 4%) that say now is a bad time to buy major household items (the highest since tember 2012). In terms of personal finances now 47% (down 1%) of Indonesians say their family is better off financially than a year ago compared to 11% (up 1%) that say their family is worse off financially than a year ago. Now 71% (unchanged) of Indonesians expect their family will be better off financially this time next year compared to only 3% (unchanged) that expect to be worse off financially. KADIN Chairman Suryo Sulisto commented on the latest KADIN-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence results: The inevitable has happened. More precisely, the dip in confidence as a result of the fuel price hike has begun. The fall is expected to continue in July, probably August as well. If history repeats itself, we should be on the road to recovery by tember. The removal of the subsidy was an essential step for our economic future. Confidence has taken a hit but we must remember it was running at amazingly high levels for several. The reality check was predictable. The monthly KADIN-Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence Rating is based on 2,004 face-to-face interviews conducted throughout Indonesia, not just a handful of cities. The survey includes the Top 21 cities, smaller cities and towns as well as many more villages in the rural hinterland, reflecting all of Indonesia. Men and women aged 14 and over were randomly selected during the month of e gin of Error For further information: Ira Soekirman: Office Mobile The margin of error to be allowed for in any estimate depends mainly on the number of interviews on which it is based. The following table gives indications of the likely range within which estimates would be 95% likely to fall, expressed as the number of percentage points above or below the actual estimate. The figures are approximate and for general guidance only, and assume a simple random sample. Allowance for design effects (such as stratification and weighting) should be made as appropriate. Sample Size Percentage Estimate 40%-60% 25% or 75% 10% or 90% 5% or 95% 1,000 ±3.0 ±2.7 ±1.9 ±1.4 2,000 ±2.2 ±1.9 ±1.3 ±1.0

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4 KADIN-Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence ( ) Quarterly KADIN-Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence Rating Year January ch Quarter April e Quarter July tember Quarter October ember Quarter Yearly Average Monthly KADIN-Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence Rating Jan Feb Apr May Jul Aug Oct Nov

5 Results for the KADIN-Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence Rating* for the component questions ( ) are as follows: Interviews 5,707 6,376 6,362 6,244 6,393 6,233 6,312 6,297 6,685 6,815 6,729 6,758 Over the past year Better off Worse off Question 1 difference Better off Worse off Question 2 difference Good Times Bad Times Question 3 difference Good times Bad times Question 4 difference Good time to buy Bad time to buy Question 5 difference KADIN-Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence Rating

6 Results for the KADIN-Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence Rating* for the component questions ( ) are as follows: Interviews 6,596 6,781 6,790 6,777 6,540 6,234 6,269 6,188 6,132 9,196 7,056 6,269 Over the past year Better off Worse off Question 1 difference Better off Worse off Question 2 difference Good Times Bad Times Question 3 difference Good times Bad times Question 4 difference Good time to buy Bad time to buy Question 5 difference KADIN-Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence Rating

7 Results for the KADIN-Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence Rating* for the component questions (2011) are as follows: 2011 Jan Feb Apr May Jul Aug Oct Nov Interviews 2,090 2,084 2,080 2,059 2,091 2,090 2,062 2,029 2,020 2,091 2,088 2,089 Over the past year Better off Worse off Question 1 difference Better off Worse off Question 2 difference Good Times Bad Times Question 3 difference Good times Bad times Question 4 difference Good time to buy Bad time to buy Question 5 difference KADIN-Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence Rating

8 Results for the KADIN-Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence Rating* for the component questions (2012) are as follows: 2012 Jan Feb Apr May Jul Aug Oct Nov Interviews 2,092 2,106 2,106 2,004 2,107 1,994 1,988 2,095 2,102 2,078 2,069 2,107 Over the past year Better off Worse off Question 1 difference Better off Worse off Question 2 difference Good Times Bad Times Question 3 difference Good times Bad times Question 4 difference Good time to buy Bad time to buy Question 5 difference KADIN-Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence Rating

9 Results for the KADIN-Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence Rating* for the component questions (2013) are as follows: Interviews 2,035 1,939 2,011 2,049 2,127 2,004 Over the past year Better off Jan Feb Apr May Jul Aug Oct Nov Worse off Question 1 difference Better off Worse off Question 2 difference Good Times Bad Times Question 3 difference Good times Bad times Question 4 difference Good time to buy Bad time to buy Question 5 difference KADIN-Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence Rating