Daily Trading Idea 4.479,44 IHSG. Buy on Weakness. ACES Rp 730. Buy on Weakness. APLN Rp 395

Transkripsi

1 Daily Trading Idea IHSG 4.479,44 Resistance 2 : Foreign Activity, Rp mil : Resistance 1 : Reguler 687 Support 1 : Negosiasi 101 Support 2 : Total 788 Walau ditutup menguat tipis, namun dengan terbentuknya lower high dan lower low, serta adanya indikasi dead cross pada Stoch, potensi berlanjutnya pelemahan IHSG untuk membentuk trend turun minor menjadi terbuka. Maka IHSG diperkirakan cenderung melemah dalam rangka menguji ret % yang juga sekaligus support penting dari pola rising wedge. Historical Foreign Activity Rp mil Past 5 Days Past 20 Days Past 40 Days ACES Rp 730 Target Price : 790 Stop Loss : 690 Resistance 2 : 830 Support 2 : 670 Resistance 1 : 790 Support 1 : 700 Foreign, Rp jt: (3.524) Koreksi yang diiringi penurunan volume perdagangan Melambatnya Stoch yang sudah memasuki area oversold BoW pada kisaran support kuat jk menengah di ACES 34.4 % 14.6 % x ALFA 0.2 % 1.0 % x HERO 18.3 % 4.1 % x Past 5 Days (19.183) Past 20 Days - Past 40 Days - APLN Rp 395 Target Price : 410 Stop Loss : 380 Resistance 2 : 425 Support 2 : 360 Resistance 1 : 410 Support 1 : 385 Foreign, Rp jt: (5.565) Meski koreksi namun mampu closing di atas Telah tercapainya target penurunan ret % BoW pada kisaran retracement %-nya di APLN 31.6 % 29.2 % x CTRA 46.5 % 28.4 % x LPKR 31.4 % 26.5 % x volume September November December 2013 February Past 5 Days (3.257) Past 20 Days (15.392) Past 40 Days (21.905) st September November December 2013 Februar ACES APLN.0% 1 2 September November 2013 February.0% x x x

2 Daily Trading Idea BKSL Rp 255 Target Price : 265 Stop Loss : 230 Resistance 2 : 270 Support 2 : 220 Resistance 1 : 265 Support 1 : 235 Foreign, Rp jt: (2.076) Menguji EMA16 dan supp channel namun close di atasnya Pergerakan Stoch yang mulai mendekati area oversold BoW pada kisaran retracement % di BKSL 88.3 % 38.9 % x SMRA 38.6 % 27.9 % x BSDE 26.8 % 38.2 % x Past 5 Days Past 20 Days Past 40 Days GJTL Rp Target Price : Stop Loss : Resistance 2 : Support 2 : Resistance 1 : 2.2 Support 1 : 2.1 Foreign, Rp jt: (858) Candle doji dan naiknya volume menandakan akumulasi Melambatnya Stoch yang sudah mendekati area oversold BoW kisaran support konsolidasi di GJTL 7.6 % 12.0 % x AUTO 13.2 % 6.1 % x GDYR 3.0 % 5.7 % x Past 5 Days 239 Past 20 Days Past 40 Days ust September November December 2013 Februar SMGR Rp 16.2 Trading Buy BKSL GJTL.0% t September November December 2013 February x x Target Price : Stop Loss : 15.9 Resistance 2 : 16.9 Support 2 : 15.7 Resistance 1 : 16.0 Support 1 : Foreign, Rp jt: Kofirmasi pola inverted H&S diiringi menguatnya volume Trend naik Stoch yang masih memiliki ruang kenaikan Trading Buy mengejar target inverted H&S di SMGR 17.7 % 31.3 % x INTP 26.5 % 33.5 % x SMCB 20.5 % 21.6 % x SMGR Past 5 Days Past 20 Days ( ) Past 40 Days August September November December 2013 February x1000 2

3 Aksi Korporasi RUPS / RUPSLB Tanggal Kode Agenda 12-Feb-2013 GDST RUPS 13-Feb-2013 TKGA RUPSLB 15-Feb-2013 PKPK RUPSLB 15-Feb-2013 MLBI RUPS 18-Feb-2013 META RUPS 19-Feb-2013 MYOH RUPSLB 26-Feb-2013 ALKA RUPSLB 27-Feb-2013 BULL RUPS 27-Feb-2013 APEX RUPS 28-Feb-2013 ROTI RUPS 28-Feb-2013 BBRI RUPS WARAN Jatuh Tempo Kode Harga Eksekusi (Rp) 8-Feb-2013 BIPI-W Feb-2013 UNSP-W Apr-2013 MLPL-W 2 3-May-2013 KBLV-W May-2013 VIVA-W Jul-2013 PADI-W 4 9-Jul-2013 IPOL-W 2 9-Jul-2013 SMMA-W Jul-2013 BVIC-W Jul-2013 GREN-W Jul-2013 META-W Nov-2013 BMSR-W 0 5-Dec-2013 KBRI-W Dec-2013 HOME-W 125 Kalendar Ekonomi GMT WIB Zona Event Pengaruh Sebelumnya Konsensus Feb 05, 15:00 22:00 US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI Medium Feb 05, 15:00 22:00 US IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism (MoM) Low 46.5 Feb 06, 00:01 Feb 6, 7:01 UK BRC Shop Price Index (MoM) Low 1.% Feb 06, 00:30 7:30 AU Retail Sales s.a. (MoM) Medium -0.10% 0.30% Feb 06, 02:00 9:00 ID Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) High 6.17% Feb 06, 02:00 9:00 ID Gross Domestic Product (YoY) High 6.5 Feb 06, 08:00 15:00 UK Halifax House Prices (3m/YoY) Low -0.30% 1.% Feb 06, 08:00 15:00 UK Halifax House Prices (MoM) Low 1.30% -0.20% Feb 06, 11:00 18:00 DE Factory Orders s.a. (MoM) Medium -1.80% 0.60% Feb 06, 11:00 18:00 DE Factory Orders n.s.a. (YoY) Medium -1.00% 3

4 Sentra Investasi Danareksa SID Pusat SID LKBN Antara Jakarta SID Mangga Dua Gedung Danareksa Lantai 2 Wisma Antara Lantai 7 Komp. Pertokoan Ruko Mangga Dua Mall Jl. Medan Merdeka Selatan No.14, Jakarta Jl. Medan Merdeka Selatan No.17, Jakarta Jl. Mangga Dua Raya II/3, Jakarta Tel (62-21) , Fax (62-21) Tel (62-21) , Fax (62-21) Tel (62-21) , Fax (62-21) Head: Satrio Hadi Waskito Head: Irmina Merry Christine Head: Rudy Ruslim satrio@danareksa.com merry@danareksa.com rudyr@danareksa.com SID Pondok Indah SID Kelapa Gading SID Puri Indah Plaza 5 Blok A/12 Jl. Raya Boulevard Barat Blok LC 6 Kav. No.47 PT. Kopedana Mitra Usaha Jl. Margaguna Raya, Jakarta Jakarta Komp. Rukan Sentra Bisnis Puri Indah Tel (62-21) , Fax (62-21) Tel (62-21) , Fax (62-21) Jl.Puri Lingkar Dalam Blok T6/20, Jakarta Head: Upik Yuzarni Head: Hendra Asril Tel (62-21) , Fax ( 62-21) upik_y@danareksa.com hendra_asril@danareksa.com Head: Arsenal M. Pakpahan arseinal@danareksa.com SID Alam Sutera SID Pluit Ruko Jalur Sutera Kav.16-A no 8-9 Ruko Mega Mall Blok MG No.39 SID Bandung Tangerang Jl. Raya Pluit Permai, Jakarta 144 Gedung Pinsil Tel (62-21) , Fax (62-21) Tel (62-21) , Fax (62-21) Jl. Gatot Subroto No.1, Bandung Head: R. Yeni Radiani Head: Susanto Pratomo Tel (62-22) , Fax (62-22) yenir@danareksa.com susantop@danareksa.com Head: Maryadi Suwondo maryadi@danareksa.com SID FEUI Depok SID Bogor Gedung Pascasarjana Lantai Dasar Gedung Setyajaya SID BSD City Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Indonesia Jl. Pajajaran No.23, Bogor PT. Star Reksa Sekuritas Kampus UI, Depok Tel (62-251) , Fax (62-251) Ruko BSD Plaza Sektor IV, Blok RG No.9 Tel (62-21) , Fax (62-21) Head: Joseph M. Gultom Tangerang Head: I Wayan Satia Jaya Direct: (62-251) Tel (62-21) , Fax (62-21) satia@danareksa.com joseph@danareksa.com Head: Jasmi Indra / Ane Srideswara jasmi@danareksa.com;anes@danareksa.com SID Depok Outlet SID UKSW Salatiga PT. Reksa Depok Sekuritas Jl. Diponegoro No.52-60, Salatiga 711 SID FEB UGM Yogyakarta Ruko Margonda Residence No.12 Tel (62-298) Gedung Program Diploma FEB UGM Jl. Margonda Raya, Depok Head: Melcy Rulandy Jl. Prof. Notonagoro, Bulaksumur, Yogyakarta Tel (62-21) , Fax (62-21) melcy@danareksa.com Tel (62-274) , Fax (62-274) Head: Sutrisno Head: Yahuda Nawa Yanukrisna ext.110 sutrisno@danareksa.com Outlet SID FE UNAIR yahuda@danareksa.com Jl. Airlangga No.4, Surabaya SID Semarang Tel (62-31) , Fax (62-31) SID Malang Jl. Pandanaran No.80A, Semarang 241 Contact : Meiga Dewi / Farid Zanky Universitas Islam Maulana Malik Ibrahim, Fakultas Ekonomi Lt 3 Tel (62-24) , Fax (62-24) meiga@danareksa.com Jl Gajayana no, Malang Head: Melcy Rulandy Head : Meiga Dewi melcy@danareksa.com SID Bali Kuta meiga@danareksa.com PT. Brata Investama SID Surabaya Gedung Tapa Lantai II, Jl. Raya Kuta No.27 SID Balikpapan Jl. Jend.Basuki Rachmat 88-92, Surabaya Abianbase Kuta-Badung, Bali Gedung Kalstar-Kalstar Aviation Tel (62-31) , Fax (62-31) Tel ( ) , Fax ( ) Jln. R. Marsma Iswahyudi No.12, Gunung Bakaran Head: Meiga Dewi Head: I Kadek Swanjaya Balikpapan, Kalimantan Timur meiga@danareksa.com swanjaya@danareksa.com Tel (62-542) , Fax (62-542) Head: Yefrizal / Ane Srideswara SID Medan SID Solo yefrizal@danareksa.com;;anes@danareksa.com Komplek Ruko Royal Apartemen Jl. Slamet Riyadi No. 328, Solo Jl. Palang Merah No.5, Medan Tel (62-271) Fax (62-271) SID Palembang Tel (62-61) Fax (62-61) Head: Melcy Rulandy / Trisye Anita R. Jl.Kapten A. Rivai No.406C, Palembang Head: Martha Hidayat melcy@danareksa.com;;trisyea@danareksa.com Tel (62-711) 365-0, Fax (62-711) marthah@danareksa.com Head: Aidil Idham Outlet UIN Maliki aidili@danareksa.com SID Makassar Gedung Sosial Fakultas Ekonomi Lantai 3 Jl. Boulevard Ruko Ruby No.26, Panakkukang Universitas Islam Negeri Maulana Malik Ibrahim, Malang Outlet SID Tasikmalaya Tel (62-411) , Fax (62-411) Jl. Gajayana No. Ruko Asia Plaza No.8A Head: Edward Simanjuntak Tel (62-341) Fax (62-341) Jl.Hz Mustofa, Tasikmalaya Jawa Barat edward_s@danareksa.com Head : Meiga Dewi Tel (62-265) Fax (62-265) meiga@danareksa.com Head: Maryadi maryadi@danareksa.com Outlet SID Kebon Jeruk Outlet Dempo Jl. Panjang No. 200, Kebon Jeruk Jakarta Barat Jl Lingkaran 1 No. 432 Dempo, Palembang Outlet SID Cirebon Tel (62-21) Fax (62-21) Tel (62-711) Fax (62-711) Jl.Cipto Mangunkusumo No.07, Cirebon Jawa Barat Head: Hendra Asril / Budi Agung Head : Aidil Ilham / Alexander Indrajaya Tel (62-231) , (62-231) Fax (62-231) budia@danareksa.com alexanderi@danareksa.com Head: Maryadi / Hafnia Adit hafnia@danareksa.com Outlet Universitas Ma Chung Outlet Sukses Sempurna Villa Puncak Tidar N-01, Malang Hotel Le Meridien Outlet MM FEB UGM Tel (62-341) Fax (62-341) Jl. Jend Sudirman Kav Gedung MM FEB UGM Lantai 2 Head : Meiga Dewi Ruang 239, Jakarta Jl. Teknika Utara, Yogyakarta meiga@danareksa.com Tel (62-21) Fax (62-21) Tel (62-274) , Fax (62-274) Head: Hendra Asril / Syahrul Badri Head: Yahuda Nawa Yanukrisna Outlet Katig syahrulb@danareksa.com yahuda@danareksa.com Sequis Plaza Suite #308 Jalan Jend. Sudirman Kav. 25, Jakarta Tel (62-21) Fax (62-21) Head: Irmina Merry Christine / Frans Benny fransb@danareksa.com 4

5 Keterangan : Sales G Sales Growth M Cap Market Cap OPM Operating Profit Margin DER Debt to Equity Ratio PBV Prive to Book Value PE Price to Earning Sumber Data : Chart MetaStock Professional Kalendar Ekonomi Aksi Korporasi DISCLAIMER The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of P.T. Danareksa Sekuritas and/or its affiliated companies and/or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liability as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any other such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue thereof. We expressly disclaim any responsibility or liability (express or implied) of P.T. Danareksa Sekuritas, its affiliated companies and their respective employees and agents whatsoever and howsoever arising (including, without limitation for any claims, proceedings, action, suits, losses, expenses, damages or costs) which may be brought against or suffered by any person as a results of acting in reliance upon the whole or any part of the contents of this report and neither P.T. Danareksa Sekuritas, its affiliated companies or their respective employees or agents accepts liability for any errors, omissions or mis-statements, negligent or otherwise, in the report and any liability in respect of the report or any inaccuracy therein or omission therefrom which might otherwise arise is hereby expresses disclaimed. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by P.T. Danareksa Sekuritas or any other person to enter into any agreement with regard to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards to the specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investments you should make your own independent assessment and seek your own professional financial and legal advice. 5