Lampiran 1. Tabel Distribusi χχ 22
OUTPUT SPSS 16 Lampiran 2. Uji Chi Square Jenis Jalur * Asal Daerah Sekolah * Tingkat IPK Crosstabulation Asal Daerah Sekolah Tingkat IPK Total 1,50-1,99 Jenis Jalur Tertulis 1 1 2.4 1.6 2.0 unggulan sekolah 0 3 3.6 2.4 3.0 Total 1 4 5 1.0 4.0 5.0 2,00- Jenis Jalur Tertulis 15 11 26 12.1 13.9 26.0 unggulan sekolah 6 13 19 8.9 10.1 19.0 Total 21 24 45 21.0 24.0 45.0 Jenis Jalur Tertulis 10 30 40 7.9 32.1 40.0 unggulan sekolah 4 27 31 6.1 24.9 31.0 Total 14 57 71
14.0 57.0 71.0 Jenis Jalur Tertulis 25 33 58 23.9 34.1 58.0 unggulan sekolah 20 31 51 21.1 29.9 51.0 Total 45 64 109 45.0 64.0 109.0 Chi-Square Tests Asymp. Sig. Exact Sig. (2- Exact Sig. (1- Tingkat IPK Value df (2-sided) sided) sided) 1,50-1,99 Pearson Chi-Square 1.875 a 1.171 Continuity Correction b.052 1.819 Likelihood Ratio 2.231 1.135 Fisher's Exact Test.400.400 Linear-by-Linear Association 1.500 1.221 N of Valid Cases b 5 2,00- Pearson Chi-Square 3.008 c 1.083 Continuity Correction b 2.050 1.152 Likelihood Ratio 3.058 1.080 Fisher's Exact Test.131.076 Linear-by-Linear Association 2.941 1.086 N of Valid Cases b 45 Pearson Chi-Square 1.614 d 1.204 Continuity Correction b.941 1.332 Likelihood Ratio 1.671 1.196 Fisher's Exact Test.242.166
Linear-by-Linear Association 1.592 1.207 N of Valid Cases b 71 Pearson Chi-Square.169 e 1.681 Continuity Correction b.047 1.829 Likelihood Ratio.169 1.681 Fisher's Exact Test.701.415 Linear-by-Linear Association.168 1.682 N of Valid Cases b 109 a. 4 cells (100,0%) have expected count less than 5. The minimum expected count is,40. b. Computed only for a 2x2 table c. 0 cells (,0%) have expected count less than 5. The minimum expected count is 8,87. d. 0 cells (,0%) have expected count less than 5. The minimum expected count is 6,11. e. 0 cells (,0%) have expected count less than 5. The minimum expected count is 21,06. Jenis Jalur * Asal Daerah Sekolah * Tingkat IPK Crosstabulation Asal Daerah Sekolah Tingkat IPK Total Jenis Jalur Tertulis 16 12 28 12.3 15.7 28.0 unggulan sekolah 6 16 22 9.7 12.3 22.0 Total 22 28 50 22.0 28.0 50.0 Jenis Jalur Tertulis 10 30 40 7.9 32.1 40.0 unggulan sekolah 4 27 31
6.1 24.9 31.0 Total 14 57 71 14.0 57.0 71.0 Jenis Jalur tertulis 25 33 58 23.9 34.1 58.0 unggulan sekolah 20 31 51 21.1 29.9 51.0 Total 45 64 109 45.0 64.0 109.0 Chi-Square Tests Asymp. Sig. Exact Sig. (2- Exact Sig. (1- Tingkat IPK Value df (2-sided) sided) sided) Pearson Chi-Square 4.461 a 1.035 Continuity Correction b 3.331 1.068 Likelihood Ratio 4.568 1.033 Fisher's Exact Test.047.033 Linear-by-Linear Association 4.372 1.037 N of Valid Cases b 50 Pearson Chi-Square 1.614 c 1.204 Continuity Correction b.941 1.332 Likelihood Ratio 1.671 1.196 Fisher's Exact Test.242.166 Linear-by-Linear Association 1.592 1.207 N of Valid Cases b 71 Pearson Chi-Square.169 d 1.681 Continuity Correction b.047 1.829
Likelihood Ratio.169 1.681 Fisher's Exact Test.701.415 Linear-by-Linear Association.168 1.682 N of Valid Cases b 109 a. 0 cells (,0%) have expected count less than 5. The minimum expected count is 9,68. b. Computed only for a 2x2 table c. 0 cells (,0%) have expected count less than 5. The minimum expected count is 6,11. d. 0 cells (,0%) have expected count less than 5. The minimum expected count is 21,06.
Lampiran 3. Tabel Marginal Statistik Cukup Minimal Keterangan: AA =Jenis jalur masuk dikatagorikan sebagai: AA 1 = Jalur tertulis AA 2 = Jalur Unggulan Sekolah BB =Asal daerah sekolah SMA atau sederajat dikatagorikan sebagai: BB 1 = Dalam BB 2 = Luar CC =Tingkat IPK dikatagorikan sebagai: CC 1 = 0,00 CC 2 = 2,50 CC 3 = 3,00 1. {nn ii++ } AA AA1 126 (nn 1++ ) AA2 104 (nn 2++ ) 2. {nn +jj + } BB BB1 81 (nn +1+ ) BB2 149 (nn +2+ ) 3. {nn ++kk } CC CC1 50 (nn ++1 ) CC2 71 (nn ++2 ) CC3 109 (nn ++3 )
4. {nn +jjjj } BB CC CC1 CC2 CC3 BB1 22 (nn +11 ) 14 (nn +12 ) 45 (nn +13 ) BB2 28 (nn +21 ) 57 (nn +22 ) 64 (nn +23 ) 5. {nn ii+kk } AA CC CC1 CC2 CC3 AA1 28 (nn 1+1 ) 40 (nn 1+2 ) 58 (nn 1+3 ) AA2 22 (nn 2+1 ) 31 (nn 2+2 ) 51 (nn 2+3 ) 6. {nn iiii + } AA BB BB1 BB2 AA1 51 (nn 11+ ) 75 (nn 12+ ) AA2 30 (nn 21+ ) 74 (nn 22+ )
OUTPUT SPSS 16 Lampiran 4. Model Loglinier Mutually Independent (AA, BB, CC) Goodness-of-Fit Tests a,b Value df Sig. Likelihood Ratio 18.187 7.011 Pearson Chi-Square 17.152 7.016 b. Design: Constant + Jenis_jalur_masuk + Asal_daerah_sekolah + Tingkat_IPK Cell s and s a,b Observed Standardi Jenis Jalur Asal Daerah Tingkat Residu zed Adjusted Devian Sekolah IPK % % al ce Tertulis 16 7.0% 9.647 4.2% 6.353 2.090 2.453 4.024 10 4.3% 13.698 6.0% -3.698-1.030-1.241-2.509 25 10.9% 21.029 9.1% 3.971.908 1.154 2.941 12 5.2% 17.745 7.7% -5.745-1.420-1.857-3.064 30 13.0% 25.198 11.0% 4.802 1.014 1.360 3.235 33 14.3% 38.684 16.8% -5.684-1.002-1.419-3.239 unggulan sekolah 6 2.6% 7.962 3.5% -1.962 -.708 -.811-1.843 4 1.7% 11.306 4.9% -7.306-2.228-2.614-2.883 20 8.7% 17.358 7.5% 2.642.660.812 2.381
16 7.0% 14.647 6.4% 1.353.365.458 1.682 27 11.7% 20.798 9.0% 6.202 1.426 1.836 3.754 31 13.5% 31.929 13.9% -.929 -.177 -.242-1.353 b. Design: Constant + Jenis_jalur_masuk + Asal_daerah_sekolah + Tingkat_IPK Lampiran 5. Model Loglinier Jointly Independent (AA, BBBB) Goodness-of-Fit Tests a,b Value df Sig. Likelihood Ratio 6.616 5.251 Pearson Chi-Square 6.419 5.268 b. Design: Constant + Jenis_jalur_masuk + Asal_daerah_sekolah + Tingkat_IPK + Asal_daerah_sekolah * Tingkat_IPK Cell s and s a,b Observed Standardi Jenis Jalur Asal Daerah Tingkat Residu zed Adjusted Devian Sekolah IPK % % al ce tertulis 16 7.0% 12.052 5.2% 3.948 1.168 1.778 3.011 10 4.3% 7.670 3.3% 2.330.856 1.291 2.304 25 10.9% 24.652 10.7%.348.074.116.837 12 5.2% 15.339 6.7% -3.339 -.883-1.353-2.427 30 13.0% 31.226 13.6% -1.226 -.236 -.376-1.550
33 14.3% 35.061 15.2% -2.061 -.378 -.609-2.000 unggulan sekolah 6 2.6% 9.948 4.3% -3.948-1.280-1.778-2.463 4 1.7% 6.330 2.8% -2.330 -.939-1.291-1.916 20 8.7% 20.348 8.8% -.348 -.081 -.116 -.830 16 7.0% 12.661 5.5% 3.339.965 1.353 2.737 27 11.7% 25.774 11.2% 1.226.256.376 1.584 31 13.5% 28.939 12.6% 2.061.410.609 2.065 b. Design: Constant + Jenis_jalur_masuk + Asal_daerah_sekolah + Tingkat_IPK + Asal_daerah_sekolah * Tingkat_IPK Lampiran 6. Model Loglinier Jointly Independent (AAAA, BB) Goodness-of-Fit Tests a,b Value df Sig. Likelihood Ratio 17.979 5.003 Pearson Chi-Square 17.043 5.004 b. Design: Constant + Jenis_jalur_masuk + Asal_daerah_sekolah + Tingkat_IPK + Jenis_jalur_masuk * Tingkat_IPK Cell s and s a,b Observed Standardi Jenis Jalur Asal Daerah Tingkat Residu zed Adjusted Devian Sekolah IPK % % al ce tertulis 16 7.0% 9.861 4.3% 6.139 1.998 2.592 3.936
10 4.3% 14.087 6.1% -4.087-1.124-1.489-2.618 25 10.9% 20.426 8.9% 4.574 1.060 1.454 3.179 12 5.2% 18.139 7.9% -6.139-1.502-2.592-3.149 30 13.0% 25.913 11.3% 4.087.852 1.489 2.964 33 14.3% 37.574 16.3% -4.574 -.816-1.454-2.927 unggulan sekolah 6 2.6% 7.748 3.4% -1.748 -.639 -.820-1.752 4 1.7% 10.917 4.7% -6.917-2.145-2.796-2.834 20 8.7% 17.961 7.8% 2.039.501.678 2.074 16 7.0% 14.252 6.2% 1.748.478.820 1.924 27 11.7% 20.083 8.7% 6.917 1.616 2.796 3.998 31 13.5% 33.039 14.4% -2.039 -.383 -.678-1.987 b. Design: Constant + Jenis_jalur_masuk + Asal_daerah_sekolah + Tingkat_IPK + Jenis_jalur_masuk * Tingkat_IPK Lampiran 7. Model Loglinier Jointly Independent (AAAA, CC) Goodness-of-Fit Tests a,b Value df Sig. Likelihood Ratio 14.780 6.022 Pearson Chi-Square 14.256 6.027 b. Design: Constant + Jenis_jalur_masuk + Asal_daerah_sekolah + Tingkat_IPK + Jenis_jalur_masuk * Asal_daerah_sekolah
Cell s and s a,b Observed Standardi Jenis Jalur Asal Daerah Tingkat Residu zed Adjusted Devian Sekolah IPK % % al ce tertulis 16 7.0% 11.087 4.8% 4.913 1.512 1.891 3.426 10 4.3% 15.743 6.8% -5.743-1.500-1.973-3.013 25 10.9% 24.170 10.5%.830.179.264 1.300 12 5.2% 16.304 7.1% -4.304-1.106-1.468-2.712 30 13.0% 23.152 10.1% 6.848 1.501 2.085 3.943 33 14.3% 35.543 15.5% -2.543 -.464 -.717-2.214 unggulan sekolah 6 2.6% 6.522 2.8% -.522 -.207 -.248-1.000 4 1.7% 9.261 4.0% -5.261-1.765-2.230-2.592 20 8.7% 14.217 6.2% 5.783 1.583 2.267 3.695 16 7.0% 16.087 7.0% -.087 -.022 -.030 -.416 27 11.7% 22.843 9.9% 4.157.916 1.270 3.005 31 13.5% 35.070 15.2% -4.070 -.746-1.150-2.765 b. Design: Constant + Jenis_jalur_masuk + Asal_daerah_sekolah + Tingkat_IPK + Jenis_jalur_masuk * Asal_daerah_sekolah
Lampiran 8. Model Loglinier Conditionally Independent (AAAA, AAAA) Goodness-of-Fit Tests a,b Value df Sig. Likelihood Ratio 14.572 4.006 Pearson Chi-Square 13.908 4.008 b. Design: Constant + Jenis_jalur_masuk + Asal_daerah_sekolah + Tingkat_IPK + Jenis_jalur_masuk * Asal_daerah_sekolah + Jenis_jalur_masuk * Tingkat_IPK Cell s and s a,b Observed Standardi Jenis Jalur Asal Daerah Tingkat Residu zed Adjusted Devian Sekolah IPK % % al ce tertulis 16 7.0% 11.333 4.9% 4.667 1.422 2.037 3.322 10 4.3% 16.190 7.0% -6.190-1.596-2.414-3.104 25 10.9% 23.476 10.2% 1.524.332.555 1.773 12 5.2% 16.667 7.2% -4.667-1.187-2.037-2.808 30 13.0% 23.810 10.4% 6.190 1.340 2.414 3.724 33 14.3% 34.524 15.0% -1.524 -.281 -.555-1.726 unggulan sekolah 6 2.6% 6.346 2.8% -.346 -.139 -.183 -.820 4 1.7% 8.942 3.9% -4.942-1.686-2.339-2.537 20 8.7% 14.712 6.4% 5.288 1.425 2.290 3.505 16 7.0% 15.654 6.8%.346.091.183.837
27 11.7% 22.058 9.6% 4.942 1.107 2.339 3.304 31 13.5% 36.288 15.8% -5.288 -.957-2.290-3.125 b. Design: Constant + Jenis_jalur_masuk + Asal_daerah_sekolah + Tingkat_IPK + Jenis_jalur_masuk * Asal_daerah_sekolah + Jenis_jalur_masuk * Tingkat_IPK Lampiran 9. Model Loglinier Conditionally Independent (BBBB, AAAA) Goodness-of-Fit Tests a,b Value df Sig. Likelihood Ratio 6.408 3.093 Pearson Chi-Square 6.245 3.100 b. Design: Constant + Jenis_jalur_masuk + Asal_daerah_sekolah + Tingkat_IPK + Jenis_jalur_masuk * Tingkat_IPK + Asal_daerah_sekolah * Tingkat_IPK Cell s and s a,b Observed Standardi Jenis Jalur Asal Daerah Tingkat Residu zed Adjusted Devian Sekolah IPK % % al ce tertulis 16 7.0% 12.320 5.4% 3.680 1.078 2.112 2.892 10 4.3% 7.887 3.4% 2.113.766 1.270 2.179 25 10.9% 23.945 10.4% 1.055.228.411 1.468 12 5.2% 15.680 6.8% -3.680 -.963-2.112-2.534 30 13.0% 32.113 14.0% -2.113 -.402-1.271-2.021 33 14.3% 34.055 14.8% -1.055 -.196 -.411-1.441
unggulan sekolah 6 2.6% 9.680 4.2% -3.680-1.209-2.112-2.396 4 1.7% 6.113 2.7% -2.113 -.866-1.270-1.842 20 8.7% 21.055 9.2% -1.055 -.241 -.411-1.434 16 7.0% 12.320 5.4% 3.680 1.078 2.112 2.892 27 11.7% 24.887 10.8% 2.113.448 1.271 2.098 31 13.5% 29.945 13.0% 1.055.207.411 1.465 b. Design: Constant + Jenis_jalur_masuk + Asal_daerah_sekolah + Tingkat_IPK + Jenis_jalur_masuk * Tingkat_IPK + Asal_daerah_sekolah * Tingkat_IPK Lampiran 10. Model Loglinier Conditionally Independent (AAAA, BBBB) Goodness-of-Fit Tests a,b Value df Sig. Likelihood Ratio 3.210 4.523 Pearson Chi-Square 3.174 4.529 b. Design: Constant + Jenis_jalur_masuk + Asal_daerah_sekolah + Tingkat_IPK + Asal_daerah_sekolah * Tingkat_IPK + Jenis_jalur_masuk * Asal_daerah_sekolah Cell s and s a,b Observed Standardi Jenis Jalur Asal Daerah Tingkat Residu zed Adjusted Devian Sekolah IPK % % al ce tertulis 16 7.0% 13.852 6.0% 2.148.595 1.111 2.148 10 4.3% 8.815 3.8% 1.185.407.721 1.588
25 10.9% 28.333 12.3% -3.333 -.669-1.544-2.502 12 5.2% 14.094 6.1% -2.094 -.576 -.878-1.965 30 13.0% 28.691 12.5% 1.309.261.441 1.636 33 14.3% 32.215 14.0%.785.149.260 1.261 unggulan sekolah 6 2.6% 8.148 3.5% -2.148 -.766-1.111-1.916 4 1.7% 5.185 2.3% -1.185 -.526 -.721-1.441 20 8.7% 16.667 7.2% 3.333.848 1.543 2.701 16 7.0% 13.906 6.0% 2.094.579.878 2.119 27 11.7% 28.309 12.3% -1.309 -.263 -.441-1.599 31 13.5% 31.785 13.8% -.785 -.150 -.260-1.245 b. Design: Constant + Jenis_jalur_masuk + Asal_daerah_sekolah + Tingkat_IPK + Asal_daerah_sekolah * Tingkat_IPK + Jenis_jalur_masuk * Asal_daerah_sekolah Lampiran 11. Model Loglinier Homogoneous (AAAA, AAAA, BBBB) Goodness-of-Fit Tests a,b Value df Sig. Likelihood Ratio 2.585 2.275 Pearson Chi-Square 2.556 2.279 b. Design: Constant + Jenis_jalur_masuk + Asal_daerah_sekolah + Tingkat_IPK + Jenis_jalur_masuk * Asal_daerah_sekolah + Asal_daerah_sekolah * Tingkat_IPK + Jenis_jalur_masuk * Tingkat_IPK
Cell s and s a,b Observed Standardi Jenis Jalur Asal Daerah Tingkat Residu zed Adjusted Devian Sekolah IPK % % al ce tertulis 16 7.0% 14.008 6.1% 1.992.549 1.339 2.063 10 4.3% 9.388 4.1%.612.204.433 1.124 25 10.9% 27.605 12.0% -2.605 -.528-1.517-2.226 12 5.2% 13.992 6.1% -1.992 -.550-1.339-1.920 30 13.0% 30.612 13.3% -.612 -.119 -.434-1.101 33 14.3% 30.395 13.2% 2.605.507 1.516 2.330 unggulan sekolah 6 2.6% 7.992 3.5% -1.992 -.717-1.338-1.855 4 1.7% 4.612 2.0% -.612 -.288 -.433-1.067 20 8.7% 17.395 7.6% 2.605.650 1.516 2.363 16 7.0% 14.008 6.1% 1.992.549 1.339 2.063 27 11.7% 26.388 11.5%.612.127.433 1.113 31 13.5% 33.605 14.6% -2.605 -.486-1.516-2.237 b. Design: Constant + Jenis_jalur_masuk + Asal_daerah_sekolah + Tingkat_IPK + Jenis_jalur_masuk * Asal_daerah_sekolah + Asal_daerah_sekolah * Tingkat_IPK + Jenis_jalur_masuk * Tingkat_IPK
Lampiran 12. Estimasi Parameter Parameter Estimates b,c 95% Confidence Interval Parameter Estimate Std. Error Z Sig. Lower Bound Upper Bound Constant 3.365.145 23.282.000 3.082 3.648 [Jenis_jalur_masuk = 1].192.132 1.448.148 -.068.452 [Jenis_jalur_masuk = 2] 0 a..... [Asal_daerah_sekolah = 1] -.352.195-1.810.070 -.734.029 [Asal_daerah_sekolah = 2] 0 a..... [Tingkat_IPK = 1] -.827.227-3.648.000-1.271 -.383 [Tingkat_IPK = 2] -.116.182 -.636.525 -.473.241 [Tingkat_IPK = 3] 0 a..... [Asal_daerah_sekolah = 1] * [Tingkat_IPK = 1] [Asal_daerah_sekolah = 1] * [Tingkat_IPK = 2] [Asal_daerah_sekolah = 1] * [Tingkat_IPK = 3] [Asal_daerah_sekolah = 2] * [Tingkat_IPK = 1] [Asal_daerah_sekolah = 2] * [Tingkat_IPK = 2] [Asal_daerah_sekolah = 2] * [Tingkat_IPK = 3].111.345.322.748 -.565.787-1.052.356-2.953.003-1.750 -.354 0 a..... 0 a..... 0 a..... 0 a..... a. This parameter is set to zero because it is redundant. b. Model: Poisson c. Design: Constant + Jenis_jalur_masuk + Asal_daerah_sekolah + Tingkat_IPK + Asal_daerah_sekolah * Tingkat_IPK