Global Indices Closing Change %Chg %Ytd P/E Americas INDU Index 24,893.49 253.04 1.03 0.70 20.08 SPX Index 2,698.63 35.69 1.34 0.94 21.83 CCMP Index 7,143.62 130.105 1.86 3.48 37.64 IBOV Index 83,542.84 2644.14 3.27 9.35 20.52 EMEA UKX Index 7,213.97 45.96 0.64 (6.16) 20.58 CAC Index 5,165.26 56.02 1.10 (2.77) 17.16 RTSSTD Index 14,772.81 41.5 0.28 8.05 7.51 IBEX Index 9,686.20 35.5 0.37 (3.56) 14.82 FTSEMIB Index 22,433.75 399.33 1.81 2.66 3.88 AEX Index 525.64 5.07 0.97 (3.48) 17.18 SMI Index 8,899.10 146.46 1.67 (5.15) 24.35 Asia / Pacific NKY Index 21,331.67 177.5 0.84 (6.30) 15.68 HSI Index 30,515.60 676.07 2.27 1.99 14.21 SHCOMP Index 3,199.16 14.2 0.45 (3.27) 16.26 TWSE Index 10,421.09 49.34 0.48 (2.08) 15.26 KOSPI Index 2,421.83 26.64 1.11 (1.85) 12.90 JCI Index 6,594.40 16.223 0.25 3.76 24.73 SET Index 1,792.09-7.94-0.44 2.19 18.58 PCOMP Index 8,598.11 27.97 0.33 0.46 23.23 SENSEX Index 34,155.95-144.52-0.42 0.29 23.29 FSSTI Index 3,402.86-12.21-0.36 (0.00) 11.23 Description Last Previous %Chg Market Capitalization (IDR Trillion) 7,334.99 7,316.87 0.25 Transaction Volume (Million Shares) 7,757.00 10,352.84-25.07 Transaction Value (IDR Million) 5,777.00 6,931.63-16.66 Stocks Value (IDR) 744.75 669.54 11.23 Net Foreign (IDR Million) (526,379.00) (220,997.13) 138.18 Commodities Last Previous %Chg Nickel (US$/Ton) 14,100.00 13,450.00 4.83 Copper (US$/Ton) 7,163.00 6,988.00 2.50 Tins (US$/Ton) 21,550.00 21,500.00 0.23 Oil (US$/BBL) (*) 60.60 59.19 2.38 Gas (US$/MMBTU) 2.45 2.51-2.61 Coal (US$/Ton) (**) 104.40 102.65 1.70 Gold (USD/OZ) 1,351.28 1,350.67 0.05 CPO PALMROTT(USD/ton) 655.00 655.00 0.00 CPO MALAYSIA(RM/ton) 2,497.50 2,495.00 0.10 (*) WTI Cushing (**) McCloskey Newscatle ADR Stocks Bloomberg Last (US$) % Conversition Last (IDR) Code (US$) Chg (IDR) Stocks Code Last (US$) %Change Conv (Rp) Last (IDR) Telkom TLK US 29.84 0.24 9,921.60 4040.00 Company/Industry Updates Recommendation TP (IDR) PT Jasa Marga (Persero) Tbk (JSMR) BUY 7,250 PT Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk (MAPI) BUY 7,970 MARKET PREDICTION TODAY The Potential for the Strengthening Index Continues Global bourses were closed higher on Wednesday (2/14). On US stocks, Dow rose to 24,893 (+1.0%), while in European bourses, the average index increased 0.9%. In Asian bourses, Nikkei fell 0.4% to 21,154 while Hangseng strengthened to 30,515 (+2.3%). In commodity exchanges, WTI oil price is currently at US$60.8 per barrel. Global bourses rose amid a rise in US inflation in January 2018 by 0.5% MoM, far exceeding economists' expectations of 0.3%. On the other hand, US retail sales in January 2018 fell 0.3% MoM vs. consensus rose 0.3%. The disappointing US retail sales data offset investors' concerns about the Fed's move which is expected to be more aggressive in raising the Fed Fund Rate due to rising US inflation. In domestic market, the JCI on Wednesday yesterday was slightly closed up by 0.3% to 6,594 amid the mixed movements of Asian bourses. In addition, foreign investors sell off was also limiting the strengthening JCI. Foreign investor booked a net sell of Rp526.4 billion with the most sell-off in stocks of BBCA, TLKM and BBRI. We expect that the JCI s strengthening is potentially to continue as the strengthening in global bourses in responding US inflation data and US retail sales. Furthermore, today will be released 7 days reverse repo rate (7DRRR) which is expected to remain at 4.25% and may impact to the index s trend movement. Our top stocks pick for today are GMFI, ASII, and LSIP with the index movement in the range of 6,544 6,643. Analyst: Thennesia Debora (thennesia@bnisekuritas.co.id) COMPANY/INDUSTRY UPDATE The Net Profit of PT Jasa Marga (JSMR) Grew by 16.5% YoY. BUY. Analyst: Maxi Liesyaputra. PT Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI) on its Export Strategy. BUY. Analyst: Dessy Lapagu. Daily Report is also available in BNI Sekuritas website : www.bnisekuritas.co.id
HIGHLIGHT NEWS PT Bank Tabungan Pensiunan Nasional Tbk (BTPN) until December 31, 2017 achieved a net profit of Rp1.22 trillion, or was down compared to the net profit of Rp1.75 trillion in the same period last year. PT Pembangunan Perumahan (Persero) Tbk (PTPP) obtained a consolidated new contract of Rp2.33 trillion in January 2018. No Stock Top Value (IDR) 1 PGAS IJ 522,883,596,288 2 BBCA IJ 357,981,585,408 3 BBRI IJ 261,054,988,288 4 TLKM IJ 255,122,358,272 5 ASII IJ 200,440,365,056 PT Bank Danamon Indonesia Tbk (BDMN) reached a net profit of Rp3.7 trillion in 2017 or grew by 38% year-on-year (YOY) from 2016, boosted by the improving non-performing loans and net interest margin. PT Garuda Indonesia Tbk (GIAA) is aggressively developing non-ticket business. The company targets non-ticket revenue or ancillary revenue to increase by 42.11% year-on-year (YOY) this year. PT Adira Dinamika Multifinance Tbk (ADMF) obtained the increasing profit of 39.6% as of 31 December 2017 to Rp1.40 trillion compared to a profit of Rp1.00 trillion in the same period last year. (Source: IQ Plus; Bisnis Indonesia) 40,000,000 30,000,000 20,000,000 10,000,000 0-10,000,000-20,000,000-30,000,000-40,000,000-50,000,000 Net Foreign BUY Accumulation Accumulation JCI Index 4/01/2017 16/01/2017 26/01/2017 7/02/2017 20/02/2017 2/03/2017 14/03/2017 24/03/2017 6/04/2017 20/04/2017 4/05/2017 17/05/2017 30/05/2017 12/06/2017 22/06/2017 12/07/2017 24/07/2017 3/08/2017 15/08/2017 28/08/2017 8/09/2017 20/09/2017 3/10/2017 13/10/2017 25/10/2017 6/11/2017 16/11/2017 28/11/2017 11/12/2017 21/12/2017 5/01/2018 17/01/2018 29/01/2018 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 No Stock Top Volume (Shares) 1 MYRX IJ 809,519,700.00 2 RIMO IJ 749,175,700.00 3 TRAM IJ 530,061,500.00 4 BUMI IJ 509,133,300.00 5 BKSL IJ 357,948,000.00 No Top Gainers % Change 1 MYTX IJ 28.57 2 ISSP IJ 20.16 3 TRUS IJ 20.14 4 FORU IJ 16.67 5 PTIS IJ 16.59 No Top Losers % Change 1 YPAS IJ -24.22 2 AKPI IJ -15.63 3 INCF IJ -12 4 RIMO IJ -10.8 5 ATIC IJ -9.03 No Leading Movers % Change 1 ASII IJ 1.21 2 HMSP IJ 0.62 3 PGAS IJ 5.93 4 SMGR IJ 3.09 5 INKP IJ 3.68 8,000 7,000 USD/IDR Currency and JCI JCI Index USDIDR 13,700 13,600 No Lagging Movers % Change 1 UNVR IJ -0.77 2 BBRI IJ -0.52 3 BBCA IJ -0.42 4 LPPF IJ -2.81 5 PNBN IJ -2.46 6,000 13,500 5,000 13,400 4,000 13,300 3,000 13,200 2,000 13,100 1,000 13,000 0 12,900 2
COMPANY/INDUSTRY UPDATE News: The Net Profit of PT Jasa Marga (JSMR) Grew by 16.5% YoY JSMR posted a slight increase in toll and other revenues growth of 1% YoY to Rp 8.9 trillion in FY17. The largest revenue contributor was Jakarta-Cikampek toll road of Rp 1.27 trillion. Operating profit increased by 11.6% YoY to Rp 4.6 trillion, triggered by gains on divestment of Rp 563.5 billion. Meanwhile its net profit jumped quite significantly by 16.5% YoY to Rp 2.2 trillion in FY17, among others on the back of the declining finance cost of 16.0% YoY to Rp 1.27 trillion. Interim result (Rp billion) FY16 FY17 yoy 4Q17 3Q17 Revenue 8,832.35 8,921.67 1.01% 2,139.33 2,253.53 Operating profit 4,165.50 4,648.09 11.59% 1,013.22 1,226.71 Net income 1,889.34 2,200.36 16.46% 298.25 885.97 EPS (Rp) 276.97 303.15 9.45% Operating margin 47.16% 52.10% 47.36% 54.44% Net margin 21.4% 24.7% 13.9% 39.3% Analyst Opinion: JSMR s net profit in FY17 was below our expectation of Rp 2.6 trillion, among others due to a slight increase in toll and other revenues growth of 1% YoY. JSMR was benefited by the declining finance cost and gains on divestment. We estimate JSMR to book revenue and net profit growth of 22.6% YoY to Rp 10.9 trillion and 11.7% YoY to Rp 2.5 trillion respectively in FY18. Moreover, operating margin is forecasted to reach 46.2%, while net profit margin would be 22.5%. Meanwhile, the estimated ROE and ROA are 14.7% and 3.9% correspondingly this year. Currently, JSMR stock is traded with forward 2018E PER and 2018E PBV of 15.7x and 2.3x consecutively. Therefore, we set BUY recommendation for JMSR with a target price (TP) of Rp7,250 per share. Income statement (Rp billion) 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018E Toll and other revenue 7,227.79 7,630.70 8,832.35 8,921.67 10,940.75 Operating profit 3,072.56 3,477.70 4,165.50 4,648.09 5,054.63 Interest expense (1,215.30) (1,405.00) (1,509.00) (1,268.00) (1,499.40) Pretax income 1,850.56 2,068.40 2,649.68 3,251.33 3,425.18 Minority interest 184.70 147.20 86.26 106.83 128.72 Net income 1,421.66 1,466.50 1,889.34 2,200.36 2,457.85 Basic EPS 209.07 215.66 277.84 323.53 361.39 EBITDA 3,199.83 4,264.25 5,037.05 5,469.33 6,346.17 Balance sheet (Rp billion) 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017E 2018E Cash 3,514.06 3,290.78 3,323.20 4,124.97 6,444.91 7,847.10 Short-term investment 6.63 7.14 7.00 7.71 8.49 9.33 Accounts receivable 177.20 48.09 164.40 8,278.50 7,450.65 4,470.39 Other current assets 90.42 199.80 234.50 554.72 258.54 283.28 Total current assets 3,788.31 3,545.82 3,729.10 12,965.90 14,162.59 12,610.10 Toll concession rights and ot 21,959.60 23,941.40 24,864.70 34,703.31 39,908.81 45,298.07 Total Assets 28,064.35 31,859.99 36,724.85 53,500.32 59,636.01 62,965.04 Liabilities and Shareholders' Accounts payable 100.00 182.10 137.50 134.77 99.51 119.90 Short-term borrowings 1,857.20 863.06 2,762.80 6,765.31 6,798.55 6,835.11 Other short-term liabilities 2,914.07 3,255.82 4,643.10 11,726.88 12,469.59 13,852.30 Total Current Liabilities 4,871.27 4,300.97 7,543.40 18,626.96 19,367.64 20,807.31 Long-term borrowings 10,464.57 12,629.27 11,974.40 14,590.82 19,916.27 19,760.15 Other long-term liabilities 2,539.83 3,909.06 4,838.70 3,943.79 2,473.40 2,812.36 Total Long-Term Liabilities 13,004.41 16,538.33 16,813.10 18,534.61 22,389.67 22,572.52 Total Liabilities 17,875.68 20,839.31 24,356.50 37,161.57 41,757.31 43,379.82 Minority interest 1,559.60 1,560.60 1,950.20 2,659.71 2,766.54 2,895.27 Total 8,629.69 9,460.10 10,418.55 13,679.15 15,112.49 16,690.19 Analyst: Maxi Liesyaputra (maxi@bnisekuritas.co.id) 3
COMPANY/INDUSTRY UPDATE News: PT Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI) on its Export Strategy Analyst Opinion: opened its prospective Zara store in Vietnam while MAPI still cooperates with the existing retailer in Thailand. MAPI still continues to maintain its specialty stores in fashion segment which are contributed positively to MAPI s revenues, especially the Inditex brands (Zara, Massimo Dutti, Pull&Bear). We see that with the supporting capex allocation of approximately Rp800 billion this year, MAPI will be able to increase its market share with the expansion target of 200 new stores. Currently, MAPI stock is traded with PE of 35.2x and PBV of 2.96x which its PE is still higher than peers average with PE of 24.7x but lower than peers average with PBV of 5.71x. Meanwhile, the stock price has been appreciated by 15.3% as of YTD. Recommendation: BUY with target price (TP) of Rp7,970 per share. The TP has an upside potential of 11.5% from its closing price of Rp7,150 on February 14 th, 2018. Analyst: Dessy Lapagu (dessy@bnisekuritas.co.id) 4
TARGET PRICE 5
TARGET PRICE 6
TEAM Phone : +62 21 25543946 (Hunting) Fax : +62 21 57935831 Email : research@bnisekuritas.co.id Website : www.bnisekuritas.co.id Norico Gaman (Head of Research Division) norico@bnisekuritas.co.id Ext: 3934 Investment Strategy Maxi Liesyaputra (Head of Research Department) maxi@bnisekuritas.co.id Ext: 3968 Construction, Property, Infrastructure, Cement Ariawan (Head of Fixed Income Research Department) ariawan@bnisekuritas.co.id Ext: 2098 Fixed Income Market, Corporate & Government Bond Andri Zakarias Siregar (Head of Technical Analysis Research Department) andri.zakarias@bnisekuritas.co.id Ext: 2054 Market Strategy, Currency, Commodities, Bond & Stocks Thennesia Debora ( Analyst) thennesia@bnisekuritas.co.id Ext: 2123 Transportation, Automotive, Heavy Equipment, Plantation, Health Care Ankga Adiwirasta ( Analyst) ankga.adiwirasta@bnisekuritas.co.id Ext: 3986 Consumer Good, Banking, Metal Mining, Telecommunication, Tower Infrastructure Dessy Lapagu ( Analyst) dessy@bnisekuritas.co.id Ext: 2051 Poultry, Crops, Fishery, Retail, Coal Mining, Pharmaceutical Ahmad Hapiz (Fixed Income Analyst) ahmad.hapiz@bnisekuritas.co.id Ext: 3978 Fixed Income Market, Corporate & Government Bond R. Venia Allani Meissalina (Research Analyst/Assistant) venia.allani@bnisekuritas.co.id Ext: 2050 Data Administrator Indah Lestari Permata H. (Research Analyst/Assistant) indah.lestari@bnisekuritas.co.id Ext: 2073 Data Administrator 7
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