Batavia Technical Corner Parningotan Julio, CMT julio@bps.co.id IHSG : - Small candle dan MA-5 hari menjadi resistance yang menahan penguatan IHSG. - ROC upward crossover MA-5 hari dan break bearish trend line. - Volume perdagangan dibawah average 1 bulan. - Bollinger band mulai bergerak menyempit. Comment: - Weak rebound, IHSG diperkirakan masih akan cenderung untuk bergerak mixed pada perdagangan awal pekan ini. Support di level 4,900-4,855, resistance 4,960 4,930.
BBNI (Rp 5,050) Speculative Buy (SB) BBNI : - Harga upward crossover MA-5 diiringi minat beli yang besar (white long candle dengan volume yang tinggi). - Relative Strength terhadap IHSG dalam trend bullish dan break keatas resistance dan MA-5 hari. - Indikator ROC rebound dan upward crossover MA-5 hari dan break keatas resistance. - Bollinger band kembali mulai bergerak melebar. Recommendation: - Speculative buy. Support: Rp. 5,000 Rp. 4,900, resistance: Rp. 5,150 - Rp. 5,250. Stop loss: Rp. 4,975. 2
BMRI (Rp 10,050) Buy if Break (BiB) BMRI : - Harga kembali menguji resistance rectangle pattern di level Rp. 10,050. - Relative Strength terhadap IHSG membentuk double bottom pattern. - ROC break keatas bearish trend line dan MA-5 hari. - Volume perdagangan dibawah average 1 bulan. Recommendation: - Buy if break Rp. 10,050. Stop loss: Rp. 9,950, resistance: Rp. 10,350 - Rp. 10,550. 3
MNCN (Rp 3,075) Speculative Buy (SB) MNCN : - Candle white marubozu dengan badan yang panjang dan volume yang kuat (minat beli besar). - Stochastic rebound setelah menguji support oversold area. - Harga break keatas resistance di level Rp. 3,025. - Bollinger band mulai melebar. Recommendation: - Speculative buy. Support: Rp. 3,025, resistance: Rp. 3,200 Rp. 3,275. Stop loss: Rp. 3,000. 4
What The Chart Says? Ticker S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 Price Rec View Sektor Industri Dasar & Kimia (Basic Industry & Chemicals) Sell if Stochastic menguat dan memasuki overbought area, penguatan tidak diiringi INTP 23,417 23,733 23,967 24,283 24,517 24,050 Break S1 volume yang kuat, candle hanging man pattern, tertahan upper Bollinger band Sell if Candle membentuk stalled pattern, volume dibawah average 1 bulan, Stochastic, SMCB 3,867 3,908 3,942 3,983 4,017 3,950 Break S1 MACD, RS-IHSG, RSI dan ROC uptrending, indikator Bollinger band widening Sektor Barang Konsumsi (Consumer Goods Industry) Sell if Candle black marubozu dengan badan yang relatif panjang dan volume tinggi, INDF 7,167 7,233 7,367 7,433 7,567 7,300 Break S1 masih dalam rectangle pattern, volume perdagangan tinggi, RS-IHSG bearish Speculative Stochastic menguat dan memasuki overbought area, break keatas bearish trend UNVR 22,583 22,767 22,933 23,117 23,283 22,950 Buy line dengan volume yang kuat, penguatan tertahan oleh upper Bollinger band Sektor Keuangan (Finance) Sell if Koreksi tertahan support rectangle pattern, volume perdagangan tipis, MACD BBRI 8,400 8,450 8,550 8,600 8,700 8,500 Break Price bearish, Stochastic memasuki oversold area, RS-IHSG masih downtrending Sektor Infastruktur (Infastructure) Sell if MA-5 berbalik arah melemah, volume perdagangan tipis, black long candlestick, TLKM 10,467 10,583 10,817 10,933 11,167 10,700 Break Price Stochastic dead cross, koreksi menguji lower asecending triangle pattern Sektor Pertambangan (Mining) PTBA 14,683 14,867 15,133 15,317 15,583 15,050 Sell Harga downward crossover MA-5 dan MA-50 hari, Stochastic dead cross di overbought area, volume perdagangan diatas average, bearish engulfing pattern Sell if Harga downward crossover MA-5, Stochastic melemah & keluar dari overbought ANTM 1,373 1,387 1,403 1,417 1,433 1,400 Break Price area, Bollinger band menyempit, RS terhadap IHSG downward crossover MA-5 Sektor Aneka Industri (Michellaneous Industry) ASII 7,517 7,583 7,717 7,783 7,917 7,650 Sell Indikator Stochastic dan MACD membentuk dead cross, volume perdagangan tipis, Relative Strength terhadap IHSG bearish, ROC rebound dari MA-5 hari Sektor Properti & Real Estate (Property & Real Estate) Buy if Rebound setelah menguji support, penguatan tertahan resistance, volume tidak WIKA 1,992 2,058 2,092 2,158 2,192 2,125 Break Price besar, Stochastic, MACD, RS-IHSG & ROC bullish, Bollinger band menyempit Note: Perhitungan support dan resistance menggunakan rumus pivot, bisa berbeda dengan hasil perhitungan yang menggunakan chart. Apabila harga naik di atas level pivot, maka saham tersebut berpeluang untuk mencatatkan penguatan. Apabila harga turun di bawah level pivot, maka saham tersebut berpeluang untuk mengalami pelemahan. Batavia Prosperindo Sekuritas Investment Ratings: Trading Buy (TB): kecenderungan harga menguat cukup tinggi Speculative Buy (SB) : harga berpotensi menguat, namun dengan risiko tertentu Buy if Break (BiB) : harga berpotensi menguat bila break resistance atau pattern tertentu Sell if Break (SiB) : harga berpotensi melemah bila break support atau pattern tertentu Trading Sell (TS) : kecenderungan harga melemah cukup tinggi Stoploss : level risiko maksimal apabila pergerakan tidak sesuai dengan ekspektasi Resistance : level ekspektasi harga mengalami tahanan, dapat dijadikan sebagai tempat profit taking (minimal return) Risk & Reward : perbandingan antara risiko maksimal dengan minimum return 5
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