Weekly Technical View The Gap must be filled Technical Report Jan 26, 2015 Market Recap Pada minggu lalu indeks mengalami kenaikan 3,4% dan ditutup di level 5323.885 yang merupakan rekor penutupan tertinggi. Betrand Raynaldi +62-21-5151140 betrand@dwsec-id.com says astic golden cross di area jenuh beli sementara dan juga meningkat namun sayangnya volume menurun dibanding minggu lalu. Sentiment Pergerakan IHSG bukan hanya dipengaruhi oleh factor external (dari luar Indonesia) dan harga komoditas dan minyak namun faktor domestic mengenai ketegangan antara polri dan KPK juga akan menjadi sorotan investor. This Week s Prediction Pada minggu ini kami perkirakan akan terkoreksi dengan target menutup gap bawah di 5267 Trading Strategy Buy on Weakness Analysts who prepared this report are registered as research analysts in Indonesia but not in any other jurisdiction. PLEASE SEE ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS AND IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES & DISCLAIMERS IN APPENDIX 1 AT THE END OF REPORT.
Technical Analysis Buy On weakness IHSG Support 5.225 Resistance 5.355 Close 5.324 Sentiment Pergerakan IHSG bukan hanya dipengaruhi oleh factor external (dari luar Indonesia) dan harga komoditas dan minyak namun faktor domestic mengenai ketegangan antara polri dan KPK juga akan menjadi sorotan investor. OB DN Technical View Daily Analysis Pada minggu lalu indeks mengalami rally penguatan yang dimulai dari hari selasa sampai jumat, dan 2 kali berturut-turut membuat rekor tertinggi. Semua indicator mendukung penguatan ini, Namun sayangnya pergerakan indeks membuat gap dibawah yakni dilevel 5267 dan volume perdagangan pada hari jumat mulai menurun. Key Charts Chart 1. Daily Chart Chart 2. Weekly Chart 2
Sell Stock in Focus Selling price 6.100 Re Entry Price 5.500 Close 6.100 GC PT. Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk (MAPI) Kenaikan 9% pada minggu lalu, melanjutkan kenaikan 4 minggu berturut-turut juga membuat saham MAPI menembus 2 garis resistancenya,namun sayangnya volume transaksi semakin berkurang. Semua indicator menunjukan pelanjutan kenaikan namun secara chart harian indicator telah jenuh beli dan gap di 5475 membuat saham ini terkoreksi. Strategi yang dapat dilakukan adalah jual dulu dengan target masuk kembali di 5500. Sell on Strength PT Astra International Tbk Selling price 8.100 Re entry Price 7.650 Close 8.075 OB (ASII) Kenaikan 10% pada minggu telah membuat saham ini kembali masuk area jenuh beli baik mingguan maupun harian, walaupun volume menyertai kenaikan tersebut namun adanya gap dibawah yakni dilevel 7750 dapat membuat ASII rentan terkena profit taking. Sehingga strategi yang dapat dilakukan adalah jual dulu dengan target masuk kembali di 7650. Chart 3 Chart 4. 3
Technical Analysis Speculate Buy Target price 396 Stop-loss 360 Close 370 OS DN PT Eagle High Plantation Tbk (BWPT) Pada perdagangan minggu lalu, BWPT membentuk doji, indicator stochastic menunjukan oversold dan mulai meningkat walaupin masih menurun, namun dilihat dari daily chart pada minggu lalu saham ini kemungkinan mematahkan trend turunnya. Sehingga strategi yang dilakukan adalah beli dengan target harga di 396. Trading Buy/ Sell On Strength PT Matahari Putra Prima Tbk. Target price 3.600 (MPPA) Stop Loss 3.275 Close 3.410 GC Saham MPPA mengalami rally yang kuat pada minggu lalu dengan penguatan 17%, rally ini juga disertai dengan penningkatan volume, indicator stochastic telah golden cross dan semua indicator mendukung pelanjutan kenaikan. Secara harian volume transaksi mulai melemah pada jumat kemarin, walaupun indicator harian masih mendukung penguatan. Strategi yang dipakai adalah trading buya atau sell on strength dengan target harga di 3600. Chart 5. Chart 6. Source:HOTS, Source: HOTS, 4
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