Batavia Technical Corner Parningotan Julio, CMT julio@bps.co.id IHSG : - Indicator Stochastic membentuk dead cross di overbought area. - Volume perdagangan dibawah average perdagangan 1 bulan. - Badan candle cukup kecil dan menutup gap. - Indikator Bollinger band menyempit. Comment: - Trend bullish masih belum patah walau terlihat mulai melemah, oleh karenanya pada perdagangan hari ini IHSG diperkirakan masih akan cenderung bergerak mixed. Support di level 4,825, resistance 4,900.
BJTM (Rp 465) Speculative Buy (SB) BJTM : - Break consolidation pattern dan melanjutkan trend bullish. - Stochastic golden cross dan masuk kedalam overbought area. - White candle dengan badan yang panjang dan volume yang tinggi. - Relative Strength terhadap IHSG dan ROC upward crossover MA-5 hari. Recommendation: - Speculative Buy. Support: Rp. 460, resistance: Rp.480. Stop loss: Rp. 455. 2
BMTR (Rp 2,475) Buy if Break (BiB) BMTR : - Candle white marubozu dengan badan yang relatif panjang dan volume yang kuat. - ROC dan Relative Strength terhadap IHSG up trending. - Harga menguji resistance dan upper Bollinger band. - ADX dan +DI line mengindikasikan trend bullish. Recommendation: - Buy if break Rp. 2,475. Stop loss: Rp. 2,450, resistance: Rp. 2,575 Rp. 2,625. 3
CPIN (Rp 4,725) Speculative Buy (SB) CPIN : - Break keatas resistance dan membentuk all time high, namun tertahan upper Bollinger band. - Break out diiringi oleh volume perdagangan yang sangat tinggi. - Indikator ROC upward crossover MA-5 hari. - Bollinger band mulai melebar. Recommendation: - Speculative Buy. Support: Rp. 4,675 Rp. 4,600, resistance: Rp. 4,975. Stop loss: Rp. 4,575. 4
What The Chart Says? Ticker S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2 Price Rec View Sektor Industri Dasar & Kimia (Basic Industry & Chemicals) INTP 22,283 22,417 22,633 22,767 22,983 22,550 Sell Stochastic dead cross dan keluar dari overbought area, volume perdagangan tipis, harga downward crossover MA-5 hari, RS-IHSG dalam trend bearish Buy if Stochastic memasuki overbought area, MACD golden cross, volume dibawah JPFA 8,550 8,800 8,950 9,200 9,350 9,050 Break Price average 1 bulan, Bollinger band melebar, ROC downward crossover MA-5 hari Sektor Barang Konsumsi (Consumer Goods Industry) KLBF 1,250 1,270 1,300 1,320 1,350 1,290 Sell Harga downward cross MA-5 hari, Stochastic dead cross di overbought area, volume dibawah average perdagangan 1 bulan, Bollinger band mulai menyempit Sektor Keuangan (Finance) Speculative MACD membentuk golden cross, candle white marubozu tidak mengkonfirmasi BMRI 9,750 9,850 9,900 10,000 10,050 9,950 Buy reversal pattern, volume perdagangan tipis, indikator Bollinger band menyempit Sektor Infastruktur (Infastructure) PGAS 5,067 5,133 5,267 5,333 5,467 5,200 Sell Mengkonfirmasi shooting star pattern, candle black marubozu dengan badan yang panjang dan volume yang tinggi, gapping down, downward crossover MA-5 Sektor Pertambangan (Mining) ANTM 1,300 1,310 1,330 1,340 1,360 1,320 Sell Harga downward cross MA-50 dan MA-200 hari, Stochastic dead cross, candle black marubozu dengan badan yang panjang, volume perdangan cukup tipis Sektor Aneka Industri (Michellaneous Industry) ASII 7,883 7,967 8,133 8,217 8,383 8,050 Sell Terkoreksi setelah gagal menembus resistance, candle black marubozu dengan body yang panjang, Stochastic dead cross di overbought area, volume melemah Sektor Properti & Real Estate (Property & Real Estate) Sell if Stochastic menguat dan masuk kedalam overbought area, candle membentuk MDLN 847 863 887 903 927 880 Break S1 doji, volume perdagangan tinggi, indikator Bollinger band semakin melebar Speculative Stochastic dan MACD up trending, badan candle panjang dengan volume yang SMRA 2,233 2,342 2,433 2,542 2,633 2,450 Buy tinggi, menguji upper Bollinger band, ROC dan RS-IHSG upward crossover MA-5 Sektor Perdagangan & Jasa ( Trade, Services, & Investment) Speculative White long candle dengan badan yang panjang dan volume diatas average 1 bln, AKRA 4,500 4,700 4,900 5,100 5,300 4,900 Buy Stochastic dead cross di overbought area, ROC upward crossover MA-50 hari Note: Perhitungan support dan resistance menggunakan rumus pivot, bisa berbeda dengan hasil perhitungan yang menggunakan chart. Apabila harga naik di atas level pivot, maka saham tersebut berpeluang untuk mencatatkan penguatan. Apabila harga turun di bawah level pivot, maka saham tersebut berpeluang untuk mengalami pelemahan. Batavia Prosperindo Sekuritas Investment Ratings: Trading Buy (TB): kecenderungan harga menguat cukup tinggi Speculative Buy (SB) : harga berpotensi menguat, namun dengan risiko tertentu Buy if Break (BiB) : harga berpotensi menguat bila break resistance atau pattern tertentu Sell if Break (SiB) : harga berpotensi melemah bila break support atau pattern tertentu Trading Sell (TS) : kecenderungan harga melemah cukup tinggi Stoploss : level risiko maksimal apabila pergerakan tidak sesuai dengan ekspektasi Resistance : level ekspektasi harga mengalami tahanan, dapat dijadikan sebagai tempat profit taking (minimal return) Risk & Reward : perbandingan antara risiko maksimal dengan minimum return 5
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