Weekly Technical Analysis July 18 th 22 th, 2011 Sectoral & Stocks Weekly Risk > Reward On An Overbought Pattern
Track Record July 11 15, 2011 Emiten Date Strategy Entry Closing Target Stop Loss Result (%) Deviasi IHSG 15-Juli Buy Breakout 4,006 4,023 4,035 0.42% 0.42% -0.3 DJIA 13-Juli Buy Breakout 12,570 12,479 12,700-0.79% 0.97% -1.7 AGRO 13-Juli Buy 164 164 172 159 0.00% -4.7 BBCA 14-Juli Buy 7,850 8,300 8,200 7,550 4.45% * 1.2 BBKP 13-Juli Buy 680 700 720 650 5.88% * -2.8 BBNI 13-Juli Buy 3,850 3,950 3,925 3,775 1.94% 0.6 Buy BBNI 13-Juli Breakout 3,925 3,950 4,050 3,850 0.63% -2.5 BBRI 18-Juli Buy 6,600 6,700 6,850 6,400 1.51% -2.2 Buy BBTN 14-Juli Breakout 1,770 1,800 1,820 1,740 1.69% -1.1 BDMN 13-Juli Buy 5,800 5,550 5,550 5,600-3.44% 0.0 PNBN 13-Juli Sell 900 890 830 920 1.11% 7.2 Deviasi = (Closing- Target)/Target * 100%) (*) Rekomendasi Pekan Sebelumnya yang telah terealisasi, Stoploss Berdasarkan Daily Closing 1
Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) Trend Bullish, pola J-Hook, stochastic Bullish, penutupan di atas 3.998 (3-week MA). Risk > Reward. Resist di 4.043/4.064/4.083. Support: 4.001/3.972/3.926. Perkiraan range: 3.950-4.100. Strategy: 1) Buy 4.000 target 4.080 stop loss dibawah 3.970; 2) Buy jika breakout diatas 4.043 target 4.080 stop loss di bawah 4.010. 2
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) Trend Bullish, pola H&S, stochastic Bullish, candle evening star, penutupan di bawah 12.573 (3-week MA). Risk > Reward. Resist di 12.596/12876/13.000. Support: 12.373/12.217/12.061. Perkiraan range: 12.100-12.600. Strategy: 1) Buy jika breakout 12.490 target 12.600 stop loss dibawah 12.350; 2) Buy 12.200 target 12.480 stop loss di bawah 12.050. 3
Indeks Sektor Aneka Industri (JAKMIND) Extend Bullish, stochastic Bullish, candle J-Hook, penutupan di atas 1.273 (3- week MA). Risk > Reward. Resist di 1360/1425/1496. Support: 1309/1273/1237. Perkiraan range: 1237-1360. 4
Astra International (ASII) Extend Bullish, stochastic Bullish, candle J-Hook, penutupan di atas 70.266 (3- week MA). Risk > Reward. Resist di 73.200/75.400/79.000. Support: 70250/69.200/68.200. Perkiraan range: 70.000-75.000. Strategy: 1) Buy 70.000 target 73.000 stop loss dibawah 68.200; 2) Buy jika tembus 73.200 target 75.200 stop loss di bawah 71.300. 5
Polychem Indonesia (ADMG) Extend Bullish, stochastic Bullish, candle J-Hook, penutupan di atas 806 (3-week MA). Risk < Reward. Resist di 910/1020/1090. Support: 850/800/730. Perkiraan range: 800-1000. Strategy: 1) Buy target 1050 stop loss dibawah 840; 2) Buy jika tembus 1090 target 1380 stop loss di bawah 990. 6
Gajah Tunggal (GJTL) Extend Bullish, stochastic Bullish, cup with handle, penutupan di atas 3216 (3- week MA). Risk < Reward. Resist: 3.325/3.525/4.625. Support: 3.150/3.050/2.950. Perkiraan range: 3.100-3.450. Strategy: 1) Buy target 3.425 stop loss dibawah 3.050; 2) Buy 2.950 target 3.300 stop loss di bawah 2.800. 7
Asia pacific fibers (POLY) Extend Bullish, stochastic Bullish, bullish broadening, penutupan di atas 476 (3-week MA). Risk < Reward. Resist: 560/620/680. Support: 470/400/360. Perkiraan range: 400-700. Strategy: 1) Buy target 620/670 stop loss dibawah 470; 2) Buy 410 target 500 stop loss di bawah 360. 8
Pan Brothers (PBRX) Trend Bullish, stochastic overbought, penutupan di bawah 501 (3-week MA). Risk > Reward. Resist: 525/570/600. Support: 480/450/425. Perkiraan range: 430-550. Strategy: 1) Buy 450 target 520 stop loss dibawah 400; 2) Buy jika breakout 550 target 600 stop loss di bawah 500. 9
Multistrada Arah Sarana (MASA) Trend Bullish, stochastic overbought, candle two crows, penutupan di bawah 566 (3- week MA). Risk > Reward. Resist: 600/660/710. Support: 530/490/450. Perkiraan range: 490-600. Strategy: 1) Buy 520 target 580 stop loss dibawah 490; 2) Buy jika breakout 600 target 700 stop loss di bawah 540. 10
Indomobil Sukses Internasional (IMAS) Trend Bullish, stochastic overbought, potensi candle three white soldier, penutupan di atas 10350 (3-week MA). Risk < Reward. Resist: 10900/12200/13650. Support: 9800/9100/8400. Perkiraan range: 9.800-12.200. Strategy: 1) Buy target 12000 stop loss dibawah 9800; 2) Buy jika breakout 12200 target 13600 stop loss di bawah 11000. 11
BNIS TECHNICAL RESEARCH TEAM Andri Zakarias Technical Analyst andri.zakarias@bnisecurities.co.id Desna Wira Sola Technical Analyst desna.wira@bnisecurities.co.id Market Strategy, Commodities, Currency, Bond & Stocks Market Strategy, Commodities, Currency, Bond & Stocks This document is not intended to be an offer, or a satisfaction of an offer, to buy or sell relevant securities (i.e. securities mentioned herein or of the same issuer and options, warrants or rights to or interest in any such securities). The information and opinions contained in this document have bee compiled from or arrived at in good faith from sources believed to be reliable. No representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is made by BNI SECURITIES or any other member of the BNI Group, including any other member of the BNI Group from whom this document may be received, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein. All opinions and estimates in this report constitute our judgement as of this date and are subject to change without notice. Dokumen ini tidak diperuntukan sebagai suatu penawaran, atau permohonan dari suatu penawaran, permintaan untuk membeli atau menjual efek dan segala hal yang berhubungan dengan efek (seperti efek yang disebutkan disini, atau dari emiten yang sama, dari waran atau hak memesan efek atau kepentingan lain dari efek tersebut). Seluruh informasi dan opini yang terdapat dalam dokumen ini dengan cara baik telah dihimpun dari atau berasal dari sumber-sumber yang dapat dipercaya dan diandalkan. Tidak ada pengatasnamaan atau jaminan, baik secara langsung maupun tidak langsung dari BNI SECURITIES atau pun pihak-pihak lain dari Grup BNI, termasuk pihak-pihak lain dari Grup BNI dari mana dokumen ini dapat diperoleh, terhadap keakuratan atau kelengkapan dari informasi yang terdapat dalam dokumen ini. Seluruh pendapat dan perkiraan dalam laporan ini merupakan pertimbangan kami pada tanggal tertera dan dapat berubah sewaktu-waktu tanpa pemberitahuan. 12