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1 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Article No Measuring Public Opinion for over 70 Years Available on Roy Morgan Online Store Monday, 20 January 2014 Roy Morgan Keyakinan Konsumen Indonesia turun ke angka (turun 3.3 poin) mengakhiri tahun 2013 Keyakinan Konsumen Indonesia turun menjadi (turun 3.3 poin) di bulan Desember 2013 kini 1.0 poin lebih rendah dari setahun yang lalu di bulan Desember 2012 (152.0). Turunnya keyakinan konsumen bulan ini terutama disebabkan berkurangnya masyarakat yang memperkirakan ekonomi Indonesia akan mengalami masa yang baik selama jangka waktu 12 bulan ke depan. Kini 79% masyarakat (turun 4 poin) memperkirakan bahwa Indonesia akan mengalami masa yang baik secara finansial selama jangka waktu 12 bulan ke depan, dan 20% (naik 4 poin) mengatakan akan mengalami masa yang buruk secara finansial. Untuk jangka panjang, 89% (turun 1 poin) masyarakat memperkirakan bahwa perekonomian Indonesia akan mengalami masa yang baik selama lima tahun ke depan dibandingkan hanya 11% (naik 1 poin) yang memperkirakan perekonomian akan mengalami masa yang buruk. Tambah lagi, kini 58% (turun 2 poin) menyatakan sekarang adalah waktu yang baik untuk membeli peralatan rumah tangga utama, dibandingkan 39% (naik 3 poin) menyatakan sekarang waktu yang buruk untuk membeli peralatan rumah tangga utama. Soal keuangan pribadi, kini 42% masyarakat Indonesia (turun 2 poin) mengatakan bahwa keuangan keluarga mereka lebih baik dari setahun yang lalu, dibandingkan 12% (naik 1 poin) mengatakan keuangan keluarga lebih buruk dari setahun yang lalu. Namun demikian, mayoritas yang semakin besar yaitu 72% masyarakat (naik 1 poin) memperkirakan keuangan keluarga mereka akan lebih baik di waktu yang sama tahun depan dibandingkan hanya 4% (tidak berubah) menyatakan akan lebih buruk. Tingkat Keyakinan Konsumen dari Roy Morgan didasarkan pada wawancara tatap-muka dengan 2,144 responden, di seluruh Indonesia bukan hanya di beberapa kota besar. Survei ini dilakukan di 22 Kota Besar, 22 Kota kecil dan desa di sekitarnya, yang secara statistik mewakili seluruh Indonesia. Laki-laki dan perempuan umur 14 tahun ke atas dipilih secara random selama bulan Desember Untuk keterangan lebih lanjut: Ira Soekirman: Office Mobile gin of Error gin of Error tergantung dari jumlah sampel yang diambil. Tabel di bawah ini menunjukkan jumlah sampel yang bisa menghasilkan tingkat kerpercayaan 95% dengan level minimum gin of Error nya. Sample Size Percentage Estimate 40%-60% 25% or 75% 10% or 90% 5% or 95% 1,000 ±3.0 ±2.7 ±1.9 ±1.4 2,000 ±2.2 ±1.9 ±1.3 ±1.0 Roy Morgan Research Ltd. A.B.N Quality System Certified to AS/NZS ISO Collins Street, Melbourne, Victoria, 3000 GPO Box 2282U, Melbourne, Victoria, 3001, Australia Tel: (03) Fax: (03) (03) melbourne@roymorgan.com

2 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence falls to (down 3.3pts) to end 2013 Indonesian Consumer Confidence fell to (down 3.3pts) in ember now 1.0pt lower than it was a year ago in ember 2012 (152.0). This month s fall was primarily driven by fewer Indonesians expecting good times for the Indonesian economy over the next 12 months. Now 79% (down 4%) of Indonesians expect Indonesia will have good times financially during the next twelve months and 20% (up 4%) say we ll have bad times financially. Over the long-term 89% (down 1%) of Indonesians expect Indonesia will have good times economically over the next five years compared to 11% (up 1%) that expect bad times economically. In addition now 58% (down 2%) of Indonesians, say now is a good time to buy major household items compared to 39% (up 3%) that say now is a bad time to buy major household items. In terms of personal finances now 42% (down 2%) of Indonesians say their family is better off financially than a year ago compared to 12% (up 1%) that say their family is worse off financially than a year ago. However, an increasing majority of 72% (up 1%) of Indonesians expect their family will be better off financially this time next year compared to only 4% (unchanged) that expect to be worse off financially. The monthly Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence Rating is based on 2,144 face-to-face interviews conducted throughout Indonesia, not just a handful of cities. The survey includes the Top 22 cities, smaller cities and towns as well as many more villages in the rural hinterland, reflecting all of Indonesia. Men and women aged 14 and over were randomly selected during the month of ember gin of Error For further information: Ira Soekirman: Office Mobile The margin of error to be allowed for in any estimate depends mainly on the number of interviews on which it is based. The following table gives indications of the likely range within which estimates would be 95% likely to fall, expressed as the number of percentage points above or below the actual estimate. The figures are approximate and for general guidance only, and assume a simple random sample. Allowance for design effects (such as stratification and weighting) should be made as appropriate. Sample Size Percentage Estimate 40%-60% 25% or 75% 10% or 90% 5% or 95% 1,000 ±3.0 ±2.7 ±1.9 ±1.4 2,000 ±2.2 ±1.9 ±1.3 ±1.0

3 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence ( ) Quarterly Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence Rating Year Jan Quarter Apr Quarter Jul Quarter Oct Quarter Yearly Average Monthly Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence Rating Jan Feb Apr May Jul Aug Oct Nov

4 Results for the Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence Rating* for the component questions ( ) are as follows: Interviews 5,707 6,376 6,362 6,244 6,393 6,233 6,312 6,297 6,685 6,815 6,729 6,758 Over the past year Better off Worse off Question 1 difference Better off Worse off Question 2 difference Good Times Bad Times Question 3 difference Good times Bad times Question 4 difference Good time to buy Bad time to buy Question 5 difference Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence Rating *The Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating is plus the simple unweighted average of the difference between the percentage of respondents who give a favourable and those who give unfavourable answers to five key questions.

5 Results for the Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence Rating* for the component questions ( ) are as follows: Interviews 6,596 6,781 6,790 6,777 6,540 6,234 6,269 6,188 6,132 9,196 7,056 6,269 Over the past year Better off Worse off Question 1 difference Better off Worse off Question 2 difference Good Times Bad Times Question 3 difference Good times Bad times Question 4 difference Good time to buy Bad time to buy Question 5 difference Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence Rating *The Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating is plus the simple unweighted average of the difference between the percentage of respondents who give a favourable and those who give unfavourable answers to five key questions.

6 Results for the Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence Rating* for the component questions (2011) are as follows: 2011 Jan Feb Apr May Jul Aug Oct Nov Interviews 2,090 2,084 2,080 2,059 2,091 2,090 2,062 2,029 2,020 2,091 2,088 2,089 Over the past year Better off Worse off Question 1 difference Better off Worse off Question 2 difference Good Times Bad Times Question 3 difference Good times Bad times Question 4 difference Good time to buy Bad time to buy Question 5 difference Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence Rating *The Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating is plus the simple unweighted average of the difference between the percentage of respondents who give a favourable and those who give unfavourable answers to five key questions.

7 Results for the Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence Rating* for the component questions (2012) are as follows: 2012 Jan Feb Apr May Jul Aug Oct Nov Interviews 2,092 2,106 2,106 2,004 2,107 1,994 1,988 2,095 2,102 2,078 2,069 2,107 Over the past year Better off Worse off Question 1 difference Better off Worse off Question 2 difference Good Times Bad Times Question 3 difference Good times Bad times Question 4 difference Good time to buy Bad time to buy Question 5 difference Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence Rating *The Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating is plus the simple unweighted average of the difference between the percentage of respondents who give a favourable and those who give unfavourable answers to five key questions.

8 Results for the Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence Rating* for the component questions (2013) are as follows: 2013 Jan Feb Apr May Jul Aug Oct Nov Interviews 2,035 1,939 2,011 2,049 2,127 2,004 2,131 2,051 2,150 2,032 2,029 2,144 Over the past year Better off Worse off Question 1 difference Better off Worse off Question 2 difference Good Times Bad Times Question 3 difference Good times Bad times Question 4 difference Good time to buy Bad time to buy Question 5 difference Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence Rating *The Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating is plus the simple unweighted average of the difference between the percentage of respondents who give a favourable and those who give unfavourable answers to five key questions.