TRIM Technicall Call Oct 15, 2014 16 Oktober 2014 JCI Outlook Last Change % Chg Idx pts IHSG pada perdagangan kemarin berhasil menembus resisten di level 4959, hari ini IHSG berpotensi mendekati level 4989 (R1). Dengan batas bawah di level 4943 (S2). Pada perdagangan hari ini menarik untuk masuk di saham KLBF. Setelah mengalami pelemahan beberapa hari KLBF pada perdagangan kemarin membentuk pola doji star sehingga mengindikasikan adanya potensi pembalikan arah untuk hari ini dengan kisaran perdagangan di level 1565-1650. Selain KLBF, saham TLKM juga pada hari ini berpotensi menguat dengan kisaran perdagangan di level 2785-2950. Saham TLKM sangat menarik rata-rata Value perdagangan 5 hari terakhir meningkat 1.12x dibandingkan rata-rata value perdagangan 20 hari, selain itu TLKM dalam 3M kedepan dalam pola tren naik(bullish). Penurunan harga minyak mentah dunia yang berimbas sentimen negatif ke harga CPO membawa pelemahan saham-saham CPO diantaranya AALI dan LSIP. AALI dan LSIP pada perdagangan kemarin melemah lebih dari 4%, hari ini LSIP dan AALI merupakan spekulasi JCI 4962.9 40.4 0.82 Leaders TLKM 2,855 80 2.88 8.69 EMTK 7,100 1,100 18.33 6.68 BBRI 10,350 250 2.48 6.58 BMRI 9,650 200 2.12 4.98 BBNI 5,525 250 4.74 4.97 SMGR 15,625 525 3.48 3.35 Laggers UNTR 17,200 (800) (4.44) (3.21) ITMG 19,700 (2,600) (11.66) (3.16) ADRO 940 (70) (6.93) (2.41) Stock Picks EXCL 5,550 (250) (4.31) (2.30) MLBI ###### (85,000) (6.14) (1.93) Ticker Last S2 S1 R1 R2 Trend 3 Month Technical Call AALI 20,825 (975) (4.47) (1.65) JCI 4,962.9 4,884 4,943 4,989 5,018 First Distr Cont'd strengthening KLBF 1,605 1,540 1,565 1,650 1,685 Cont Acc Buy TLKM 2,855 2,710 2,785 2,950 2,995 Bullish BOW 1d 5d 30d YTD GGRM 58,325 54,225 56,625 61,550 63,200 Bullish BOW JCI 0.82 (0.00) (3.54) 16.11 ICBP 11,400 10,675 11,050 11,825 12,050 Bullish BOW Basic Industry 1.87 2.36-6.88 8.35 LSIP 1,775 1,645 1,690 1,860 1,955 First Acc Spec Buy Finance 1.56 0.77-0.41 26.05 WINS 1,180 1,145 1,155 1,210 1,230 First Acc Spec Buy Trade 1.50-0.91-4.53 15.47 PWON 403 385 395 419 427 Bearish Spec Buy Prop. & Constr. 0.94 1.40-3.33 31.83 PNLF 264 251 258 273 277 Bullish BOW Consumer 0.82 0.97-0.75 17.86 TGKA 2,675 1,317 4,093 4,822 Bullish BOW Infrastructure 0.74 0.22-1.35 23.61 BPFI 545 268 834 982 Bullish BOW Misc. Industry -0.10-1.42-10.38-4.67 NIRO 214 206 210 219 222 Bearish Sell Agriculture -1.92-2.22-6.35-7.57 SUGI 416 403 409 426 432 Cont Distr Sell Mining -2.98-6.07-12.08-3.49 Last Transaction volumes (Lot million) Top gainer Last TLKM 2,855 181.4 MREI 5,075 PNLF 264 134.9 EMTK 7,100 BWPT 565 121.1 CASS 1,190 META 185 120.9 GMTD 8,475 TARA 403 108.8 BRMS 384 ADRO 940 102.4 TRIO 1,400 %Chg 23.9 18.3 13.3 13.0 10.3 10.2 Last Transaction values (Rp billion) Top loser Last TLKM 2,855 515.3 INVS 530 UNTR 17,200 252.6 BRAU 96 ASII 6,400 247.9 FORU 625 ITMG 19,700 237.9 UNIT 340 MPPA 3,020 228.5 TFCO 630 BBRI 10,350 217.4 ITMG 19,700 %Chg (7.0) (8.6) (9.4) (9.6) (10.0) (11.7) PT Trimegah Securities Tbk - Research Division Gina Novrina Nasution(gina.nasution@trimegah.com) 1
BANK BDMN 3955 1.4 1.4 6.3 4.8 Cont Acc Buy 3948 3805 3875 4060 4110 BBCA 12675 0.4 1.4 5.4 32.0 Bullish BOW 12694 12150 12350 13025 13300 BBNI 5525 4.7 4.7-2.2 39.9 First Distr Sell 5481 5100 5325 5775 5900 BBRI 10350 2.5 2.5-0.7 42.8 Bearish Sell 10300 9775 10075 10700 10900 BMRI 9650 2.1 1.6-5.6 22.9 Bearish Sell 9638 9200 9425 9975 10125 BBTN 1110 0.9 2.3 2.8 27.6 Cont Acc Buy 1110 1070 1090 1140 1160 BJBR 740-0.7-1.3-9.8-16.9 Bearish Sell 743 715 725 760 775 BTPN 4500 2.3 1.1 0.0 4.7 Bullish BOW 4475 4265 4385 4640 4710 BJTM 434-0.2-0.7-2.3 15.7 Cont Distr Sell 433 418 424 443 450 PNBN 985 0.0 2.1 14.5 49.2 Bullish BOW 263 251 258 273 277 PNLF 264 1.9 2.7 4.8 35.4 Bullish BOW 5144 4845 5010 5370 5480 RETAILER MAPI 5150 1.5 3.4-12.0-6.4 Cont Distr Sell 5144 4845 5010 5370 5480 ACES 825 2.5-2.4-14.1 39.8 Cont Distr Sell 825 775 805 860 880 RALS 765-1.9-6.1-21.1-27.8 Bearish Sell 768 725 740 790 815 MPPA 3020 0.7 8.1-7.1 55.7 Bullish BOW 3045 2860 2955 3170 3250 SILO 14000 1.8-3.4-10.0 47.4 Bullish BOW 13888 13100 13575 14500 14775 TRANSPORTATION GIAA 460 9.5 10.6 9.3-7.2 Bearish Sell 450 397 432 491 506 TAXI 1180-1.3-1.3-10.3-19.2 First Distr Sell 1186 1130 1150 1215 1250 PHARMACEUTICAL KAEF 1110 1.8 7.8-8.3 88.1 Bearish Sell 1126 1045 1085 1180 1215 INAF 163 3.2 2.5-4.1 6.5 Bearish Sell 162 153 158 169 172 TELCO TLKM 2855 2.9 2.0 2.9 34.1 Bullish BOW 2843 2710 2785 2950 2995 ISAT 3825-0.9-1.8-4.4-7.8 Cont Distr Sell 3831 3695 3745 3920 3985 EXCL 5550-4.3-8.6-11.9 6.7 First Distr Sell 5613 5075 5250 5850 6200 CONSUMER INDF 7000 0.7 4.1-0.4 6.1 Bearish Sell 6981 6725 6850 7175 7275 ICBP 11400 3.4 7.5 1.3 11.8 Bullish BOW 11325 10675 11050 11825 12050 AISA 2205 2.1 2.1-8.5 54.2 Bearish Sell 2200 2065 2140 2300 2350 MYOR 30350-0.2 2.4 4.7 16.7 Bullish BOW 30313 29400 29825 31025 31375 UNVR 31100 0.6 1.7-0.7 19.6 Bullish BOW 31069 29900 30350 31825 32425 KLBF 1605 0.0-3.0-3.9 28.4 Cont Acc Buy 1608 1540 1565 1650 1685 GGRM 58325 2.7 3.2 4.2 38.9 Bullish BOW 58488 54225 56625 61550 63200 ROTI 1090 0.5 2.8-8.4 6.9 Bearish Sell 1091 1040 1060 1125 1150 CPO AALI 20825-4.5-5.8-10.6-17.0 Bearish Sell 21050 19575 20025 21725 22675 BWPT 565-2.6 17.2-42.1-57.5 Bearish Sell 578 515 530 600 645 LSIP 1775-4.3-5.8-2.2-8.0 First Acc Spec Buy 1794 1645 1690 1860 1955 SIMP 735-3.3-4.5-11.4-5.8 First Acc Spec Buy 740 685 705 765 800 SGRO 1800-2.4-5.5-17.4-10.0 Bearish Sell 1811 1720 1750 1860 1910 SSMS 1035-1.0-15.9-26.9 26.2 First Distr Sell 1048 975 995 1080 1130 AUTOMOTIVE ASII 6400 0.0-4.5-12.3-5.9 Bearish Sell 6425 6175 6250 6575 6725 IMAS 4300 0.0-0.1-2.3-12.2 Bearish Sell 4303 4185 4230 4390 4440 AUTO 4090-0.2-2.0 1.0 12.1 Bullish BOW 4068 3880 3985 4220 4280 GJTL 1505-2.3 3.4-11.2-10.4 Bearish Sell 1515 1440 1465 1555 1600 NIPS 273-0.7 0.0 0.4-15.4 Cont Distr Sell 274 261 265 281 288 HEAVY EQUIPMENT UNTR 17200-4.4-11.5-15.9-9.5 Bearish Sell 17425 15825 16300 18100 19175 2 2
COAL PTBA 11375-5.0-14.5-13.3 11.5 First Distr Sell 11475 10275 10675 11975 12775 HRUM 1595-5.6-16.3-23.7-42.0 Bearish Sell 1623 1475 1515 1685 1785 ADRO 940-6.9-18.6-26.3-13.8 Cont Distr Sell 960 860 885 1000 1070 ITMG 19700-11.7-25.2-24.3-30.9 Bearish Sell 20281 17075 17975 21425 23750 BUMI 122-6.2-22.3-35.8-59.3 Bullish BOW 124 109 114 130 140 INDY 610-6.9-15.3-19.2 3.4 First Distr Sell 624 555 575 650 700 TOBA 840 0.0 0.0-4.0 13.5 First Distr Sell 838 805 820 860 875 BRMS 384 10.3-0.5-5.2 93.0 Bullish BOW 376 332 361 410 423 DOID 226-6.612-12.1-2.2 146 Bullish BOW 229 198 208 241 261 POULTRY JPFA 1170 1.7-0.4-14.9-4.1 Cont Distr Sell 1168 1100 1140 1220 1245 CPIN 3860 2.1 2.5-8.2 14.4 Bullish BOW 3860 3675 3775 4000 4070 MAIN 3150-1.3-4.5-8.7-0.8 Bullish BOW 3135 2970 3035 3235 3320 CEMENT SMBR 366 0.3 1.1-8.5 10.9 Bearish Sell 367 354 360 377 382 SMGR 15625 3.5 5.9-3.4 10.4 Bearish Sell 15500 14625 15150 16200 16475 INTP 22500 1.6 3.3-6.3 12.5 Bearish Sell 22475 21450 22000 23250 23650 SMCB 2505 2.2-2.1-8.7 10.1 Bearish Sell 2496 2370 2440 2595 2640 TOLLROAD JSMR 5975 0.4-5.2-5.9 26.5 Bullish BOW 5981 5725 5825 6125 6275 INFRASTRUCTURE PTPP 2375 3.9 5.8-0.8 104.7 Cont Distr Sell 2364 2200 2300 2485 2545 WIKA 2760 3.2 10.4-4.0 74.7 Cont Distr Sell 2755 2595 2685 2875 2935 ADHI 2575 7.1 1.0-11.7 70.5 Bearish Sell 2545 2320 2465 2720 2790 WTON 1110 3.3 9.9 N/A N/A First Distr Sell 1104 1035 1075 1155 1180 WSKT 875 2.3 7.4 1.2 116.0 First Distr Sell 876 830 855 910 930 TBIG 8450-0.6 9.0 3.0 45.7 Cont Distr Sell 8413 7975 8150 8675 8900 OIL & GAS AKRA 4805 2.1-1.5-8.0 9.8 Bullish BOW 4789 4605 4700 4935 5000 PGAS 5800 0.0 1.3-3.3 29.6 Bullish BOW 5800 5600 5700 5950 6025 MEDC 3800 1.6 3.1 8.3 81.0 Cont Distr Sell 3763 3520 3670 3955 4030 WINS 1180-1.7-8.5-14.5 74.7 First Acc Spec Buy 1183 1145 1155 1210 1230 LEAD 4200-3.9-5.6-14.3 44.8 First Distr Sell 4215 4050 4105 4315 4405 ENRG 92 0.0-9.8-8.0 31.4 Bullish Sell 92 87 89 95 98 PROPERTY SMRA 1190 0.8 4.4-7.4 52.6 Bearish Sell 1188 1135 1160 1230 1250 BSDE 1475 1.4 2.1-3.0 14.3 First Acc Spec Buy 1476 1400 1440 1535 1560 ASRI 438-0.9-0.2-8.9 1.9 Bearish Sell 439 421 427 450 459 CTRA 1000 1.5 1.5-10.7 33.3 Bearish Sell 1000 945 975 1040 1060 APLN 345-1.1 4.5-5.7 60.5 Cont Distr Sell 347 330 335 356 367 MDLN 495 0.0 1.0-5.7 26.9 Bullish BOW 495 477 486 509 516 BEST 540 0.9 1.9-4.4 21.3 Bearish Sell 540 515 525 555 565 SSIA 675 0.0-1.5-15.1 20.5 Cont Distr Sell 673 635 650 695 715 KIJA 257 0.0-0.8-4.1 33.9 Cont Distr Sell 256 243 248 264 271 LPKR 970 0.5 6.0-4.4 6.6 Bearish Sell 969 910 945 1010 1035 CTRP 710 1.4 1.4-5.3 14.5 First Acc Spec Buy 711 685 695 730 745 PWON 403-0.5 0.5 1.3 49.3 Bearish Sell 405 385 395 419 427 CTRS 2060 1.2 0.7-5.7 57.3 Bearish Sell 2054 1980 2015 2115 2140 LPCK 7300 1.7-0.7-6.4 49.7 Bearish Sell 7263 6850 7100 7575 7700 BKSL 88 1.1-5.4-21.4-43.9 Bearish Sell 88 83 85 91 94 3
METAL TINS 1175-1.7-4.5-10.6 8.7 Bearish Sell 1105 1105 1130 1210 1250 INCO 3645-1.1-2.0-9.3 37.5 Cont Distr Sell 3505 3505 3555 3745 3825 ANTM 1000 1.0-1.5-11.9-8.3 Bearish Sell 960 960 980 1035 1055 4
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