POTENSI PENURUNAN EMISI GRK BID KEHUTANAN DAN LAHAN GAMBUT Dr. YETTI RUSLI MSc. - Staf Ahli Bidang Lingkungan & Perubahan Iklim - Ketua Pokja Perubahan Iklim Kemhut Peluncuran Pedoman RAD GRK, BAPPENAS Hotel Borobudur, 12 Januari 2012 YR@YETTI RUSLI
SUMBER: BAPPENAS, 2011 PERPRES NOMOR 61 TAHUN 2011 TENTANG RAN PENURUNAN EMISI GRK
DATA KARBON HUTAN SUMBER: DITJEN PLANOLOGI KEHUTANAN 2012 Note: please donot quote /under confirmation (ed.yetti Rusli)
DATA KARBON HUTAN SUMBER: DITJEN PLANOLOGI KEHUTANAN 2012 Note: please donot quote /under confirmation (ed.yetti Rusli)
DATA KARBON HUTAN SUMBER: DITJEN PLANOLOGI KEHUTANAN 2012 Note: please donot quote /under confirmation (ed.yetti Rusli)
Green Economy (UNEP 2011, Towards a Green Economy) REDD+ regime may be the best current opportunity to facilitate the transition to a green economy for (from) forestry investing 0.03% of GDP b/w 2011-2050 to conserve forests & private investment for reforestation >20% increase value added in forest industry compare to BAU
Continue.. UNEP 2011, Towards a Green Economy Forest cover (ha) 1990 2010. World Forest Area (bil) 4.17 4.03. World Planted FA (mil) 178 264 Deforestation (mil ha/y). Ann net forest loss 8.3 5.2. Ann deforestation 16 13. Ann increase planted forest 3.36 5 Positif & intensif INDIKATOR HUTAN DUNIA POSITIF
POHON - FOTOSINTESA (SERAP CO2) PERUBAHAN IKLIM - GRK CO2 2 80 % CO2 DUNIA 20 % CO2 DUNIA 1 YR@YETTI RUSLI
Note: Bali Action Plan articl 1. b. iii (REDD+) 4 PERAN UTAMA HUTAN DLM PERUB IKLIM MENYIMPAN KARBON PADAT (Stabilization of terrestrial carbon) SUMBER EMISI CO2 (REDUCING EMISSION FROM DEFORESTATION & DEGRADATION- REDD)..HANYA JIKA TERBAKAR ATAU MEMBUSUK KEMAMPUAN MENYERAP CO2 GRK & MERUBAHNYA JADI BIOMASA.. (SEQUESTRATION- OLD COMMITMENT AR-CDM) HASILKAN GREEN PRODUK.. RENEWABLE ENERGY
Note: Bali Action Plan articl 1. b. iii (REDD+) 3 PERAN UTAMA HUTAN DLM PERUB IKLIM APA MAKNANYA? Tanam lebih banyak pohon Pertahankan jml karbon padat Produksi & Gunakan Renewable Energy (dari kayu) lebih banyak banyak
Green Fuel A Honeywell UOP technician holds a vial of the company's "green fuel" a diesel equivalent that actually delivers more power and can be made from a variety of oils http://www.scientificamerican.com/slideshow.cfm?id=flyingenvironmentally-friendly-skies-on-alternativefuels&photo_id=f9e700eb-e7f2-38df-3c212a43b4b11829 Sumber: Univ of Washington, Jakarta 17 Nov 2011 WOOD and its wastes can be converted to aviation fuels, diesel, and methanol.
Strategi hitungan2an peluang bagi indonesia: PENANGGULANGAN PERUBAHAN IKLIM, BERSAMA-SAMA MENYERAP CO2 CCS INDONESIA SUARA HUTAN Contoh Carbon capture and storage (CCS) $ $ KONVERSI BIOMASA POHON- CO2 eq: BIOMASA POHON MENJADI KARBON = 0.5 KARBON MENJADI CO2 EQ= X 3.7 Biomass to CO2 = X 1.83 YR@YETTI RUSLI
Indonesia s Forests (+136 mill ha.) for Today and Tomorrow Conservation Forests 25.3 m ha. Protected Forests 30,9 m ha Production Forests 80.4 m ha Community Forests Ecosystem/ Environment Services/ Commodity Renewable Energy (Wood pellet, Methanol-4 th GenRenw En)
PENGUATAN STRATEGI INDONESIA PERAN HUTAN DLM SIKLUS CO2 NICHOLAS STERN REVIEW, 2007 p.199:
GHG concentration: CO 2, CH 4, N 2 O,.
Understanding the Fact:
TO BE CONSIDERED
facts: Mill ha/year 4.00 3.50 3.00 3.51 2.83 2.50 2.00 1.87 1.50 1.00 0.50 1.37 0.50 0.68 0.78 0.30 1.08 1.17 0.76 0.41 0.00 1990-1996 1997-2000 2001-2003 2004-2006 Seluruh Indonesia Di dalam Kawasan Hutan Di luar Kawasan Hutan (APL) Indonesia Within Forest Area Outside Forest Area Annual Rate of 2005-2007 1990-1996 1997-2000 2001-2003 2004-2006 Deforestasi FAO Indonesia 1.87 3.51 1.08 1.17 0,5 Within Forest Area 1.37 2.83 0.78 0.76 - Outside Forest Area 0.50 0.68 0.30 0.41 - YR@YETTI RUSLI
Pilihan cantik bagi Indonesia untuk dunia: FOREST CARBON, CLIMATE CHANGE (QUADRAN OF /STARTER KIT) + 20% CO2 FROM DEFOR/ LULUCF + 80% CO2 EMIISSION FROM FOSIL FUEL REDD Reducing emissions : Clean Technology Clean energy Markets (complience, voluntary) Trees as a remedy/cure for CO2 in the atmosphere (ABSORBING CO2 COOLING DOWN THE EARTH) R E D D P L U S --- new AR CDM? F o r e s t + c a r b o n LOCAL, NATIONAL, GLOBAL 19 YR@YETTI RUSLI
$ /ton CO2 or CO2eq $ /ton CO2 or CO2eq UNDERSTANDING ECONOMIC OF CLIMATE CHANGE: FOREST RELATED SCHEME AND VALUE OF CARBON FORESTS (Sequestration, Stocks, -Emission) TRANSFER PRICE MECHANISM (market based), Carbon Offset ; bilateral & multi seharusnya tdk berdampak intervensi pasar Eliasch Review 2008: have to include forests carbon in the market for ambitiuos overall emission target WHAT IS ABATEMENT COST, COST CURVE, long-term, global /regional supply-demand Carbon global supply & demand S i D glb S glb S i D dx D dy Q CO2 or CO2 eq Q CO2 or CO2 eq
Challenge: FINANCING MECHANISM should be for ALL TYPE OF FORESTS (an OPTION) 1. Funding!! PROJECT 2. INVESTMENT FUND 3. INVESTMENT PRIVATE GOVERNMENT MARKET COMMUNITY
INDONESIA SHOULD WELCOME ALL POSSIBILITIES.. Indonesia has modalities for all activities for all type of forests: The activities range from conventional forestry program (SFM, Conservation, community etc), AR CDM, REDD, REDD+ (REDD, Conservation, enhancing c stock, SFM), Up to new programs within forest and climate change (Wood Pellet, Wood Methanol) YR@YETTI RUSLI
Hutan Indonesia KEDEPAN UTK MASYARAKAT, BANGSA & DUNIA YES!! PELET YES!!! METHANOL KAYU Stokes 2008 BATU BARA BBM
Challenge: SHOULD BE THE CHANGING OF GLOBAL DEMANDS AND EXPECTATION FROM FORESTS ( REPACKAGING SFM AND IMPROVING) FINANCIAL SCHEME SHOULD GIVE BENEFITS TO THE COUNTRY AND THE WORLD GREEN ECONOMY YR@YETTI RUSLI
INOVASI AKAR Root induction (JUN) 1.5 BULAN 1.5 bulan Roots from seed 3 bulan PELET WOOD and its wastes can be converted to aviation fuels, diesel, and methanol. Thank you yetti.rusli@gmail.com 25 YR@YETTI RUSLI