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Transkripsi:

TRIM Technicall Call Oct 22, 2014 22 Oktober 2014 JCI Outlook Last Change % Chg Idx pts IHSG mengalami profit taking sebesar 11 poin (0.22%), IHSG bergerak anomali ditengah sentiment positif dari Regional dimana data GDP China diatas estimasi pasar. Bursa Eropa juga mengalami penguatan di tengah sentiment dari kinerja emiten Actelion Ltd dan Reckitt Benckiser Group Plc dimana emiten Actelion menaikkan proyeksi kinerja setahun penuh untuk kedua kalinya. Selain itu SwedBank membukukan pendapatan bersihnya diatas ekspektasi pasar. Pagi ini bursa Regional dibuka menguat seiring dengan keluarnya data ekonomi Export Jepang Sep 14 sebesar 6.9% MoM (Agts 14: -1.3 MoM0 diatas ekspektasi pasar (+6.5% MoM). Hari ini IHSG diperkirakan akan mengalami rebound setelah kemarin melemah tipis dengan kisaran perdagangan di level 4091-5051. DOID pada perdagangan kemarin masih mengalami pelemahan namun pelemahan telah terbatas sehingga bisa melakukan aksi beli dengan potensi terjadi rebound di kisaran perdagangan 204-231. SIDO dalam pola tren turun untuk 3 bulan kedepan namun dalam jangka pendek terjadi pembalikan arah dengan terjadi penguatan 3.3% pada perdagangan kemarin sehingga pada hari ini diperkirakan masih akan melanjutkan penguatan dengan resisten di level 650. JCI 5029.3 (11.2) (0.22) Leaders UNVR 31,625 450 1.44 3.70 BBCA 12,750 125 0.99 3.29 ICBP 11,325 325 2.95 2.04 DNET 1,000 100 11.11 1.53 TGKA 3,300 625 23.36 0.62 LPPF 15,950 150 0.95 0.47 Laggers GGRM 57,475 (1,800) (3.04) (3.73) EMTK 6,550 (400) (5.76) (2.43) SMGR 15,700 (300) (1.88) (1.92) Stock Picks GEMS 1,700 (250) (12.82) (1.58) MAYA 1,700 (240) (12.37) (0.89) Ticker Last S2 S1 R1 R2 Trend 3 Month Technical Call UNTR 17,250 (200) (1.15) (0.80) JCI 5,029.3 4,937 4,991 5,051 5,100 First Distr Rebound UNVR 31,625 30,400 31,050 32,750 33,300 Bullish BOW ICBP 11,325 10,725 11,025 11,700 11,900 Bullish BOW 1d 5d 30d YTD LPKR 1,010 950 980 1,050 1,075 Bearish BOW JCI (0.22) 1.57 (3.79) 17.67 TLKM 2,850 2,715 2,775 2,945 3,010 Bullish BOW Misc. Industry -1.52 1.86-10.00-3.49 BBCA 12,750 12,225 12,450 13,100 13,325 Bullish BOW Agriculture -0.80 0.00-8.75-8.09 WIKA 2,905 2,745 2,825 3,005 3,055 Cont Distr BOW Mining -0.58-0.44-11.89-2.72 ADHI 2,820 2,655 2,745 2,925 2,980 Bearish BOW Basic Industry -0.43 2.30-4.13 11.11 PGAS 5,675 5,325 5,450 5,850 6,050 Bullish BOW Trade -0.32 1.93-5.21 16.63 DOID 219 196 204 231 246 Bullish Buy at 219 Finance -0.24 1.96-1.57 28.18 SIDO 620 565 600 660 680 Bullish Buy at 620 Prop. & Constr. 0.19 3.59-0.88 37.35 META 194 185 190 200 204 Bearish Trading Buy Consumer 0.23 1.01-0.42 18.87 SUGI 423 409 415 433 438 Cont Distr Trading Buy Infrastructure 0.23 0.77-3.24 23.92 Last Transaction volumes (Lot million) Top gainer Last SIAP 167 129.9 CKRA 249 LPKR 1,010 127.3 TGKA 3,300 TARA 413 109.0 DNET 1,000 META 194 101.3 MREI 5,525 TLKM 2,850 97.7 SDPC 91 WSKT 945 90.3 SIAP 167 %Chg 24.5 23.4 11.1 10.7 8.3 7.7 Last Transaction values (Rp billion) Top loser Last BBRI 10,575 310.2 EMTK 6,550 TLKM 2,850 278.4 PGLI 101 ASII 6,500 198.4 INPP 167 BMRI 10,025 167.0 PTIS 800 BBCA 12,750 130.9 MAYA 1,700 LPKR 1,010 128.6 GEMS 1,700 %Chg (5.8) (7.3) (9.7) (11.1) (12.4) (12.8) PT Trimegah Securities Tbk - Research Division Gina Novrina Nasution(gina.nasution@trimegah.com) 1

BANK BDMN 4000 0.0 2.6-2.7 6.0 Cont Acc Buy 3994 3850 3920 4105 4160 BBCA 12750 1.0 1.0-0.4 32.8 Bullish BOW 12738 12225 12450 13100 13325 BBNI 5700 0.0 8.1-1.3 44.3 First Distr Sell 5688 5450 5550 5850 5950 BBRI 10575-1.2 4.7-2.1 45.9 Bearish Sell 10538 9975 10200 10875 11175 BMRI 10025-1.0 6.1-5.9 27.7 Bearish Sell 10019 9575 9750 10300 10525 BBTN 1155-0.4 5.0 2.7 32.8 Cont Acc Buy 1158 1110 1135 1195 1215 BJBR 750 0.7 0.7-8.5-15.7 Bearish Sell 750 720 735 770 785 BTPN 4460 0.0 1.4-2.1 3.7 Bullish BOW 4458 4335 4390 4555 4600 BJTM 441 0.2 1.4-0.9 17.6 Cont Distr Sell 441 426 432 451 459 PNBN 1000 0.0 1.5 16.3 51.5 Bullish BOW 260 251 254 266 271 PNLF 260-0.4 0.4-1.1 33.3 Bullish BOW 5575 5275 5450 5825 5925 RETAILER MAPI 5600 0.9 10.3-3.9 1.8 Cont Distr Sell 5575 5275 5450 5825 5925 ACES 795-3.6-1.2-17.2 34.7 Cont Distr Sell 804 750 765 830 865 RALS 765 2.7-1.9-21.1-27.8 Bearish Sell 771 705 740 820 845 MPPA 3000-2.8 0.0-7.6 54.6 Bullish BOW 3036 2820 2885 3135 3275 SILO 13275-1.7-3.5-16.1 39.7 Bullish BOW 13269 12600 12850 13650 14025 TRANSPORTATION GIAA 476 5.5 13.3 12.3-4.0 Bearish Sell 473 425 455 508 525 TAXI 1155 2.2-3.3-19.8-20.9 First Distr Sell 1146 1085 1120 1195 1215 PHARMACEUTICAL KAEF 1140-2.1 4.6-3.0 93.2 Bearish Sell 1133 1030 1070 1185 1245 INAF 166 1.8 5.1-0.6 8.5 Bearish Sell 166 158 162 172 175 TELCO TLKM 2850 0.2 2.7-0.7 33.8 Bullish BOW 2853 2715 2775 2945 3010 ISAT 3735-0.9-3.2-4.2-10.0 Cont Distr Sell 3745 3600 3650 3835 3915 EXCL 5875 1.3 1.3-9.3 13.0 First Distr Sell 5819 5525 5650 6000 6150 CONSUMER INDF 6800-1.4-2.2-4.6 3.0 Bearish Sell 6838 6525 6625 7025 7200 ICBP 11325 3.0 2.7 1.1 11.0 Bullish BOW 11275 10725 11025 11700 11900 AISA 2175-1.1 0.7-9.4 52.1 Bearish Sell 2180 2075 2115 2240 2295 MYOR 30500-1.6 0.3 3.0 17.3 Bullish BOW 30625 29375 29800 31375 32050 UNVR 31625 1.4 2.3-1.1 21.6 Bullish BOW 31763 30400 31050 32750 33300 KLBF 1700 0.9 5.9 0.6 36.0 Cont Acc Buy 1696 1620 1655 1750 1785 GGRM 57475-3.0 1.2 1.7 36.8 Bullish BOW 57775 54950 55875 59325 60975 ROTI 1175 2.2 8.3-3.3 15.2 Bearish Sell 1166 1090 1135 1225 1255 CPO AALI 19425-0.9-10.9-17.7-22.6 Bearish Sell 19456 18775 19025 19900 20250 BWPT 590-1.7 1.7-38.2-55.6 Bearish Sell 590 560 570 605 625 LSIP 1750-1.7-5.7-6.4-9.3 First Acc Spec Buy 1768 1655 1690 1820 1895 SIMP 735-1.3-3.3-14.0-5.8 First Acc Spec Buy 738 710 720 755 770 SGRO 1845 1.1 0.0-12.4-7.8 Bearish Sell 1869 1755 1810 1945 1995 SSMS 1105 0.5 5.7-21.6 34.8 First Distr Sell 1108 1060 1085 1140 1160 AUTOMOTIVE ASII 6500-1.5 1.6-11.6-4.4 Bearish Sell 6531 6175 6300 6725 6925 IMAS 4000-5.1-7.0-9.1-18.4 Bearish Sell 4053 3745 3835 4185 4390 AUTO 4000-3.0-2.4-5.2 9.6 Bullish BOW 4031 3810 3880 4145 4280 GJTL 1520 1.0-1.3-7.9-9.5 Bearish Sell 1524 1455 1490 1575 1600 NIPS 265 0.0-3.6-2.2-17.9 Cont Distr Sell 265 255 260 272 276 HEAVY EQUIPMENT UNTR 17250-1.1-4.2-17.7-9.2 Bearish Sell 17369 16475 16750 17825 18375 2 2

COAL PTBA 12075-1.8 0.8-5.8 18.4 First Distr Sell 12131 11250 11525 12550 13125 HRUM 1615-0.3-4.4-23.3-41.3 Bearish Sell 1618 1540 1565 1665 1705 ADRO 975 1.6-3.5-22.3-10.6 Cont Distr Sell 980 930 955 1015 1035 ITMG 20075 0.4-10.0-27.0-29.6 Bearish Sell 20044 19200 19650 20700 21000 BUMI 122-0.8-6.2-36.5-59.3 Bullish BOW 122 114 118 127 131 INDY 625 1.6-4.6-19.9 5.9 First Distr Sell 619 580 605 650 665 TOBA 835 0.0-0.6-4.0 12.8 First Distr Sell 829 770 805 875 895 BRMS 367-2.4 5.5-10.0 84.4 Bullish BOW 363 334 345 379 396 DOID 219-3.524-9.5-16.7 138 Bullish BOW 220 196 204 231 246 POULTRY JPFA 1200 0.8 4.3-9.4-1.6 Cont Distr Sell 1210 1145 1175 1255 1280 CPIN 3985 0.9 5.4-6.6 18.1 Bullish BOW 3971 3840 3895 4065 4125 MAIN 3160-0.2-0.9-6.4-0.5 Bullish BOW 3149 3025 3075 3230 3290 CEMENT SMBR 373-1.1 2.2-6.0 13.0 Bearish Sell 373 356 362 383 392 SMGR 15700-1.9 4.0-3.5 11.0 Bearish Sell 15750 15025 15275 16175 16575 INTP 23700-0.1 7.0 0.5 18.5 Bearish Sell 23575 22300 22800 24325 25000 SMCB 2525-2.1 3.1-7.2 11.0 Bearish Sell 2539 2380 2430 2620 2720 TOLLROAD JSMR 6125-0.4 2.9-4.3 29.6 Bullish BOW 6138 5850 5950 6300 6450 INFRASTRUCTURE PTPP 2465 1.4 7.9 3.8 112.5 Cont Distr Sell 2456 2330 2400 2555 2595 WIKA 2905 0.9 8.6 1.2 83.9 Cont Distr Sell 2890 2745 2825 3005 3055 ADHI 2820 0.5 17.3-3.8 86.8 Bearish Sell 2810 2655 2745 2925 2980 WTON 1180 1.7 9.8 N/A N/A First Distr Sell 1170 1100 1145 1225 1245 WSKT 945 2.2 10.5 6.2 133.3 First Distr Sell 941 890 920 980 1000 TBIG 8575 0.9 0.9 7.9 47.8 Cont Distr Sell 8531 8200 8325 8750 8925 OIL & GAS AKRA 4810-1.6 2.2-8.4 9.9 Bullish BOW 4820 4640 4710 4935 5025 PGAS 5675-0.9-2.2-6.2 26.8 Bullish BOW 5669 5325 5450 5850 6050 MEDC 3800 0.3 1.6 11.9 81.0 Cont Distr Sell 3813 3605 3715 3965 4045 WINS 1225 1.2 2.1-8.9 81.3 First Acc Spec Buy 1234 1165 1200 1285 1310 LEAD 4250-2.3-2.7-13.3 46.6 First Distr Sell 4269 4090 4150 4375 4475 ENRG 92 0.0 0.0-4.2 31.4 Bullish Sell 93 88 90 96 99 PROPERTY SMRA 1260 2.4 6.8-1.9 61.5 Bearish Sell 1253 1175 1205 1295 1335 BSDE 1570-0.6 7.9-1.9 21.7 First Acc Spec Buy 1569 1490 1520 1615 1655 ASRI 479-0.2 8.4-0.6 11.4 Bearish Sell 476 454 463 490 500 CTRA 1060-0.5 7.6-2.3 41.3 Bearish Sell 1056 1000 1020 1090 1120 APLN 366-2.4 4.9 6.1 70.2 Cont Distr Sell 364 339 348 378 393 MDLN 515 1.0 4.0-3.7 32.1 Bullish BOW 513 480 493 530 548 BEST 590-1.7 10.3 2.6 32.6 Bearish Sell 591 555 570 610 630 SSIA 730 0.0 8.1-6.4 30.4 Cont Distr Sell 726 685 705 755 775 KIJA 271 0.7 5.4 3.4 41.2 Cont Distr Sell 270 255 263 281 286 LPKR 1010 0.5 4.7-2.4 11.0 Bearish Sell 1009 950 980 1050 1075 CTRP 745 0.0 6.4-0.7 20.2 First Acc Spec Buy 746 715 725 770 785 PWON 434 1.4 7.2 2.8 60.7 Bearish Sell 432 409 422 449 457 CTRS 2225 0.0 9.3 1.4 69.8 Bearish Sell 2221 2130 2175 2285 2325 LPCK 8200 2.8 14.3 2.2 68.2 Bearish Sell 8119 7525 7900 8575 8775 BKSL 87-1.1 0.0-23.0-44.6 Bearish Sell 88 83 84 90 93 3

METAL TINS 1145-0.9-4.2-11.2 5.9 Bearish Sell 1075 1075 1100 1180 1220 INCO 3680 0.0-0.1-7.2 38.9 Cont Distr Sell 3505 3505 3590 3790 3845 ANTM 950-0.5-4.0-13.6-12.8 Bearish Sell 915 915 930 975 1000 4

PT Trimegah Securities Tbk Gedung Artha Graha 18th Floor Jl. Jend. Sudirman Kav. 52-53 Jakarta 12190, Indonesia t. +62-21 2924 9088 f. +62-21 2924 9150 www.trimegah.com DISCLAIMER This report has been prepared by PT Trimegah Securities Tbk on behalf of itself and its affiliated companies and is provided for information purposes only. Under no circumstances is it to be used or considered as an offer to sell, or a solicitation of any offer to buy. This report has been produced independently and the forecasts, opinions and expectations contained herein are entirely those of Trimegah Securities. While all reasonable care has been taken to ensure that information contained herein is not untrue or misleading at the time of publication, Trimegah Securities makes no representation as to its accuracy or completeness and it should not be relied upon as such. This report is provided solely for the information of clients of Trimegah Securities who are expected to make their own investment decisions without reliance on this report. Neither Trimegah Securities nor any officer or employee of Trimegah Securities accept any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this report or its contents. Trimegah Securities and/or persons connected with it may have acted upon or used the information herein contained, or the research or analysis on which it is based, before publication. Trimegah Securities may in future participate in an offering of the company s equity securities.