x000 x x00 x x00 Rabu, 02 Januari 19 Widhi Indratmo Nugroho widhi@lotussekuritas.com (+62 21 5785 1818) MARKET VIEW 62 60 61 60 00 59 50 58 COMPOSITE 62 60 61 60 00 59 50 58 IHSG berhasil menguat di perdagangan kemarin sebesar 1.02% atau 62.79 poin di level 6,1.64. Minat beli asing juga tercatatkan mendukung penguatan IHSG di perdagangan kemarin sebesar Rp.247. miliar. Dan dari sekitar 577 saham yang kemarin aktif di perdagangkan sekitar 294 saham menguat, 139 saham terkoreksi, dan 144 saham tidak mengalami perubahan. Dan pergerakan IHSG diperkirakan masih akan berfluktuatif dikisaran: 50 50 57 56 57 56 : 6,0.05 : 6,311.36 17999 0 0 0 19 8999 00 00 00 Close Point %Change 52 Weeks Return Market Caps 6,1.64 62.79 1.02% 0.37% 7,018.51 Active Stock Trading Trading Up Down Unchange Volume Value 294 139 144.38 9.53 Sumber: IQPlus STOCKS ANALYSIS ERAJAYA SWASEMBADA (ERAA) UNITED TRACTORS (UNTR) 0 0 24 24 23 23 0 0 22 22 0 0 20 20 3 3 21 21 20 20 3 3 00 00 19 19 3 3 10 10 18 18 0 0 000 000 17 17 2 2 16 16 200 200 2 2 15 15 0 0 270 270 14 14 0 0 13 13 260 260 000 000 000 19 00 000 0 00 x 19 2 : 22 1 : 20 1 : 21 2 : Rekomendasi: Buy on Weakness 2 : 225 1 : 270 1 : 270 2 : 0 Trading range sementara masih dikisaran level 21 23. Bila harga berhasil menguat dan bertahan di atas level 23 membuka peluang untuk menguji level 25 27 sebagai target sementara. Trading range sementara masih dikisaran level 271 29825 dan harga kembali mendekati area jenuh jual (oversold). Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report 1
x00 x00 x00 x00 x Rabu, 02 Januari 19 BANK NEGARA INDONESIA (BBNI) WIJAYA KARYA BETON (WTON) 91 00 89 80 88 80 87 86 85 84 83 82 80 81 80 00 79 70 78 70 77 70 76 70 75 70 74 73 70 72 70 71 70 00 69 60 68 60 67 91 00 89 80 88 80 87 86 85 84 83 82 80 81 80 00 79 70 78 70 77 70 76 70 75 70 74 73 70 72 70 71 70 00 69 60 68 60 67 5 0 395 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 0 2 5 0 395 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 0 2 700 000 000 000 000 600 000 000 000 x 19 2 : 88 1 : 8825 1 : 87 2 : - -00 - x0 19 2 : 382 1 : 3 1 : 372 2 : 366 000 000 000 Saat ini harga mulai memasuki area jenuh beli (overbought). Namun bila berhasil bertahan di atas level 80 membuka peluang untuk menguji level 25 sebagai target terdekat sementara. Trading range saat ini masih dikisaran level 366 394 dengan target terdekat sementara dikisaran level 412 4 bila harga berhasil bertahan di atas 366. Namun bila melemah dan bertahan di bawah 366 membuka peluang untuk menguji level 356 3 sebagai target koreksi sementara. ELNUSA (ELSA) TELEKOMUNIKASI INDONESIA (TLKM) 41 41 3 3 40 40 3 3 00 00 39 39 3 3 30 30 3 3 38 38 30 30 3 3 37 37 3 3 36 36 3 3 35 35 3 3 5 5 0 0 34 34 - - - -30 19 000-0 -00 x00 00 19 2 : 344 1 : 342 1 : 334 2 : 328 2 : 37 1 : 37 1 : 37 2 : 37 Selama harga masih bertahan di atas level 334 masih berpeluang untuk menguji target sementara di level 3 354 3 366. Trading range sementara masih dikisaran level 36 38 dengan target sementara dikisaran level 30 bila harga berhasil menguat dan bertahan di atas 38. 2
x x x0 x Rabu, 02 Januari 19 MEDIA NUSANTARA CITRA (MNCN) BUKIT ASAM (PTBA) 8 8 50 50 855 8 845 855 8 845 00 00 8 8 49 49 835 8 825 835 8 825 40 48 40 48 8 8 40 40 815 8 5 815 8 5 47 40 47 40 0 795 7 0 795 7 46 40 46 40 785 785 45 45 7 775 7 7 775 7 40 44 40 44 765 765 40 40 7 755 7 7 755 7 43 40 43 40 745 745 42 42 7 735 7 7 735 7 40 41 40 41 725 7 715 725 7 715 40 40 7 7 00 00 5 0 695 5 0 695 39 30 39 30 6 6 38 38 685 6 685 6 30 37 30 37 000 500 000 400 19 00-00 -00-00 19 0 000 0 00 Rekomendasi: Trading Sell 2 : 7 1 : 7 1 : 6 2 : 685 2 : 43 1 : 43 1 : 42 2 : 42 Selama harga masih bertahan di bawah level 5 masih berpeluang untuk menguji level 6 6 sebagai target koreksi sementara. Trading range saat ini masih dikisaran level 42 40 dengan target terdekat sementara dikisaran level 46 bila harga berhasil bertahan di atas 40. 3
Rabu, 02 Januari 19 LQ45 TRADING GUIDE Ticker AGRICULTURE Trend Daily Volatility Daily Beta Daily Weekly Last Average SSMS 1,2 1,2 1,2 1,2 Bullish Bullish 0.56 3.25% 2.74% MINING Closing Plantation & Others Coal, Oil & Gas, Metal & Other Resources ADRO 1,215 1,215 1,2 1,2 Bearish Bearish 1.23 1.23% 3.46% ITMG,2 19,975,158,2 Bullish Bullish 1.04 1.38% 3.83% PTBA 4,0 4,2 4,297 4,3 Bullish Bullish 0.91 2.12% 3.54% ELSA 344 336 343 348 Bullish Bullish 1.15 3.57% 3.95% MEDC 685 675 687 0 Bullish Bullish 1.07 3.% 5.12% ANTM 765 7 767 775 Bearish Bearish 1.08 1.97% 3.56% INCO 3,2 3,1 3,2 3,2 Bullish Bullish 1.21 2.51% 3.71% BASIC INDUSTRY Cement & Others INTP 18,4 18,0 18,5 18,0 Bullish Bearish 1.41 2.17% 3.24% SMGR 11,0 11,0 11,558 11,675 Bearish Bullish 1.27 1.52% 2.96% BRPT 2,3 2,3 2,377 2,4 Bullish Bullish 0.98 4.31% 3.85% TPIA 5,925 5,625 5,825 5,925 Bullish Bullish 0.62 5.33% 2.45% INKP 11,5 11,0 11,667 11,9 Bearish Bearish 1.19 3.91% 4.77% MISC.INDUSTRY Otomotif & Manufacturing of Garments Pivot ASII 8,225 8,225 8,283 8,0 Bullish Bearish 1.18 2.13% 2.27% SRIL 358 356 359 362 Bullish Bearish 0. 1.69% 3.91% CONSUMER GOODS Foods, Cigarette, Pharmacy & Others ICBP 4 4 575 825 Bullish Bullish 1.03 3.59% 2.33% INDF 1,585 7,3 7,425 7,475 Bearish Bullish 1.16 1.% 2.29% UNVR 45,0 45,0 45,867 46,0 Bearish Bullish 1.07 3.08% 1.91% HMSP 3,7 3,7 3,763 3,8 Bearish Bearish 1.28 4.31% 2.72% GGRM 83,625 83,125 83,625 84,125 Bearish Bullish 1.14 1.% 2.37% KLBF 1,5 1,5 1,518 1,5 Bearish Bearish 1.16 1.66% 2.58% PROPERTY & CONSTRUCTIONS BKSL 9 8 9 111 Bearish Bearish 1.24 2.78% 4.69% BSDE 1,255 1,245 1,2 1,2 Bullish Bullish 1.29 2.81% 2.81% LPKR 254 252 258 268 Bullish Bullish 0.92 6.35% 3.63% ADHI 1,585 1,5 1,583 1,595 Bullish Bearish 1. 1.59% 3.18% PTPP 1,5 1,5 1,8 1,8 Bearish Bearish 1.33 2.49% 3.44% WIKA 1,655 1,6 1,667 1,695 Bearish Bearish 1.23 2.73% 3.26% WSBP 376 376 3 388 Bearish Bearish 1.01 3.19% 3.03% WSKT 1,6 1,6 1,695 1,725 Bearish Bearish 1.26 2.68% 3.32% INFRASTRUCTURE Energy, Telecommunication, Transportation & Highway, Non Building Construction PGAS 2,1 2,1 2,137 2,1 Bullish Bullish 1.37 2.36% 3.88% JSMR 4,2 4,2 4,3 4,3 Bullish Bearish 1.13 1.64% 2.55% EXCL 1,9 1,955 1,985 2,0 Bearish Bearish 1.24 3.32% 4.03% TLKM 3,7 3,7 3,7 3,7 Bullish Bullish 1.19 0.% 2.13% INDY 1,6 1,5 1,593 1,615 Bearish Bearish 1.02 2.22% 5.21% FINANCE Bank & Other Financing BBCA 26,000 25,0 26,033 26,0 Bullish Bullish 0.95 1.16% 1.86% BBNI 8,0 8,7 8,792 8,825 Bullish Bullish 1.33 0.86% 2.56% BBRI 3,6 3,6 3,663 3,6 Bullish Bullish 1.37 0.82% 2.19% BBTN 2,5 2,5 2,563 2,6 Bearish Bearish 1.46 2.76% 3.24% BJBR 2,0 2,000 2,043 2,0 Bearish Bearish 0.79 4.00% 3.74% BMRI 7, 7, 7,383 7,4 Bullish Bullish 1.38 1.71% 2.38% TRADE & SERVICE Investment Company & Wholesale AKRA 4,2 4,2 4,323 4,3 Bullish Bearish 1.05 2.33% 3.01% UNTR 27,3 27,0 27,4 27,0 Bearish Bearish 1.27 2.21% 3.06% LPPF 5,0 5,575 5,792 6,0 Bearish Bearish 1.21 11.21% 4.07% MNCN 6 6 697 7 Bearish Bearish 1.07 2.% 3.73% SCMA 1,8 1,815 1,853 1,875 Bullish Bearish 1.16 3.31% 3.% Sumber: Lautandhana Securindo Note: 1. Bila harga OPEN pada perdagangan hari ini lebih besar (kecil) daripada nilai PIVOT, maka terdapat kemungkinan saham tersebut akan berpotensi menguat (melemah) pada perdagangan hari ini. 2. Beta diatas 1 (b>1) mengindikasikan adanya kemungkinan saham tersebut bergerak melebihi pergerakan pasar. (jika kondisi pasar (IHSG) dalam keadaan bullish (bearish) maka saham tersebut kemungkinan akan naik (turun) melebihi kenaikan (penurunan) pasar) 3. Bila trend daily dan weekly menunjukkan bullish (bearish), maka besar kemungkinan saham tersebut akan menguat (melemah) 4. Daily Volatility merupakan historis dari keuntungan maksimum maupun kerugian maksimum yang dapat diterima investor dalam 1 hari perdagangan. (Last: historis volatilitas pada perdagangan kemarin, Average: rata-rata volatilitas per hari selama 1 tahun perdagangan) 4
Rabu, 02 Januari 19 Gedung The City Tower 7 th floor Jl. MH Thamrin No.81 Jakarta Pusat 3 T +62 21 2395 00 F +62 21 2395 99 EQUITY DIVISION Jakarta Branch Others Branch Pluit Bandung Kawasan CBD Pluit Blok A No. Komplek Paskal Hypersquare Jl. Pluit Selatan Raya No.1 Blok C No. 15, Kebon Jeruk Jakarta Utara 144 Bandung 181 T +6221 6667 5 T +6222 86 27 F +6221 6667 5234 F +6222 86 0684 Kelapa Gading Medan Sentra Bisnis Artha Gading Jl. Kartini No.5 Jl. Boulevard Artha Gading Blok A6B Kav.7 Medan 152 Kelapa Gading Barat T +6261 451 8855 Jakarta Utara 142 F +6261 455 1836 T +6221 4585 62 F +6221 4587 3961 Puri Surabaya Branch Rukan Grand Taman Aries Niaga Blok G1 No.11 Ruko Permata Bintoro Jl. Taman Aries Kembangan Jl. Ketampon Kav.1-2 Jakarta Barat 116 Surabaya T +6221 2931 9515 T +6231 562 2555 F +6221 2931 9516 F +6231 567 1398 DISCLAMER This report has been prepared by PT. Lotus Andalan Sekuritas on behalf of itself and its affiliated companies and is provided for information purposes only. Under no circumstances is it to be used or considered as an offer to sell, or a solicitation of any offer to buy. This report has been produced independently and the forecasts, opinions and expectations contained herein are entirely those of PT. Lotus Andalan Sekuritas. While all reasonable care has been taken to ensure that information contained herein is not untrue or misleading at the time of publication, PT. Lotus Andalan Sekuritas makes no representation as to its accuracy or completeness and it should not be relied upon as such. This report is provided solely for the information of clients of PT. Lotus Andalan Sekuritas who are expected to make their own investment decisions without reliance on this report. Neither PT. Lotus Andalan Sekuritas nor any officer or employee of PT. Lotus Andalan Sekuritas accept any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this report or its contents. PT. Lotus Andalan Sekuritas and/or person connected with it may have acted upon or used the information herein contained, or the research or analysis on which it is based, before publication. 5