x0000 x00000 x000 x00 Jumat, 07 Desember 18 Widhi Indratmo Nugroho widhi@lotussekuritas.com (+62 21 5785 1818) MARKET VIEW 60 61 60 00 59 5900 58 50 COMPOSITE 60 61 60 00 59 5900 58 50 IHSG melemah kembali di perdagangan kemarin sebesar 0.29% atau 17.63 poin di level 6,115.49. Minat jual asing juga tercatatkan masih turut mendukung pelemahan IHSG di perdagangan kemarin sebesar Rp.395.90 miliar. Dan dari sekitar 578 saham yang kemarin aktif di perdagangkan sekitar 159 saham menguat, 279 saham terkoreksi, dan 1 saham tidak mengalami perubahan. Dan pergerakan IHSG diperkirakan masih akan berfluktuatif dikisaran: 57 50 56 57 50 56 : 6,057.82 : 6,163.63 50 50 0 000 0 8999 14999 00 0 00 0 00 x000000 00 7 3 1 17 September Close Point %Change 52 Weeks Return Market Caps 6,115.49-17.63-0.29% 0.89% 6,925.95 Active Stock Trading Trading Up Down Unchange Volume Value 159 279 1 9.94 8. Sumber: IQPlus STOCKS ANALYSIS BUKIT ASAM (PTBA) INDAH KIAT PULP & PAPER (INKP) 50 50 0 0 00 00 1 1 49 49 0 0 48 48 1 1 40 47 40 47 0 0 40 40 1 1 46 46 0 0 40 40 45 45 150 150 0 0 44 40 44 40 1 1 43 43 0 0 130 130 42 42 40 40 0 0 41 41 1 1 40 40 0 0 00 00 1 1 39 39 100 100 38 38 0 0 30 30 000 000 37 37 90 90-00 -00-00 -00 17 0 000 0 000 00 000 0 0 000 0 000 000 x000 00 1 17 2 : 40 1 : 1 : 39 2 : 38 2 : 40 1 : 1 : 39 2 : 38 Trading range saat ini dikisaran level 38 41 dengan target sementara dikisaran level 42 44 bila harga berhasil bertahan di atas level 41. Namun bila melemah dan bertahan di bawah level 38 membuka peluang untuk menguji level 30 34 sebagai target koreksi Trading range saat ini masih dikisaran level 0 13675 dengan target sementara dikisaran level 14325 15625 bila harga berhasil bertahan di atas level 13675. Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report 1
x00000 x000 x000 x000 x0000 x00 x00 Jumat, 07 Desember 18 ADARO ENERGY (ADRO) UNITED TRACTORS (UNTR) 19 19 300 300 350 350 18 18 300 300 3 3 300 300 17 17 330 330 300 300 16 16 3 3 300 300 15 15 3 3 300 300 0 0 14 14 000 000 290 290 13 13 29000 29000 2 2 0 0 12 12 2 2 0 0-00 - 17 0 000 00 100 000 9000 00 00 00 17 000 0 000 00 2 : 1345 1 : 13 1 : 1275 2 : 12 2 : 29975 1 : 29375 1 : 28900 2 : 280 Trading range saat ini masih dikisaran level 12 15 dengan target sementara dikisaran level 13 1445 1485. Namun bila harga melemah dan bertahan di bawah level 12 membuka peluang untuk menguji level 11 sebagai target koreksi terdekat Trading range saat ini dikisaran level 2 29825 dengan target sementara dikisaran level 311 bila harga berhasil menguat dan bertahan di atas 29825. Namun bila melemah dan bertahan di bawah 2 membuka peluang untuk menguji level 2 23725 sebagai target koreksi terdekat PERUSAHAAN GAS NEGARA (PGAS) TOWER BERSAMA INFRASTRUCTURE (TBIG) 24 23 22 20 21 24 23 22 20 21 58 50 57 50 56 50 55 50 54 50 53 52 50 51 50 00 49 48 40 47 40 46 58 50 57 50 56 50 55 50 54 50 53 52 50 51 50 00 49 48 40 47 40 46 20 20 40 45 40 45 44 44 40 43 40 43 00 19 00 19 42 40 41 40 00 39 38 30 37 30 42 40 41 40 00 39 38 30 37 30-00 000 000-000 000-00 000 x00000 1 17-0 -900-00 -10-1 17 000 00 2 : 21 1 : 21 1 : 2 : 2 : 1 : 1 : 39 2 : 39 Selama harga masih dapat bertahan di atas level 21 masih terbuka peluang untuk menguji level 22 sebagai target Trading range masih dikisaran level 39 dengan target sementara dikisaran level 41 42 4390 bila harga berhasil bertahan di atas. Namun bila harga melemah dan bertahan di bawah level 39 membuka peluang untuk menguji level 38 37. 2
x00 x0 x00 Jumat, 07 Desember 18 BANK DANAMON (BDMN) MEDIA NUSANTARA CITRA (MNCN) 76 75 74 73 72 70 71 76 75 74 73 72 70 71 900 895 890 885 8 875 8 865 8 855 8 845 8 835 8 825 8 815 8 5 0 795 790 785 7 775 7 765 7 900 895 890 885 8 875 8 865 8 855 8 845 8 835 8 825 8 815 8 5 0 795 790 785 7 775 7 765 7 70 70 755 7 745 755 7 745 00 69 6900 68 00 69 6900 68 7 735 7 725 7 715 7 5 0 695 690 685 7 735 7 725 7 715 7 5 0 695 690 685 000 00 0-00 17 000 500 000 000 000 0 000 000 000 300 x000 000 17 2 : 1 : 1 : 73 2 : 7325 Rekomendasi: Buy on Weakness 2 : 7 1 : 7 1 : 745 2 : 725 Melemahnya harga di perdagangan kemarin merubah pola jangka pendek Trading range saat ini dikisaran level dengan target sementara dikisaran level 70 7875 bila harga berhasil bertahan di atas level. Namun bila terus melemah dan bertahan di bawah membuka peluang untuk menguji level 70 sebagai target koreksi Harga masih berada di area jenuh jual (oversold) namun selama masih bertahan di bawah level 775 masih terbuka peluang untuk menguji level 7 sebagai target koreksi 3
Jumat, 07 Desember 18 LQ45 TRADING GUIDE Ticker AGRICULTURE Trend Daily Volatility Daily Beta Daily Weekly Last Average SSMS 1,2 1,195 1,218 1,2 Bullish Bullish 0.55 4.% 2.73% MINING Closing Plantation & Others Coal, Oil & Gas, Metal & Other Resources ADRO 1,295 1,275 1,297 1,3 Bearish Bullish 1.24 3.53% 3.48% ITMG,0,0,7 21,1 Bearish Bearish 1.04 4.19% 3.86% PTBA 4,0 3,9 4,023 4,0 Bullish Bullish 0.92 4.35% 3.55% ELSA 334 326 333 338 Bearish Bullish 1.17 3.68% 3.98% MEDC 765 735 7 7 Bearish Bullish 1.07 6.12% 5.14% ANTM 735 725 737 7 Bullish Bullish 1.09 3.45% 3.55% INCO 3,0 3,0 3,117 3,2 Bearish Bearish 1. 4.56% 3.72% BASIC INDUSTRY Cement & Others INTP,0 19,8,000,0 Bullish Bullish 1.41 1.26% 3.25% SMGR 11,875 11,425 11,767 12,000 Bullish Bearish 1.28 5.03% 2.97% BRPT 2,0 2,0 2,077 2,0 Bearish Bearish 0.98 1.94% 3.87% TPIA 5,0 5,175 5,283 5,375 Bullish Bullish 0.61 3.86% 2.43% INKP 11,5 11,0 11,0 11,5 Bullish Bullish 1.18 4.05% 4.78% MISC.INDUSTRY Otomotif & Manufacturing of Garments Pivot ASII 8,0 8,0 8,133 8,2 Bearish Bearish 1.18 2.48% 2.27% SRIL 366 364 366 368 Bullish Bullish 0.72 1.% 3.95% CONSUMER GOODS Foods, Cigarette, Pharmacy & Others ICBP 90 95 9667 97 Bearish Bearish 1.03 2.09% 2.32% INDF 2,0 6,525 6,642 6,725 Bullish Bullish 1.16 3.07% 2.27% UNVR 44,0 43,000 43,0 44,0 Bearish Bullish 1.07 2.79% 1.90% HMSP 3,0 3,6 3,697 3,7 Bearish Bearish 1.28 1.91% 2.72% GGRM 81,525,375 81,8 81,725 Bullish Bearish 1.14 1.68% 2.37% KLBF 1,6 1,590 1,617 1,6 Bullish Bullish 1.16 2.52% 2.56% PROPERTY & CONSTRUCTIONS BKSL 111 1 112 114 Bearish Bearish 1.24 3.64% 4.72% BSDE 1,0 1,290 1,7 1,3 Bearish Bearish 1.28 3.% 2.79% LPKR 2 266 269 272 Bearish Bullish 0.92 2.26% 3.58% ADHI 1,5 1,5 1,537 1,565 Bearish Bearish 1.09 3.99% 3.18% PTPP 1,8 1,8 1,882 1,925 Bearish Bearish 1.32 4.05% 3.44% WIKA 1,5 1,495 1,517 1,545 Bearish Bearish 1.24 3.34% 3.24% WSBP 3 348 352 358 Bearish Bearish 0.99 2.87% 3.01% WSKT 1,725 1,5 1,737 1,7 Bearish Bullish 1.25 4.% 3.32% INFRASTRUCTURE Energy, Telecommunication, Transportation & Highway, Non Building Construction PGAS 2,1 2,0 2,1 2,1 Bullish Bullish 1.37 6.% 3.90% JSMR 4,5 4,4 4,5 4,5 Bearish Bullish 1.12 2.69% 2.55% EXCL 1,9 1,8 1,938 1,985 Bearish Bearish 1.22 5.59% 4.04% TLKM 3,7 3,0 3,727 3,7 Bearish Bearish 1.19 1.89% 2.14% INDY 2,000 1,9 2,027 2,0 Bullish Bullish 1.02 5.05% 5.26% FINANCE Bank & Other Financing BBCA 26,0 25,0 26,067 26,0 Bullish Bearish 0.95 2.73% 1.86% BBNI 8,6 8,525 8,617 8,675 Bearish Bearish 1.34 1.76% 2.58% BBRI 3,6 3,6 3,647 3,6 Bearish Bearish 1.38 1.94% 2.21% BBTN 2,7 2,6 2,7 2,7 Bearish Bearish 1.46 2.24% 3.25% BJBR 2,0 1,985 2,018 2,0 Bearish Bullish 0. 3.27% 3.74% BMRI 7,475 7,0 7,467 7,525 Bearish Bearish 1.39 1.69% 2.39% TRADE & SERVICE Investment Company & Wholesale AKRA 3,8 3,7 3,827 3,8 Bearish Bearish 1.04 1.85% 3.00% UNTR 29,000 28,900 29,092 29,375 Bearish Bullish 1.28 1.64% 3.07% LPPF 4,9 4,8 4,972 5,075 Bearish Bearish 1.22 4.42% 4.04% MNCN 7 745 752 7 Bearish Bearish 1.08 2.01% 3.% SCMA 1,8 1,8 1,8 1,9 Bearish Bearish 1.16 4.89% 3.62% Sumber: Lautandhana Securindo Note: 1. Bila harga OPEN pada perdagangan hari ini lebih besar (kecil) daripada nilai PIVOT, maka terdapat kemungkinan saham tersebut akan berpotensi menguat (melemah) pada perdagangan hari ini. 2. Beta diatas 1 (b>1) mengindikasikan adanya kemungkinan saham tersebut bergerak melebihi pergerakan pasar. (jika kondisi pasar (IHSG) dalam keadaan bullish (bearish) maka saham tersebut kemungkinan akan naik (turun) melebihi kenaikan (penurunan) pasar) 3. Bila trend daily dan weekly menunjukkan bullish (bearish), maka besar kemungkinan saham tersebut akan menguat (melemah) 4. Daily Volatility merupakan historis dari keuntungan maksimum maupun kerugian maksimum yang dapat diterima investor dalam 1 hari perdagangan. (Last: historis volatilitas pada perdagangan kemarin, Average: rata-rata volatilitas per hari selama 1 tahun perdagangan) 4
Jumat, 07 Desember 18 Gedung The City Tower 7 th floor Jl. MH Thamrin No.81 Jakarta Pusat 3 T +62 21 2395 00 F +62 21 2395 99 EQUITY DIVISION Jakarta Branch Others Branch Pluit Bandung Kawasan CBD Pluit Blok A No. Komplek Paskal Hypersquare Jl. Pluit Selatan Raya No.1 Blok C No. 15, Kebon Jeruk Jakarta Utara 144 Bandung 181 T +6221 6667 5345 T +6222 86 27 F +6221 6667 5234 F +6222 86 0684 Kelapa Gading Medan Sentra Bisnis Artha Gading Jl. Kartini No.5 Jl. Boulevard Artha Gading Blok A6B Kav.7 Medan 152 Kelapa Gading Barat T +6261 451 8855 Jakarta Utara 142 F +6261 455 1836 T +6221 4585 62 F +6221 4587 3961 Puri Surabaya Branch Rukan Grand Taman Aries Niaga Blok G1 No.11 Ruko Permata Bintoro Jl. Taman Aries Kembangan Jl. Ketampon Kav.1-2 Jakarta Barat 116 Surabaya T +6221 2931 9515 T +6231 562 2555 F +6221 2931 9516 F +6231 567 1398 DISCLAMER This report has been prepared by PT. Lotus Andalan Sekuritas on behalf of itself and its affiliated companies and is provided for information purposes only. Under no circumstances is it to be used or considered as an offer to sell, or a solicitation of any offer to buy. This report has been produced independently and the forecasts, opinions and expectations contained herein are entirely those of PT. Lotus Andalan Sekuritas. While all reasonable care has been taken to ensure that information contained herein is not untrue or misleading at the time of publication, PT. Lotus Andalan Sekuritas makes no representation as to its accuracy or completeness and it should not be relied upon as such. This report is provided solely for the information of clients of PT. Lotus Andalan Sekuritas who are expected to make their own investment decisions without reliance on this report. Neither PT. Lotus Andalan Sekuritas nor any officer or employee of PT. Lotus Andalan Sekuritas accept any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this report or its contents. PT. Lotus Andalan Sekuritas and/or person connected with it may have acted upon or used the information herein contained, or the research or analysis on which it is based, before publication. 5