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1 ENGARH KALIA ELAYANAN ERHAA CIRA N KAM AROLANG NIVERIA JAMBI hr lh O vr Eoo ul Juru Mj gjr f BRAK A l Kul gruh ghu uu ruju l rh C r rolgu vr org 80 rh lu l vr hw rolgu u K g rolh rr l l g ( uor r orv wwcr ggu vl uj) lh rll g g l g Brg Rgr o ggu r cr hw ul l hl r - (ul) l ul rl cr vr rolgu J lu o chcl/ouco ( rwr r r j r g l ur o ) o rl ucol ( g j uh j wu o r g u ) Ig oror C r jujur o (uh g r rr cr rh gf cr rgruh ) rolgu vr l Kul uc K cr E N AHLA N Blg r L lh rolgu vr r wl j hl l hw ru r l uu ro rov rh j rh ug g J ru rolgu vr l u g rc l r uju ruh ruh lu uu vr v rogr huu & v o g l l hr rol uju g u hr h u holr gruh r rl c r - h rh hru holr hr Kg rg K vr olh oo hr Mg rolgu u j rh r h - rogr l ug j Au rolgu vr g olh l holr f g o hw lu ru ul g rj) (r r rh hw u org uvr r gr r h lg rj uu rlu holr g hr j hgg u h g rc rogr l ju h u j l ul uu rl u rg g h rolgu vr ruu rr r rug r rlh ggu

2 uu u gruh r roo u lulu uh u u r rl rolgu vr u rofol j l u rogr uju c rul rogr v rwuju uu g g l J vr j wr ggug r rl j ru rou r rolgu r r l r uu w j l g r r g rolgu vr l r gg r rl jug rof g uh l l jw ug g l K vr g rolgu u ou u g ou u g ul gg l lu u g r l l rc l l g hr g J vr rolgu h ol hr l r rh lh ru ou ou u ul l l l lu h uh ru l ou hr h u rolh ru cr g u ul glr g rolgu vr ug uu r g ru ur Brr h l uu l gruh juh r l g g ul l rh / g r r c rolgu vr M rr ul l vr Cr rh l Kul gruh rolgu J ruu M h l 1 g g B l ul h ol r g vr rolgu u K? 2 h gru g B l ul cr rh vr rolgu? 3 rh rgruh o lg r c r v rolgu u K? uju l 1 jl ghu u l ul J vr rolgu u K 2 u gl h gru l ul cr rh vr rolgu u K 3 g u l l ul rgruh o rh r c rolgu vr EOE ENELIIAN M l o M g rf o lh l l gu Mo f u u u g u lh f g ulf oo uju rr o ggu

l u r gl cr luruh uuh g K ul l r gruh cr vr rolgu l o rf h r guul uu lu l rr g r ru g o rf l jw r l r g huug jug cr huug or r vrl oul l oul oul l g l lh hw vr rolgu g l ru l 1 Mhw vr K u rolgu hu A 2011/2012 N O ROGRAM I 2011/ 2012 1 ro K 76 2 ro Kug rh 366 3 ro Mj rh 361 J ulh 803 ur rolgu 2012 l A u l uu l lh hw vr rolgu Br l j ro l l gcu A ruo (l Yul 2002) J julh oj r l r 10% - 15% u 20% - 25% Olh r u l l l l 10% u 80 org hw r julh oul 803 org hw ur u rolh l l gu g u cr u rr Yu rolh lgug r ro j l l l l l l hw vr K u rolgu ur ur u uul rr lor g julh hw vr rolgu r ou- ou r r r O rol Vrl l l u vrl jr cr gr r g ru 1 V rl ( I v rl) V rl l l lh ul j u chcl u ouco o f ucol u roc rl o lg g vrl X 2 V rl r ( vrl) V rl r l l lh c r vr rolgu g lg g vrl Y 3

Vrl / u v rl Achcl/ ouco o B ucol rl o C IRA rolgu ur Ko V rl A r l l rf o jf Cr j/l l olh j/ g vr rolgu Cr r u l lh H l Olh 2 Orol Vrl l I or u l 1 K vr K u rolgu 2 r rwr hw g ur o lh g vr J rolgu 3 J r r gggu 4 Br our u guu jl g r for hw vr rolgu 5 l g l r l hw vr rolgu 1 Kuh l lu uru vr rolgu 2 Kj g l r hw g ru vr J rolgu 3 K wu u l r hw g ru vr rolgu 4 Mr j or l l hw vr K u rolgu 5 Ku g uu jl j g r hw ru vr rolgu 1 vr rolgu g u g 2 vr rolgu l gug rl l g 3 vr J rolgu r rc r 4 gruh uu h u vr l 5 L h lh ulh l vr rolgu r uvr l g g rh g g for g l g uh g j g g l g u g g g g K g gruh g lh O rl O rl O rl 4

H AIL AN EMBAHAAN j Vl guj vl lu g ggu rogr rolh hl hw u r gu l l vl r u u orl of g or ol u u r ghl l r (04) u uju rh of hgg l ul hw u r l l vl j Rll j rll lu g llu orl r Brow rolh hl hw u r rll r rolh h l l r > 0 J ul hw u r vrl X Y l l rll j Mur B olrc vlu lh 01 VI lh 5 olrc v lu < 01 u VI > 5 = rj ur g olrc vlu > 01 u VI < 5 = rj ur r rhug lu g rogr rlh hw l C ollr c uju g > 01 u l VI < 5 g u g jl rj ur j Auoorl j uoorl lu g llu o Bruch- Gofr (BG) rolh hl r rlh l l ouu lr hw of rr uu vrl Auo uju rol gf 0279 ( 005) rr hw r Auoorl rfor Nl guur l r uor lh ggu l orl gr olh lh lju l rogr hl ul hru uh rlh hulu j l rvl g ggu Mho of uccv I rl ( MI) guj Ho u guj gruh ul l rh cr vr rolgu gu rgr rg X1 = chcl/ouco o X2 = ucol rl o Y = Cr rolgu Hl l rgr rg lu g rogr hu hw l R qur r 0723 Hl rr hw vrl r u u cr rolgu (Y) gruh r 723 % olh vrl u u X1 = chcl/ouco o X2 = ucol rl o g r 277 % gruh o lh vrl l ru l l 5

6 ) gruh ul (j j l fucol ul chcl ul h guj u r cr - h gru ul u rolgu Cr l r r lh hug l J j gu r vrl u r rr (X) vrl hw ul X 1 = o chcl/ouco X 2 = rl ucol o u (Y) vrl rh gf rgruh cr rolgu N l g 0000) = (gf 66149 r hug l > (66149 l r r lh hug J 272 r l rolh u 272) Hl r H ol Ho (0000<005) 5% r cl g r u ul cr 95% g g hw r - ul rh gf cr rgruh ucol ul chcl c rolgu r ) (j rl j g rl cr gruh ghu u - u vrl g Cr rh ucol ul chcl ul rl v rolgu j gu rl cr guj u hug Nl hw rh golh Hl l g g rh Cr chcl gruh Kul rolgu NJA g 0002 rol g 3210 r rolh hug Nl r 198 l cl g u (3210>198) l r r lh hug ul 95% g g 5% (0002<005) r ul rl cr hw l chc f o gf cr rgruh C rh g rol r u vrl Al chcl/ouco o rl cr g ru cr rolgu r g Y) ( o chcl/ouco rh of gf gruh u cr rolgu gruh Kul rh Cr ucol g 0001 rol g 3548 r rolh hug Nl cl g u (3548>167) l r r lh hug r 167 l ul 5% (0001<005) r g g hw rh gf cr rgruh fucol ul rl 95% cr rl v rolgu r c ul Al ucol ru rl cr g rolgu r c Y) ( r g o rl ucol h gru u rh of gf g rolgu r c Y) ( rg rgr rhug g 120 vr rogr g u X2 X1 vrl hw uju rh gruh cr rgr r rolh ru rhug r rolgu ru g + X2 + 0384 X1 + 0334 = 0108 Y

E MBAHAAN l K u Br Bh Io (2001) u hw l lh l rh uu rw (rg ru ) uu ghu r (- u uu rr ) Muru G roroo ( r 2005) r ul l lh chcl u ouco o ucol u roc rl o C oror Ig K olr ( 2002) hw J/l lh u f wr olh u h h l ruju g l uu Muru A r ( 1996) f r lh A guhg /or ol (uch log r r or cg g) o f h goo or rvc of hr o llr or grou of llr o ffr ho goo or rvc fro ho coor M uru Kfrr ( 1992) hw I g o h rcvr g o h r l lu g uju uu lh gruh ul l rh cr ro lgu l l gu u vrl (X) rr r X 1 = chcl/ouco o X 2 = ucol rl o u vrl (Y) u cr NJA rolgu H l l lg l hu hw r l R r uju huug r r vrl (X1 X2) g vrl r (Y) r 0850 Huug g r r l R 1 of r l R rr l R vrl ru u huug rh g vrl r Al vrl vrl r jug u gu ul l Au of r u R qur r 0723 rr hw 723% ruh vrl r u ruh cr rolgu rg olh vrl u; X1 = chcl/ouco o X2 = ucol rl o u l ol 277 % gruh olh vrl l u l l Brr ur hu hw u vrl u gruh u rh cr rolgu Hl u g lh r r g l hug > l ( 66149 > 272) g g gf 0000 rr cr ul u vrl ul l rgruh gf rh cr rolgu hgg ul hw ul l ru lh u hl u gruh cr Hl l rgr rg jug uju g of vrl X1 = chcl/ouco o X 2 = ucol rl o Hl uju hw cr rl ul l u gruh gf rh cr rolgu Al u vrl ru l l g cr rl cr rolgu g ul r u vrl ru u gruh gf rh cr rolgu V rl u ul l u vrl ucol rl o ru vrl lg o l gruh cr 7

8 rolgu u K g u u Hl 0384 r () rgr of g vrl hw ug l o h o rl ucol crr l gruh o lg vrl ru l l Au rolgu vrl hw ho u ucol o rl ro / r o lg j or rgr ruh/lg/ ucol o l r cr c l u for ru r g o rl ucol l uh lu g j rolgu u guru lu wu rolgu ru hw l r r l u rolgu ru hw hw l l or j r g u rolgu g j jl uu rolgu ru hw r cr c j ggu ou/hw g cr gruh o lg vrl hw ghu lh vrl lh rolgu NJA o rl ucol h cu g vrl j rolgu l uur u g h rh uu g g rolgu h j l vrl j hru u vrl l u rh g cr u M rolgu NJA rof o lg ru j rc Cr rh g hl ru cr uur rolgu NJA l lu u g g cr rc gr ulh r Olh hw rolgu g u u l r hru hw ul 1 = (X1 l ul rl cr o chcl/ o) co u = (X2 o rl ucol cr gruh ) vr rolgu u K 2 X ( l ul hw hu l hl r 1 = chcl/ouco o X 2 = o rl ucol r cr - u cr rh gf gruh u ul vr rolgu 3 u u vrl hw hu o rl ucol c gruh l o lg vrl ru r vr rolgu J 0384 r () rgr of g AAR AKA 1996 A v r A Br rog ulg B Cogr Lrr Yor Nw I logg C - ulco (1998) uhr uo r A u l rour r u E Jr C R 1V v R 2005 Jfr r u r J j M Ghl r obogor I

K olr 2002 M j r E Mllu rhllo Jr Kfrr J- N ol 1992 rgc Br Mg Nw Yor vo Of M cll Ic uu Ku u Bh r Nol 2001 Ku B r Bh Io E Kg Bl u Jr 9