DAILY. Investor Wait and See, IHSG Terancam Melemah. Highlights. Market DAILY RESEARCH

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1 DAILY RESEARCH DAILY 1 April 2021 Market Activity Tuesday, 30 Mar 2021 Market Index : 6,071.4 Index Movement : % Market Volume : 12,687 Mn shrs Market Value : 8,714 Bn rupiah Leading Movers BBRI 4, TLKM 3, SLIS 7, ARTO 9, Lagging Movers BMRI 6, BBCA 31, MAYA 2, UNVR 6, Foreign Net Buy / Sell (Regular Market) Net Buy (IDR bn) Net Sell (IDR bn) BMRI 35 BBRI 307 ICBP 17 ASII 84 ANTM 17 TKIM 39 TOWR 15 MNCN 27 ACES 15 CPIN 26 Money Market USD/IDR 14, JIBOR O/N Dual Listing Securities TLKM EIDO Global Indices DJIA 33, S&P 500 3, Euro Stoxx 3, MSCI World 2, STI 3, Nikkei 29, Hang Seng 28, Commodities Brent Oil Coal (ICE) CPO Malay 4, Nickel 15, Tin 25, Highlights WMUU SILO Market : Laba bersih FY20 IDR 73.4 miliar (+99% yoy) : Laba bersih FY20 IDR 125 miliar Investor Wait and See, IHSG Terancam Melemah Bursa AS ditutup bervariasi semalam; DJIA -0.26% ke level 32,981; S&P %; dan Nasdaq +1.54% dengan mayoritas penguatan masih didukung oleh saham teknologi. Investor AS memilih untuk wait and see setelah Presiden AS Joe Biden mengumumkan rencana anggaran infrastruktur AS yang ditargetkan sekitar USD 2T. Anggaran tersebut akan digunakan untuk mendanai rencana infrastruktur AS (pembangunan jalan, jembatan, dan lain-lain) selama 15 tahun ke depan. Untuk mendukung rencana tersebut, pemerintah AS berencana menaikkan besaran pajak perusahaan (corporate tax) ke angka 28%. Sementara itu, di pasar komoditas, harga minyak WTI tercatat berada pada level USD 59.5/barel, harga minyak Brent pada level USD 63.6/barel dan emas pada USD 1,708/t oz. EIDO ditutup turun -0.73%, sementara IHSG ditutup melemah % kemarin ke level 5,985 dengan BBCA, BBRI dan BMRI sebagai top lagging movers. Net sell asing pada pasar reguler mencapai IDR 1.03T. Saham dengan nilai net sell asing tertinggi di pasar reguler adalah BBRI (IDR miliar), disusul BBCA (IDR miliar), dan BMRI (IDR 91.4 miliar) sementara net buy tertinggi dicatatkan oleh ANTM (IDR 39.7 miliar), TBIG (IDR 22.2 miliar), dan TLKM (IDR 18.7 miliar). Sepanjang minggu ini (Senin- Rabu), IHSG melemah -3.43% dengan net sell asing di pasar reguler sebesar IDR 1.3T. Sebanyak 5,937 kasus COVID-19 baru dilaporkan di Indonesia kemarin (Selasa: 5,877), dengan 5,635 pasien sembuh (Selasa: 4,682) dan 104 meninggal (Selasa: 173). Dengan tambahan kasus baru tersebut, jumlah total kasus COVID-19 yang ditemukan di Indonesia telah mencapai 1,511,712 kasus dengan rasio kasus ditutup sebesar 91.9% per 31 Maret (30 Maret: 91.9). Hari ini (1/4), data Inflasi Indonesia periode Maret 2021 akan dirilis. Konsensus memperkirakan bahwa tingkat inflasi akan berada di angka 0.14% (mom) dan 1.4% (yoy) (prev: 0.1% mom; 1.38% yoy). Net sell asing masih membayangi pasar sejak awal minggu ini terutama dengan batas akhir earnings season yang makin mendekat. Hari ini, IHSG kami perkirakan cenderung masih melemah, dengan investor diperkirakan akan memilih menunggu rilis data inflasi serta laporan keuangan FY20 dari emiten-emiten. Selain itu, harga komoditas terutama emas dan nikel yang masih melemah diperkirakan menahan laju pergerakan saham komoditas di pasar domestik. 1

2 COVID-19 Data Indonesia 7 Day Running Covid-19 Data Total 1D Change Daily 1D Change Total Daily Total Daily Total d Cases Cases % Cases % Recovered Recovered Deaths Deaths Active Cases % 3/30/2021 1,505, ,682 (6.51) 1,342,695 5,877 40, , /29/2021 1,501, , ,336,818 5,418 40, , /28/2021 1,496, ,083 (8.47) 1,331,400 4,279 40, , /27/2021 1,492, ,461 (10.46) 1,327,121 4,243 40, , /26/2021 1,487, ,982 (18.42) 1,322,878 5,679 40, , /25/2021 1,482, , ,317,199 4,656 40, , /24/2021 1,476, ,227 (1.32) 1,312,543 7,622 39, , Average 4,936 5, Source: SSI Research, Bloomberg COMMODITIES Gold: Gold 100 Oz Futures (USD/Troi oz) 2,200 2,100 2,000 1,900 1,800 1,700 1,600 1,500 1,400 Oil: Generic 1st Crude Oil, Brent (USD/Barel) Coal: Newcastle Coal (USD/MT) CPO: Bursa Malaysia Crude Palm Oil (MYR/MT) 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2, ,500 Pulp: Generic Bleached Softwood Craft Pulp (CNY/MT) 8,000 7,500 7,000 6,500 6,000 5,500 5,000 4,500 4,000 Nickel: London Metal Exchange Nickel Future (USD/MT) 22,000 20,000 18,000 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 2

3 WMUU: Laba bersih FY20 IDR 73.4 miliar (+99% yoy) PT Widodo Makmur Unggas Tbk. (WMUU) mencatatkan penjualan FY20 sebesar IDR 1.14 triliun (+99%yoy), laba kotor sebesar IDR 161 miliar (109% yoy), laba operasional IDR 95 miliar (+94% yoy), dan laba bersih sebesar IDR 73 miliar (+99%yoy). (Laporan keuangan). Comments: Kenaikan berlipat ganda pada kinerja keuangan WMUU didukung oleh ekspansi bisnis, utilisasi penuh dari rumah potong ayam (slaughterhouse) Jambakan yang berkapasitas 9000 ton/tahun dan mulai beroperasinya rumah potong ayam baru perusahaan di Wonogiri. Margin laba kotor naik +65bps menjadi 14.0%, sedangkan OPM dan NPM stabil di level 8.2% dan 6.4%. Pencapaian penjualan dan laba bersih yang dicatatkan WMUU melewati ekspektasi awal SSI masing-masing sebesar 118% dan 134%. WMUU: Under Review SILO: Laba bersih FY20 IDR 125 miliar PT Siloam International Hospital (SILO) mencatatkan laba bersih sebesar IDR 125 miliar pada FY20, jauh lebih baik dari capaian FY19 (rugi bersih sebesar -IDR 333 miliar). Disamping itu, perusahaan juga mencatatkan pertumbuhan pendapatan (+1.3% yoy menjadi IDR 7.1 triliun) dan laba kotor (+6.0%), dengan GPM sebesar 32.8%. Beban operasional SILO menurun -15.6%, sehingga perusahaan mampu mencatatkan OPM dan NPM positif (27.3% dan 1.4%). (Laporan Keuangan) Comments: Pada 4Q20, SILO mencatatkan pertumbuhan laba kotor sebesar +17.0% qoq menjadi IDR 2.1 triliun dan pertumbuhan EBITDA sebesar +84.0% qoq menjadi IDR 454 milyar. Meskipun volume pasien mengalami penurunan (pasien rawat inap: -20.0% yoy, rawat jalan: -24.0% yoy) pada FY20, namun SILO berhasil membukukan laba usaha positif sebesar IDR 391 miliar, jauh lebih baik dari capaian periode sebelumnya (rugi usaha -IDR 100 miliar) berkat efisiensi biaya dan optimalisasi jumlah staf rumah sakit yang berhasil menurunkan beban operasional sebesar -15.6% dari IDR 2.3 triliun menjadi IDR 1.9 triliun. SILO: Under review (Prev: BUY 165.5x 21F PE, F EV/EBITDA, TP: IDR 5,400) 3

4 Banks JCI Wgt price TP SSI TP Cons SSI Upside PE (x) PE (x) PBV (x) PBV (x) ROE (%) ROE (%) (%) (IDR) (IDR) (IDR) (%) 20E 21E 20E 21E 20E 21E BBCA BUY ,975 40,500 38, BBRI BUY 8.1 4,500 5,300 5, BMRI BUY 4.3 6,325 8,000 8, BBNI BUY 1.6 5,800 8,500 7, BBTN BUY 0.3 1,740 2,300 2, Average Consumer (Staples) ICBP BUY 1.6 9,075 12,000 12, INDF BUY 0.9 6,700 9,500 8, KLBF BUY 1.1 1,540 1,750 1, UNVR BUY 3.7 6,550 7,900 8, SIDO BUY Average Cigarette HMSP HOLD 2.3 1,365 1,460 1, h GGRM BUY ,675 44,400 40, Average Healthcare MIKA BUY 0.6 2,650 3,500 3, SILO BUY 0.1 4,800 5,800 5, HEAL HOLD 0.2 4,550 5,000 4, Average Poultry CPIN HOLD 1.8 7,250 7,300 6, JPFA HOLD 0.3 2,010 2,100 1, MAIN BUY n/a Average Retail Stock MAPI BUY n/a RALS BUY n/a ACES BUY 0.4 1,565 1,900 1, LPPF SELL 0.1 1,395 1,100 1, n/a Average Pulp and Paper INKP SELL ,000 7,000 N/A Average Media MNCN BUY ,400 1, SCMA HOLD 0.4 1,740 1,750 2, Average Telco EXCL BUY 0.3 2,050 3,300 3, ISAT BUY 0.5 5,650 6,700 6, n/a n/a TLKM BUY 4.9 3,380 4,300 4, Average Telco Retail ERAA BUY ,625 2, Telco Infra Rec. TBIG SELL 0.7 2,040 1,550 2, TOWR BUY 0.8 1,100 1,300 1, Average

5 Auto JCI Wgt price TP SSI TP Cons SSI Upside PE (x) PE (x) PBV (x) PBV (x) ROE (%) ROE (%) (%) (IDR) (IDR) (IDR) (%) 20E 21E 20E 21E 20E 21E ASII BUY 3.2 5,400 6,750 6, Average Mining Contracting UNTR BUY ,500 31,000 28, Average Aviation GIAA BUY Average Property BSDE BUY 0.4 1,165 1,350 1, PWON SELL ASRI SELL LPKR SELL n/a n/a SMRA HOLD CTRA SELL 0.3 1,125 1,100 1, Average Industrial Estate SSIA BUY n/a DMAS HOLD KIJA SELL N/A Average Construction PTPP BUY 0.1 1,375 1,900 2, ADHI BUY 0.1 1,105 1,800 1, WSKT BUY 0.2 1,175 2,200 1, n/a WIKA BUY 0.2 1,540 2,400 2, Average Cement INTP BUY ,600 16,250 16, SMGR BUY ,875 13,050 14, Average Precast WSBP HOLD WTON BUY Average Oil and Gas PGAS BUY 0.5 1,325 1,700 1, AKRA BUY 0.2 3,190 3,800 4, MEDC BUY , n/a Average Chemical TPIA SELL ,275 10,250 9, BRPT BUY ,150 1, ESSA SELL N/A n/a n/a Average Utilities Metal Stock Rec. JSMR BUY 0.4 4,130 5,000 5, ANTM BUY 0.8 2,210 3,230 3, MDKA SELL 0.7 2,200 2,030 2, n/a INCO BUY 0.7 4,500 6,730 6, TINS HOLD 0.2 1,650 1,775 1, n/a Average

6 Coal Stock JCI Wgt price TP SSI TP Cons SSI Upside PE (x) PE (x) PBV (x) PBV (x) ROE (%) ROE (%) (%) (IDR) (IDR) (IDR) (%) 20E 21E 20E 21E 20E 21E ITMG BUY ,850 13,550 14, ADRO BUY 0.6 1,175 1,530 1, PTBA HOLD 0.4 2,630 2,830 3, Average Plantation Rec. AALI BUY ,175 13,800 14, LSIP BUY 0.1 1,325 1,730 1, TBLA HOLD , SIMP SELL SSMS BUY ,500 1, Average Source: SSI Research, Bloomberg Note: GIAA, INKP, PGAS, ITMG, ADRO, MEDC, BRPT, INCO, DOID, TPIA report in USD. 6

7 Regional Indices Price Chg (Pts) Change (%) 1 Year 1D 1D 1W 1M 3M YTD 1YR High Low World 2,805 (6.43) (0.23) ,838 1,764 U.S. (S&P) 3,959 (12.54) (0.32) ,984 2,447 U.S. (DOW) 33,067 (104.41) (0.31) ,259 20,735 Europe 3, ,929 2,626 Emerging Market 1, (1.48) , FTSE 100 6, ,904 5,395 CAC 40 6, ,095 4,142 Dax 15, ,030 9,337 Indonesia 6,071 (95.38) (1.55) (2.90) (2.73) ,505 4,394 Japan 29,215 (217.30) (0.74) ,715 17,647 Australia 6, ,938 5,006 Korea 3, ,266 1,664 Singapore 3, ,204 2,381 Malaysia 1,609 (2.09) (0.13) (1.11) (1.11) ,696 1,317 Hong Kong 28, (1.39) ,183 22,520 China 3, (1.49) (0.47) (0.47) ,732 2,720 Taiwan 16, ,579 9,630 Thailand 1, ,594 1,104 Philipines 6,546 (62.23) (0.94) 1.54 (3.67) (8.32) (8.32) ,432 5,226 1D 1D 1W 1M 3M YTD 1YR High Low Foreign Reserves (US$Bn) Inflation Rate (yoy, %) Gov Bond Yld (10yr, %) 6.79 (14.19) US Fed Rate (%) Exchange Rate (per USD) Price Chg (Pts) Change (%) 1 Year 1D 1D 1W 1M 3M YTD 1YR High Low Indonesia 14, (0.24) (0.59) (1.55) (2.97) (2.97) ,563 13,865 Japan (0.22) (1.69) (3.47) (6.65) (6.65) (2.77) UK (1.31) Euro (0.76) (2.71) (4.04) (4.04) China (0.03) (0.85) (1.61) (0.74) (0.68) Commodity Indicators Price Chg (Pts) Change (%) 1 Year 1D 1D 1W 1M 3M YTD 1YR High Low Oil (Brent) (0.42) (3.01) CPO 3,572 (175.00) (4.67) (9.11) (4.54) (0.45) (0.78) ,066 1,944 Rubber 1, (7.50) (0.66) (1.92) (2.13) , Coal (0.79) Tin 26,810 (610.00) (2.22) (3.06) ,000 14,350 Nickel 15,948 (268.00) (1.65) (1.24) (14.15) (4.95) (4.00) ,110 10,950 Copper 8,774 (91.50) (1.03) (2.30) (3.34) ,617 4,760 Gold 1,682 (1.90) (0.11) (2.95) (2.67) (11.15) (11.15) ,074 1,575 Source: Bloomberg, SSI Research 7

8 Research Team Suria Dharma Head of Equity Research, Strategy, Banking, Consumer Staples Ahmad Mikail Zaini Economist William Mamudi, CFTe, CMT Technical Analyst Muhamad Alfatih CSA, CTA, CFTe Yosua Zisokhi Senior Technical Portfolio Advisor Cement, Cigarette,Paper, Plantation,Telco Infra, Chemical Dessy Lapagu Aviation, Coal, Metal, Retail Selvi Ocktaviani Automotive,Construction, Mining Cont., Precast,Telco, Toll Roads Nashrullah Putra Media, Poultry Olivia Laura Anggita Healthcare, Property Ahmad Fadillah Oil & Gas Calista Muskitta Research Associate Equity Institutional Team Benny Bambang Soebagjo Head of Institutional Equity Sales Ronny Ardianto Institutional Equity Sales Fachruly Fiater Institutional Equity Sales Henry Sutanto Institutional Equity Sales Sylviawati Customer Service Private Wealth Management Evelyn Satyono Head of PWM Equity Sales Clarice Wijana PWM Equity Sales Gitta Wahyu Retnani PWM Equity Sales Wahyudi Budiyono Dealer Equity Retail Team Kelvin Long Head of Retail Equity Sales Lucia Irawati Retail Equity Sales Salt World Widjaja Retail Equity Sales Fixed Income Sales Team R. Virine Tresna Sundari Head of Fixed Income Rudianto Nugroho Fixed Income Sales Sany Rizal Keliobas Fixed Income Sales Online Trading Sales Team Joseph Soegandhi Head of OLT Nugroho Nuswantoro Head of Marketing Online Trading Wahyu Widodo Marketing DISCLAIMER: Analyst Certification: The views expressed in this research accurately reflect the personal views of the analyst(s) about the subject securities or issuers and no part of the compensation of the analyst(s) was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the inclusion of specific recommendations or views in his research. The analyst(s) principally responsible for the preparation of this research has taken reasonable care to achieve and maintain independence and objectivity in making any recommendations. This document is for information only and for the use of the recipient. It is not to be reproduced or copied or made available to others. Under no circumstances is it to be considered as an offer to sell or solicitation to buy any security. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors. Moreover, although the information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, its accuracy, completeness and reliability cannot be guaranteed. All rights reserved by PT Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia 8

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