L A P O R A N H A R I A N RESEARCH PERKIRAAN PASAR HARI INI. Senin, 1 Februari Stimulus Ekonomi Jepang Topang Penguatan IHSG

Transkripsi

1 Penutupan Perubahan %Prb %Ytd P/E Americas INDU Index 16, (5.50) SPX Index 1, (5.07) CCMP Index 4, (7.86) IBOV Index 40, (6.79) EMEA UKX Index 6, (2.54) CAC Index 4, (4.75) RTSSTD Index 11, IBEX Index 8, (7.63) FTSEMIB Index 18, (12.89) 3.88 AEX Index (2.39) SMI Index 8, (5.65) Asia / Pacific NKY Index 17, (6.48) HSI Index 19, (10.18) 8.58 SHCOMP Index 2, (22.65) TWSE Index 8, (2.31) KOSPI Index 1, (1.90) JCI Index 4, SET Index 1, PCOMP Index 6, (3.80) SENSEX Index 24, (4.77) FSSTI Index 2, (8.80) Deskripsi Terakhir Sebelumnya %Prb Kapitalisasi Pasar (IDR Triliun) 4, , Volume Transaksi (Juta Saham) 3, , Nilai Transaksi (IDR Juta) 6, , Nilai/ saham (IDR) 1, , Net Asing (IDR Juta) 1,415, , , Komoditas Terakhir Sebelumnya %Prb Nikel/Nickel (US$/Ton) 8, , Tembaga/Copper (US$/Ton) 4, , Timah/Tins (US$/Ton) 14, , Minyak/Oil (US$/BBL) (*) Gas (US$/MMBTU) Batu Bara/Coal (US$/Ton) (**) Emas/Gold (USD/OZ) 1, , CPO PALMROTT(USD/ton) CPO MALAYSIA(RM/ton) 2, , (*) WTI Cushing (**) McCloskey Newscatle ADR Stocks Bloomberg Terakhir % Konversi Terakhir (Rp) (US$) Prb (Rp) Saham Kode Last (US$) %Change Conv (Rp) Last (Rp) Telkom TLK US , Saham Pilihan Hari Ini Rekomendasi TP (Rp) Property and Real Estate Sector NEUTRAL - Infrastructure Sector OVERWEIGHT - Cement Sector NEUTRAL - Banking Sector NEUTRAL - Telecommunication Sector OVERWEIGHT - Tower (Telecommunication) Sector OVERWEIGHT - Oil & Gas Sector OVERWEIGHT - Metal Mining Sector NEUTRAL - Coal Mining Sector NEUTRAL - Palm Oil Sector NEUTRAL - Consumer Sector - FMCG NEUTRAL - Consumer Sector - Fcigarette NEUTRAL - Retail Sector NEUTRAL - Pharmaceutical Sector OVERWEIGHT - Healthcare Sector OVERWEIGHT - Transportation Sector NEUTRAL - Automotive Sector NEUTRAL - Poultry Sector NEUTRAL - Crops Sector OVERWEIGHT - Fishery Sector OVERWEIGHT - PERKIRAAN PASAR HARI INI Stimulus Ekonomi Jepang Topang Penguatan IHSG Mayoritas indeks global ditutup dalam teritori positif dalam perdagangan pekan kemarin. Dow ditutup menguat signifikan ke level (+2,47%) sedangkan indeks Zona Eropa ditutup rata - rata naik di atas 2%. Sementara itu harga emas dunia ditutup stagnan pada level US$ per troyounce (+0,22%) dan harga minyak dunia naik ke level US$ 33,74 per barrel (+1,57%). Penguatan indeks global ditopang oleh : 1) Kebijakan Bank Sentral Jepang yang di luar ekspektasi menurunkan tingkat suku bunga menjadi -0,1% untuk mendorong perekonomian Jepang; 2) Rilis kinerja sebagian besar emiten di US pada 4Q15 yang lebih baik dari ekspektasi dimana harga saham Microsoft (MSFT.O) meningkat signifikan sebesar 5,83%; 3) Rilis data pertumbuhan ekonomi kwartal-an US (GDP qoq) yang turun signifikan dari 2% menjadi hanya 0,7% pada 4Q15. Data tersebut dinilai menjadi faktor pendorong bagi The FED untuk memperlambat normalisasi peningkatan kebijakan suku bunga-nya. Dari pasar domestik, IHSG ditutup menguat tipis ke level (+0,26%) pada perdagangan pekan kemarin. Penguatan IHSG ditopang oleh pembelian bersih asing yang mencapai IDR 1,42 triliun. Hal tersebut juga mendorong penguatan nilai tukar Rp ke level Rp per USD. Hari ini investor juga menanti rilis data ekonomi domestik seperti tingkat inflasi dan indeks manufaktur Indonesia. Inflasi bulan (MoM) diperkirakan turun dari 0,96% menjadi 0,64% sedangkan inflasi tahunan (YoY) meningkat dari 3,35% menjadi 4,2%. Kami memproyeksikan IHSG berpotensi menguat dalam rentang perdagangan antara level Relatif kondusifnya kondisi pasar global serta stabilnya kondisi domestik menjadi faktor pendorong penguatan IHSG pada hari ini. Saham pilihan kami adalah ASII, BBRI, TLKM, SMGR, UNVR dan WSKT. Analyst: Thendra Crisnanda (thendra@bnisecurities.co.id)

2 Senin, 1 Februari 2016 RINGKASAN BERITA PT Adikarsa Sarana, salah satu pemegang saham PT Elang Mahkota Sejati Tbk (EMTK) telah melepas sebagian kepemilikan sahamnya di grup media tersebut. PT Adaro Energy Tbk (ADRO) mencatat total produksi batubara dan nisbah kupas tahun 2015 masing-masing mencapai 51,46 juta ton dan 5,19x atau turun 8 persen dan 9 persen dari tahun PT Aneka Tambang Tbk (ANTM) mengumumkan laporan penjualan Perseroan (Tidak Audit) pada akhir tahun 2015 sebesar Rp10,55 triliun atau meningkat 12% dibandingkan dengan tahun 2014 seiring dengan peningkatan penjualan Emas yang signifikan. Perusahaan asuransi untuk kesejahteraan TNI dan POLRI, PT ASABRI (Persero) melakukan pembelian saham PT Hanson International Tbk (MYRX) sebanyak lembar (harga tidak disebutkan dalam keterbukaan informasi yang diberikan oleh manajemen MYRX), dengan pembelian tersebut PT ASABRI memiliki 6,06% dari seluruh saham yang diterbitkan oleh MYRX. PT Kimia Farma Tbk (KAEF) menargetkan pertumbuhan pendapatan dari anak usahanya yaitu Kimia Farma Apotek mencapai 26% dari raihan tahun lalu yang hampir menembus Rp3 triliun. PT Martina Berto Tbk (MBTO) resmi mengakuisisi merek produk kecantikan dan perawatan rambut Rudi Hadisuwarno dengan nilai pembelian Rp58 miliar. (Sumber : IQplus, Kontan, Indonesia Finance Today) No Stock Top Value (IDR) 1 ASII IJ 595,088,400,000 2 BBRI IJ 522,526,800,000 3 BBCA IJ 459,579,200,000 4 TLKM IJ 407,662,600,000 5 BMRI IJ 283,102,000,000 No Stock Top Volume (Shares) 1 ELSA IJ 305,058, ANTM IJ 210,456, JPRS IJ 129,706, TLKM IJ 123,511, MYRX IJ 121,537, No Top Gainers % change 1 ASJT IJ SRAJ IJ 20 3 MREI IJ BDMN IJ AIMS IJ No Top Losers % change 1 LPGI IJ UNIC IJ TPMA IJ BBYB IJ PTSN IJ No Leading Mover % change 1 ASII IJ TLKM IJ BDMN IJ EXCL IJ UNTR IJ 3.73 No Lagging Mover % change 1 HMSP IJ UNVR IJ ICBP IJ LPPF IJ BBCA IJ ,990 5,000 12,310 4,500 9,630 4,000 6,950 3,500 4,270 3,000 1,590 1-Jan 11-Mar 20-May 29-Jul 7-Oct 16-Dec 24-Feb 5-May Volume (RHS) (Bn Shares) JCI (LHS)

3 TARGET HARGA SAHAM Banking BBCA IJ Equity 332, BUY 16,000 BBNI IJ Equity 96, NOT RATED - BBRI IJ Equity 283, BUY 13,500 BMRI IJ Equity 208, BUY 11,000 BBTN IJ Equity 13, HOLD 1,350 BJBR IJ Equity 7, BUY 940 BJTM IJ Equity 6, BUY 495 Average 135, Cement INTP IJ Equity 73, HOLD 17,400 SMGR IJ Equity 65, HOLD 10,850 SMBR IJ Equity 3, HOLD 334 SMCB IJ Equity 8, HOLD 1,020 Average 37, Telecommunication TLKM IJ Equity 292, BUY 3,300 ISAT IJ Equity 29, HOLD 5,400 EXCL IJ Equity 32, BUY 4,200 Average 117, Transportation GIAA IJ Equity 7, BUY 425 BIRD IJ Equity 17, HOLD 7,800 TAXI IJ Equity UNDER REVIEW SOCI IJ Equity 2, BUY 825 WINS IJ Equity HOLD 225 Average 5, Automotive ASII IJ Equity 249, HOLD 7,000 IMAS IJ Equity 7, HOLD 3,000 Average 128, Construction WIKA IJ Equity 17, HOLD 3,180 ADHI IJ Equity 8, BUY 2,645 PTPP IJ Equity 18, BUY 4,420 WSKT IJ Equity 23, BUY 2,180 TOTL IJ Equity 2, BUY 840 WTON IJ Equity 7, BUY 1,090 Average 12, Infrastructure PGAS IJ Equity 72, HOLD 3,320 JSMR IJ Equity 33, BUY 6,850 Average 52, Oil & Gas MEDC IJ Equity 3, HOLD 1,250 ELSA IJ Equity 2, NOT RATED RUIS IJ Equity NOT RATED - ENRG IJ Equity 2, HOLD 120 Average 2, Property ASRI IJ Equity 6, HOLD 380 APLN IJ Equity 5, HOLD 300 BKSL IJ Equity 2, HOLD 90 BSDE IJ Equity 32, BUY 2,360 CTRA IJ Equity 19, HOLD 980 CTRP IJ Equity 2, HOLD 470 CTRS IJ Equity 4, BUY 2,850 BEST IJ Equity 3, BUY 438 SSIA IJ Equity 2, BUY 780 MDLN IJ Equity 6, HOLD 450 PWON IJ Equity 21, BUY 545 LPKR IJ Equity 30, HOLD 1,320 SMRA IJ Equity 22, BUY 1,830 KIJA IJ Equity 4, BUY 280 Average 11,

4 TARGET HARGA SAHAM Agriculture AALI IJ Equity 29, HOLD 20,000 BWPT IJ Equity 5, BUY 220 LSIP IJ Equity 8, BUY 1,700 SGRO IJ Equity 2, HOLD 1,540 SIMP IJ Equity 6, HOLD 450 Average 10, Metal ANTM IJ Equity 8, BUY 420 INCO IJ Equity 16, HOLD 1,850 TINS IJ Equity 3, BUY 610 Average 9, Mining ADRO IJ Equity 18, BUY 670 HRUM IJ Equity 2, HOLD 810 ITMG IJ Equity 7, HOLD 7,900 PTBA IJ Equity 13, BUY 6,900 Average 10, Consumer UNVR IJ Equity 288, HOLD 40,000 INDF IJ Equity 46, BUY 7,600 ICBP IJ Equity 73, HOLD 15,800 MYOR IJ Equity 23, BUY 32,000 AISA IJ Equity 4, BUY 3,150 ROTI IJ Equity 6, BUY 1,450 GGRM IJ Equity 96, HOLD 52,000 Average 77, Pharmaceutical KLBF IJ Equity 63, BUY 1,700 KAEF IJ Equity 5, BUY 1,370 Average 34, Retail RALS IJ Equity 5, HOLD 830 MAPI IJ Equity 7, HOLD 3,500 Average 6, Healthcare SILO IJ Equity 11, BUY 16,400 MIKA IJ Equity 36, HOLD 2,800 Average 23, Poultry CPIN IJ Equity 52, BUY 5,110 JPFA IJ Equity 4, HOLD 400 MAIN IJ Equity 2, BUY 2,000 Average 20, Crops BISI IJ Equity 4, BUY 1,800 Wholesaler MPMX IJ Equity 1, BUY 775 Towers TOWR IJ Equity 42, HOLD 4,500 TBIG IJ Equity 32, HOLD 7,000 Average 37,

5 TEAM Research Division : Fax No. : research@bnisecurities.co.id Thendra Crisnanda thendra@bnisecurities.co.id ext: 2098 Construction, Property, Infrastructure, Cement Richard Jerry richard@bnisecurities.co.id ext: 2032 Telecommunication, Tower Infrastructure, Banking Heru Irvansyah (Economist) heru@bnisecurities.co.id ext: 2030 Macroeconomic and Financial Market Norico Gaman (Head of Research Division) norico@bnisecurities.co.id ext: 3934 Investment Strategy Yasmin Soulisa yasmin@bnisecurities.co.id ext: 3987 Plantation, Coal Mining, Metal Mining, Oil & Gas Dessy Lapagu dessy@bnisecurities.co.id ext: 2051 Poultry, Crops, Fishing R. Venia Allani Meissalina (Research Assistant) venia.allani@bnisecurities.co.id ext: 2050 Data Administrator Andri Zakarias Siregar (Technical Analyst) andri.zakarias@bnisecurities.co.id ext: 2054 Market Strategy, Commodities, Currency, Bond & Stocks Ankga Adiwirasta ankga.adiwirasta@bnisecurities.co.id ext: 3986 Consumer Goods, Pharmaceutical, Retail, Health Care Thennesia Deboa thennesia@bnisecurities.co.id ext: 2123 Transportation, Automotive Indah Lestari Permata Herlina (Research Assistant) indah.lestari@bnisecurities.co.id ext: 2073 Data Administrator

6 EQUITY TEAM CM : Fax No : Sukanto ext sukanto@bnisecurities.co.id Equity Division Head Jufrani Amsal ext amsal@bnisecurities.co.id Channel Distribution Division Head Entis Sutisman ext entis@bnisecurities.co.id Head of Local Institution Department Chandrawati ext chandrawati@bnisecurities.co.id Head of HO Retail Department Yulinda ext yulinda@bnisecurities.co.id Institutional Sales Teguh Hendro ext teguh@bnisecurities.co.id Institutional Sales Danovan Yazir ext danovan@bnisecurities.co.id Institutional Sales Dharmawan P. ext prasetyo@bnisecurities.co.id Institutional Sales Fachrial Bayu ext fachrial@bnisecurities.co.id Institutional Sales Jericho Biere ext jericho@bnisecurities.co.id Institutional Sales Michelle Robin ext michelle.robin@bnisecurities.co.id Institutional Sales Dini Desita ext dinidesita@bnisecurities.co.id Client Relation Putri Erinasari ext putri.erinasari@bnisecurities.co.id Client Relation Anindyah Nurahmah ext anindyah@bnisecurities.co.id Client Relation

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