L A P O R A N H A R I A N

Transkripsi

1 18 Juli, 2014 L A P O R A N H A R I A N Penutupan Prb %Prb %Ytd P/E Americas INDU Index 16, SPX Index 1, CCMP Index 4, IBOV Index 55, EMEA UKX Index 6, (0.16) CAC Index 4, RTSSTD Index 9, (4.89) 5.39 IBEX Index 10, FTSEMIB Index 20, #N/A N/A AEX Index SMI Index 8, Asia / Pacific NKY Index 15, (7.21) HSI Index 23, SHCOMP Index 2, (2.85) TWSE Index 9, KOSPI Index 2, #N/A N/A JCI Index 5, SET Index 1, PCOMP Index 6, SENSEX Index 25, FSSTI Index 3, Deskripsi Terakhir Sebelumnya %Prb Kapitalisasi Pasar (IDR Triliun) 5, , Volume Transaksi (Juta Saham) 4, , Nilai Transaksi (IDR Juta) 4, , Nilai/ saham (IDR) 1, , Net Asing (IDR Juta) 530, , Komoditas Terakhir Sebelumnya %Prb Nikel/Nickel (US$/Ton) 19, , Tembaga/Copper (US$/Ton) 7, , Timah/Tins (US$/Ton) 22, , Minyak/Oil (US$/BBL) (*) Gas (US$/MMBTU) Batu Bara/Coal (US$/Ton) (**) Emas/Gold (USD/OZ) 1, , CPO PALMROTT(USD/ton) CPO MALAYSIA(RM/ton) 2, , (*) WTI Cushing (**) McCloskey Newscatle ADR Stocks Bloomberg Code Terakhir % Konversi (US$) Prb (Rp) Terakhir (Rp) Saham Kode Last (US$) %Change Conv (Rp) Last (Rp) Telkom TLK US , , *) per share **) 1 ADR TLK US = 40 ordinary shares TLKM **) 1 ADR IIT US = 50 ordinary shares ISAT Daily Report dapat dilihat di website BNI Securities : RISET PERKIRAAN PASAR HARI INI IHSG berpotensi melemah tertekan sentimen negatif global No Stock Top Value (IDR) 1 BBRI IJ 310,396,190,720 2 BMRI IJ 283,520,106,496 3 ASII IJ 223,640,829,952 4 BBCA IJ 170,298,195,968 5 PGAS IJ 135,054,041,088 No Stock Top Volume (Shares) 1 BKSL IJ 566,765, ASRI IJ 218,319, APLN IJ 118,219, BBTN IJ 101,927, LPKR IJ 101,352, No Top Gainers % change 1 MYTX IJ RBMS IJ INPP IJ BKDP IJ YULE IJ 8.7 No Top Losers % change 1 GTBO IJ LAMI IJ WAPO IJ CPGT IJ ASGR IJ No Leading Movers % change 1 NISP IJ KLBF IJ ADRO IJ INVS IJ INCO IJ 1.29 No Lagging Movers % change 1 TLKM IJ BMRI IJ BBRI IJ ASII IJ UNVR IJ ,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 1-Jan 11-Mar 20-May 29-Jul 7-Oct 16-Dec Volume (RHS) (Bn Shares) JCI (LHS) 14,990 12,310 9,630 6,950 4,270 1,590

2 P E R K I R A A N P A S A R H A R I I N I IHSG berpotensi melemah tertekan sentimen negatif global Indeks Dow Jones melemah pada perdagangan hari Kamis (17/7) kemarin. Investor melakukan aksi jual di pasar saham dan memilih instrumen obligasi setelah kabar jatuhnya pesawat sipil Malaysian Airlines di wilayah Ukraina. Beberapa data perekonomian penting yang telah dirilis kemarin antara lain: angka Housing Starts atau pembangunan rumah baru di Amerika Serikat untuk bulan Juni yang menurun 9,3% dibandingkan bulan Mei menjadi 893 ribu unit, sementara ijin pembangunan rumah yang dikeluarkan tercatat 963 ribu atau turun 2,8% MoM. Dari sektor ketenagakerjaan, angka klaim pengangguran baru di minggu lalu tercatat turun 3 ribu klaim dibandingkan minggu sebelumnya menjadi 302 ribu klaim baru. Sementara itu indeks kondisi bisnis umum AS yang diwakili oleh Philadelphia Fed Survey berada di level 23,9 untuk bulan Juli, menguat 6,1 poin dari bulan Juni. Di Eropa, bursa saham tertekan oleh aksi jual investor ditengah kekhawatiran akan meruncingnya ketegangan antara Ukraina dan Rusia. Data inflasi zona eropa di bulan Juni tercatat 0,1% MoM atau 0,5% YoY, sesuai ekspektasi. Sementara Eurostat merilis data output konstruksi di zona eropa yang turun 1,5% di bulan Mei dan memberikan sinyal bahwa pemulihan ekonomi di zona tersebut masih lemah. Bursa Asia pagi ini mayoritas dibuka melemah, tertekan oleh sentimen negatif dari jatuhnya pesawat Malaysian Airlines di wilayah konflik Ukraina. Indeks Nikkei berada di teritori negatif ditengah penguatan kembali mata uang Yen terhadap dolar AS. Saham saham yang tertekan antara lain saham sektor retail dan teknologi yang berbasis ekspor. IHSG hari ini kami prediksi akan bergerak melemah mengikuti pergerakan bursa regional. Analyst: Yasmin Soulisa (yasmin@bnisecurities.co.id) 2

3 R I N G K A S A N B E R I T A PT BNI Tbk (BBNI) mengestimasi pertumbuhan kredit perseroan secara year to date (ytd) akan tumbuh di bawah rerata industri, atau di bawah 3,28% di semester I Di semester II, kredit diperkirakan tumbuh lebih tinggi pasca selesainya rangkaian pemilihan presiden (pilpres). PT Red Planet Indonesia Tbk (PSKT), melakukan pengembangan bisnis (ekspansi) ke Surabaya, Jawa Timur. Perseroan telah membuka jaringan hotel ke 7 pada tahun ini. PT Telekomunikasi IndonesiaTbk (TLKM), mengincar nilai transaksi layanan pengiriman uang (remitansi/remittance) mencapai Rp 300 miliar pada tahun ini. Nilai tersebut ditargetkan berasal dari Hong Kong, Taiwan, dan Malaysia. Erajaya Dorong Penjualan Aksesori Handset dengan Outlet Khusus. Satu outlet Era Plus menelan investasi Rp 500 juta per gerai. Jababeka Jajaki Daerah Potensial untuk Kawasan Industri. Perseroan menargetkan pembangunan sekitar 100 kawasan industri dalam 12 tahun mendatang, terutama di Pulau Jawa. PT Bank Danamon Tbk menyatakan laba bersih Bank Danamon turun 12%, pada semester pertama Laba ditahan untuk semester pertama. 2014, Rp1.753 triliun turun 12% dari 2013 Rp1,985 triliun thn lalau 12% karena OJK keluarkan aturan premi asuransi. Penurunan Laba Danamon Diestimasi Berlanjut hingga Akhir Tahun. Pejabat bank mengatakan, penurunan laba bersih dipengaruhi perlambatan pertumbuhan kredit dan peningkatan biaya dana. Krakatau Steel Pasok Ton Baja untuk Proyek Baru Semen Padang. Pada tahap awal, perseroan berencana mengirim sekitar 850 ton baja pada September Express Transindo Ekspansi Bus dan Taksi Premium Rp 427 Miliar. Diversifikasi armada dilakukan karena potensi demand cukup besar dan pemainnya belum terlalu banyak. PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk (ERAA), membuka outlet ritel dengan konsep baru yang dinamakan Era Plus. Outlet ini memberi porsi besar pada produk aksesori handset dan diharapkan dapat meningkatkan laba perseroan. PT Sumberdaya Sewatama, anak usaha PT ABM Investama Tbk (ABMM) di sektor ketenagalistrikan, mengalokasikan dana investasi US$ 29 juta US$ 31,9 juta untuk membangun dua Pembangkit Listrik Tenaga Mini Hidro (PLTMH) di Sulawesi Selatan pada tahun ini. Dua pembangkit tersebut akan memiliki kapasitas masing masing 5,5 megawatt (MW) dan 9 MW. PT Bank Tabungan Pensiunan Nasional Tbk (BTPN) mengubah Unit Usaha Syariah (UUS) menjadi Bank Umum Syariah BUS). Hal ini setelah mengakuisisi PT Bank Sahabat Purba Danarta. PT Darma Henwa Tbk (DEWA) menerima pembayaran dari Lennette Limited untuk divestasi 93,47% kepemilikan di PT DH Energy (DHE). Kedua pihak telah menandatangani extention promissory note pada 15 Juli Nilai transaksi tersebut sebesar US$11,5 juta. Source : Investor Daily, Kontan, Indonesia Finance Today, Inilah, Viva News 3

4 A N A L Y S T S T A R G E T P R I C E Banking BBCA IJ Equity 255,795,728,750, BUY 12, BBNI IJ Equity 81,774,358,577, BUY 5, BBRI IJ Equity 215,238,438,450, BUY 12, BMRI IJ Equity 210,583,333,303, BUY 11, Average Cement INTP IJ Equity 85, HOLD 25, SMGR IJ Equity 88, BUY 16, SMBR IJ Equity 4, BUY SMCB IJ Equity 20, HOLD 2, Average 49, Telecommunication EXCL IJ Equity 38,575,897,814, HOLD 5, TLKM IJ Equity 227,303,991,882, BUY 2, Average Transportation GIAA IJ Equity 10,912,960,072, HOLD TAXI IJ Equity 3,819,168,000, BUY 2, Average Automotive ASII IJ Equity 291, HOLD 7, IMAS IJ Equity 13, HOLD 4, Average 152, Construction WIKA IJ Equity 14, HOLD 2, ADHI IJ Equity 5, HOLD 2, PTPP IJ Equity 8, BUY 2, WSKT IJ Equity 6, BUY TOTL IJ Equity 2, BUY 1,040 #N/A N/A WTON IJ Equity 6, HOLD Average 7, Infrastructure PGAS IJ Equity 126, BUY 6, JSMR IJ Equity 40, HOLD 6, Average 126, Oil & Gas MEDC IJ Equity 8, HOLD 1, ELSA IJ Equity 2, HOLD RUIS IJ Equity Not Rated ENRG IJ Equity 3, Not Rated Average Property ASRI IJ Equity 9, HOLD APLN IJ Equity 5, HOLD BKSL IJ Equity 4, HOLD BSDE IJ Equity 28, HOLD 1, CTRA IJ Equity 16, HOLD 1, CTRP IJ Equity 4, HOLD CTRS IJ Equity 4, HOLD 2, BEST IJ Equity 4, HOLD SSIA IJ Equity 3, HOLD MDLN IJ Equity 5, HOLD PWON IJ Equity 18, HOLD LPKR IJ Equity 23, HOLD 1, SMRA IJ Equity 17, HOLD 1, KIJA IJ Equity 4, HOLD Average 10,

5 A N A L Y S T S T A R G E T P R I C E Agriculture AALI IJ Equity 40,825,264,125, BUY 30, BWPT IJ Equity 6,013,779,803, BUY 1, LSIP IJ Equity 15,419,672,560, BUY 2, SGRO IJ Equity 4,025,700,000, HOLD 2, SIMP IJ Equity 14,630,086,750, BUY 1, SMAR IJ Equity 19,818,134,225, BUY 7, Average Metal ANTM IJ Equity 9,681,536,900, HOLD 1, INCO IJ Equity 25,337,663,736, HOLD 2, TINS IJ Equity 6,895,237,400, BUY 1, Average Mining ADRO IJ Equity 30,226,734,090, HOLD 1, HRUM IJ Equity 6,421,097,500,000 Not Rated ITMG IJ Equity 30,733,960,000, HOLD 30, PTBA IJ Equity 21,370,824,300, HOLD 10, Average Consumer UNVR IJ Equity 227,180,000,000, BUY 34, INDF IJ Equity 59,932,985,500, BUY 7, ICBP IJ Equity 58,467,398,600, HOLD 10, MYOR IJ Equity 26,206,731,039, HOLD 30, AISA IJ Equity 6,529,800,000, BUY 3, ROTI IJ Equity 7,060,452,000, HOLD 1, GGRM IJ Equity 101,976,930,200, BUY 60, Average Pharmaceutical KLBF IJ Equity 75,700,795,343, BUY 1, KAEF IJ Equity 5,286,580,000, BUY Average Retail RALS IJ Equity 8,272,480,000, HOLD 1, MAPI IJ Equity 17,420,000,000, HOLD 5, Average Poultry CPIN IJ Equity 68,215,680,000, BUY 4, JPFA IJ Equity 16,417,205,281, BUY 1, MAIN IJ Equity 5,940,975,000, BUY 3, Average

6 RESEARCH TEAM Research Division : Fax No : E mail : research@bnisecurities.co.id Norico Gaman ext norico@bnisecurities.co.id Head of Research Investment Strategy, Banking, Heru Irvansyah ext heru.irvansyah@bnisecurities.co.id Economist Telco, Cement, Airline I Made Adi Saputra ext made.sapurta@bnisecurities.co.id Fixed Income Analyst Thendra Crisnanda ext thendra@bnisecurities.co.id Analyst Automotive, Heavy Equipment, Property, Infrastructure, Oil and Gas Yasmin Soulisa ext yasmin@bnisecurities.co.id Analyst Coal and Metal Mining, Plantation Andri Zakarias ext andri.zakarias@bnisecurities.co.id Technical Analyst Market Strategy, Commodities, Currency, Bond & Stocks Ankga Adiwirasta ext ankga.adiwirasta@bnisecurities.co.id Research Analyst Consumer Goods, Pharmaceutical Venia Allani Meissalina ext venia@bnisecurities.co.id Research Assistant Dessy Lapagu ext dessy@bnisecurities.co.id Research Assistant Poultry EQUITY TEAM CM : Fax No : Norico Gaman ext Jufrani Amsal ext norico@bnisecurities.co.id Equity Division Head (PJS) amsal@bnisecurities.co.id Channel Distribution Division Head Entis Sutisman ext entis@bnisecurities.co.id Head of Local Institution Chandrawati ext chandrawati@bnisecurities.co.id Head of HO Retail Yulinda ext yulinda@bnisecurities.co.id Institutional Sales 6

7 MAIN OFFICE JAKARTA PT BNI SECURITIES Sudirman Plaza, Indofood Tower 16th Floor, Jl. Jend. Sudirman Kav Jakarta 12910, Indonesia Phone: (62 21) (Hunting) Fax: (62 21) e mail: bnisec@bnisecurities.co.id (General) Website: JAKARTA PT BNI Securities Sudirman Plaza Indofood Tower Lt.16 Jl. Jend. Sudirman Kav Jakarta Phone: (62 21) Fax: (62 21) e mail: wisma46@bnisecurities.co.id JAKARTA Mangga Dua Pertokoan Mangga Dua Blok E4 No. 7 Jl. Mangga Dua Raya, Jakarta Utara Phone: (62 21) , Fax: (62 21) e mail: manggadua@bnisecurities.co.id JAKARTA Puri Indah Ruko Puri Kencana Blok K6 2K Lt.2 Puri Kembangan, Jakarta Barat Phone: (62 21) Fax: (62 21) e mail: bnispuri@bnisecurities.co.id JAKARTA Central Park Central Park, Office Tower Podomoro City Jl. Letjen S. Parman Kav 28, Tanjung Duren Selatan, Grogol Petamburan Phone: (62 21) Fax: (62 21) centralpark@bnisecurities.co.id BANDUNG Jl. Perintis Kemerdekaan 3 Bandung Phone: (62 22) Fax: (62 22) e mail: bnisbpk@bnisecurities.co.id YOGYAKARTA Jl. Laksda Adisucipto 137, Yogyakarta Phone: (62 274) Fax: (62 274) e mail: jogja@bnisecurities.co.id SOLO Jl. Honggo Wongso No. 24, Surakarta Phone: (62 271) , Fax: (62 271) e mail: solo@bnisecurities.co.id SURABAYA Jl. Gubernur Suryo No. 36, Surabaya Phone: (62 31) Fax: (62 31) e mail: surabaya@bnisecurities.co.id MALANG Jl. Buring No. 58, Malang Phone: (62 341) ,321213, Fax: (62 341) e mail: malang@bnisecurities.co.id DENPASAR Komplek Pertokoan Diponegoro Megah Blok A5 6 Lantai 2 Jl. Diponegoro No. 100, Denpasar Bali Phone: (62 361) , Fax: (62 361) e mail: denpasar@bnisecurities.co.id MEDAN Jl. Pemuda No. 12, Medan Phone: (62 61) Fax: (62 61) e mail: medan@bnisecurities.co.id PALEMBANG Jl. Jend. Sudirman 132, Palembang Phone: (62 711) Fax: (62 711) e mail: plb@bnisecurities.co.id PEKANBARU Jl. Riau, No. 124, Lt. 2, Pekanbaru Phone: (62 761) 46757, Fax: (62 761) e mail: pekanbaru@bnisecurities.co.id MANADO BNI KLN Megamas, Lt. 3, Kawasan Mega Mas Blok I C1 Jl. Piere Tendean, No. 20, Manado Phone: (62 431) Fax: (62 24) e mail: manado@bnisecurities.co.id ACEH Kantor Cabang BNI Banda Aceh Lt.2 Jl. KH. Ahmad Dahlan No. 111, Banda Aceh Phone: (62 651) Fax: (62 651) BANJARMASIN Gd. Bank BNI Antasari Lt. 2 Jl. Pangeran Antasari No. 44 RT 008, Banjarmasin Phone: (62 511) Fax: (62 651) e mail: banjarmasin@bnisecurities.co.id Copyright 2009, BNI Securities. All rights reserved. This research report is prepared for the use of BNI Securities clients and may not be redistributed, retransmitted or disclosed, in whole or in part, or in any form or manner, without the express written consent of BNI Securities. BNI Securities research reports are distributed simultaneously to internal and client websites eligible to receive such research prior to any public dissemination by BNI Securities of the research report or information or opinion contained therein. Any unauthorized use or disclosure is prohibited. Receipt and review of this research report constitutes your agreement not to redistribute, retransmit, or disclose to others the contents, opinions, conclusion, or information contained in this report (including any investment recommendations, estimates or price targets) prior to BNI Securities's public disclosure of such information. The information herein (other than disclosure information relating to BNI Securities and its affiliates) was obtained from various sources and we do not guarantee its accuracy. BNI Securities makes no representations or warranties whatsoever as to the data and information provided in any third party referenced website and shall have no liability or responsibility arising out of or in connection with any such referenced website. his document is not intended to be an offer, or a satisfaction of an offer, to buy or sell relevant securities (i.e. securities mentioned herein or of the same issuer and options, warrants or rights to or interest in any such securities). The information and opinions contained in this document have been compiled from or arrived at in good faith from sources believed to be reliable. No representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is made by BNI SECURITIES or any other member of the BNI Group, including any other member of the BNI Group from whom this document may be received, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein. All opinions and estimates in this report constitute our judgment as of this date and are subject to change without notice. 7