KONDISI ENERGI PRIMER (MINYAK DAN GAS) INDONESIA

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1 KONDISI ENERGI PRIMER (MINYAK DAN GAS) INDONESIA Oleh: Eko Widianto VP EP Technology Center PT PERTAMINA (Persero) Disampaikan pada: Pertemuan Nasional Forum Komunikasi Pendidikan Tinggi Teknik Elektro Indonesia 2007 Yogyakarta, 5 6 Desember 2007

2 CURRICULUM VITAE Name : Ir. Eko Widianto, MT Place of Birth : Semarang, 3 September 1955 Marital Status : Married Address : Rancho Indah, Jl. Tanjung 19 / Blok G-21 Tanjung Barat, Jakarta Selatan eko.widianto@pertamina.com Academic Record : 1982 : S1 Geologi UGM 1999 : S2 Applied Geophysic ITB Work History : : Pertamina Exploration Division Jakarta : Pertamina Exploration Department Plaju : Pertamina BPPKA Jakarta : Head of Exploration Planning Jakarta : Exploration Manager JOB Pertamina Greka Energy : Chief Geophysic Pertamina Upstream Chairman of HAGI : GM JOB Pertamina-ConocoPhillips (Sakakemang) Ltd : Head of New Venture Division Pertamina 2006 now : VP EP Technology Center Pertamina PERTAMINA Page 2

3 AGENDA PENDAHULUAN PRODUKSI DAN KONSUMSI MINYAK BUMI PRODUKSI DAN KONSUMSI GAS BUMI CADANGAN MIGAS NASIONAL KESIMPULAN 3

4 History of Oil & Gas Exploration in Indonesia Dutch Colonial Law 8/1971 Era The history of Indonesia s petroleum industry goes back to the Dutch colonialism era and was marked by the beginning of systematic oil exploration in The first well was drilled in 1871, and the first oil field discovery was made in Since the independence of Indonesia in 1945 and up to 1950, most oil fields had been discovered in East Java, South and Central Sumatra, and East Kalimantan. In 1966, Pertamina was established as a merger of several upstream and downstream Dutch oil companies. The new contract system (PSC) was first introduced in the same year. In 1971, a new law no 8 clarified Pertamina s roles as an upstream and downstream operator, as well as contractors regulator. A 2001 law specified the deregulation of the country s oil and gas industry PERTAMINA Page 4

5 REFORM PHILOSOPHY PREVIOUS N E W PERTAMINA (GOVERNMENT) REGULATOR PLAYER (LAW NO. 8/1971) PERTAMINA PLAYER PERTAMINA & OTHERS REGULATOR DOWNSTREAM Page 5 GOVERNMENT POLICY S BOUNDARY SUPERVISOR UPSTREAM 2001-RECENT (LAW NO. 22/2001) Heri Purnomo, 2006

6 INDONESIA TOP 10 OIL and GAS PRODUCERS Ref PetroEnergy Magazine No. 6 Year II Oct November 2005 Note : * PERTAMINA Production = PERTAMINA EP + Joint Company CALTEX PACIFIC INDONESIA TOTAL 2, PERTAMINA* PERTAMINA* 1, CONOCOPHILLIPS LTD EXXONMOBIL OIL INDONESIA TOTAL 69 CONOCOPHILLIPS LTD CNOOC(SES) BV VICO PETROCHINA INT L IND.LTD 53.8 UNOCAL INDONESIA MEDCO E&P INDONESIA PREMIER OIL UNOCAL MEDCO E&P INDONESIA VICO BPINDONESIA Oil, MBOPD KODECO PETROCHINA INT L IND LTD Gas, MMSCFD GEOTHERMAL WORLD INSTALLED CAPACITY MW USA PHILLIPINE 855 MEXICO 852 INDONESIA 785 ITALY 546 JAPAN 437 NEW ZEALAND ICELAND EL SALVADOR COSTA RICA PERTAMINA Ref International Geothermal Association, Nov 2005 Note : PERTAMINA EP Geothermal Electric Power Capacity : 162 MW Page 6

7 Produksi dan Konsumsi Minyak bumi 7

8 9000 REALISASI DAN PROYEKSI ENERGI PRIMER SBM/hari Minyak Bumi Batubara Gas Tenaga Air Panas Bumi EBT Lainnya PERTAMINA Page 8

9 INDONESIA: Oil production (bars) & consumption (dots) Thousands of barrels of oil per day Energyfiles Ltd Year

10 INDONESIA: Oil production forecast to Thousands of barrels of oil per day Energyfiles Ltd Year

11 1800 REALISASI DAN PROYEKSI MINYAK BUMI (SKENARIO PESIMIS) Ribu Barrel/hari PERTAMINA Produksi Skenario Pesimis Kebutuhan Domestik Page 11

12 Produksi dan Konsumsi Gas bumi 12

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14 CADANGAN MINYAK INDONESIAN DAN PROVEN GAS OIL AND TERBUKTI GAS RESERVES INDONESIA ,000 3,500 12,000 3,000 10,000 2,500 8,000 2,000 MMBO TCF 6,000 1,500 4,000 2, Annual report OPEC YEAR OIL (mmbo) GAS (TCF) ,

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16 PRODUKSI GAS ALAM INDONESIA NATURAL GAS OF INDONESIA ( ) dalam in MMSCF) MMSCFD 100,000 90,000 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 Gross Production mmscf Marketed Production Flaring Reinjection Shrinkage 30,000 20,000 10, Annual report OPEC 2006

17 14000 PEMANFAATAN VS PRODUKSI GAS BUMI (REALISASI DAN PRODUKSI) MMSCFD Catatan: Berdasarkan cadangan P1 dan P2 status saat ini PERTAMINA Kontrak Ekspor Kontrak Domestik Tambahan Domestik Produksi CBM Impor LNG Produksi Kemampuan Produksi Page 17

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21 Cadangan dan Sumberdaya Migas Nasional PERTAMINA Page 21

22 INDONESIA TERTIARY SEDIMENTARY BASINS SOUTH CHINA SEA SULAWESI SEA eastern PACIFIC OCEAN 400 KM INDIAN OCEAN BANDA SEA western TOTAL OF 60 BASINS UNDRILLED 22 DRILLED 38 PRODUCING 15 NON PRODUCING 23 DISCOVERY 8 NON DISCOVERY 15 OIL & GAS RESOURCES & RESERVES RESOURCES OIL (BBO) GAS (TCF) RESERVES Status : Jan 01, 1999 PERTAMINA Page 22

23 INDONESIA OIL RESERVE ACEH NATUNA North Sumatra Central Sumatra , East Kalimantan IRIAN JAYA 92.1 South Sumatra OIL RESERVE 1P (MMSTB) PERTAMINA West Java East Java PROVEN : 4,728 MMSTB POTENTIAL : 5,024.6 MMSTB TOTAL : 9,746.4 MMSTB Page 23 DINAS STUDI EKS.& EVAL JIAN-BANG.

24 INDONESIA NATURAL GAS RESERVE ACEH NATUNA 3,896 North Sumatera 728 Central Sumatera South Sumatera 3,22 14,260 52,080 5,190 West Java NATURAL GAS 2P (BSCF) 4,395 East Java East Kalimantan 31,814 3,654 1P : 91,170.2 BSCF 2P : 134,015.5 BSCF 3P : 178,128.8 BSCF IRIAN JAYA 14,782 DINAS STUDI EKS.& EVAL JIAN-BANG. PERTAMINA Page 24

25 WILAYAH KERJA PT PERTAMINA (EP) OIL & GAS POTENTIAL Total: 4 BB0 & 35.5 TCFG : oil bubble-graph : gas bubble-graph 2466 : oil in MMbbls 9314 : gas in Bcu.ft 65 : number of closure Total Luas WK : km2

26 Newton (2004) Awang H. Satyana - BPMIGAS

27 INDONESIAN ENERGY POTENTIAL 2007 FOSSIL ENERGY RESOURCES RESERVES PRODUCTION RESERVE/ PRODUCTION (YEAR) Oil 86.9 billion barrel 9.1 billion barrel*) 365 million barrel 25 Gas TSCF 187 TSCF 2.77 TSCF 68 Coal 90.5 billion ton 18.7 billion ton 170 million ton 110 CBM 453 TSCF - - -

28 Kesimpulan Secara nasional pemenuhan kebutuhan gas hingga 2011 akan terpenuhi. Reserve to Production Ratio untuk minyak adalah 25 tahun sedang untuk gas adalah 68 tahun. Dengan asumsi commercial success dari resources menjadi reserve adalah 46%, akan didapatkan tambahan reserve minyak sebesar 40 Billion Barrel dan gas sebesar 177 TCF. Tetap perlunya upaya peningkatan eksplorasi migas Indonesia untuk memenuhi kebutuhan energi primer sesuai target mix energy Option pengalihan sebagian gas alam untuk ekspor menjadi untuk kebutuhan dalam negri layak dipertimbangkan. Perlunya pembangunan infrastruktur penyaluran gas bumi dari lapangan penghasil ke pasar. Proyek gas yang akan onstream sebaiknya tidak mengalami kelambatan

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30 TARGET OF ENERGY MIX (PRESIDENTIAL DECREE NO. 5 YEAR 2006) CURRENT ENERGI MIX (1 million BOE) Hydro Power, 3.11% Geothermal, 1.32% National (Primary) Energy Mix Natural Gas, 28.57% Gas, 30% Target of Energy Mix 2025 (3 million BOE) Oil, 20% Biofuel, 5% RE,17% Geothermal, 5% Oil 51.66% Biomass, Nuclear, Hydro Solar Energy, Wind Power, 5% Coal, 15.34% Coal, 33% Coal Liquefaction 2%

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