Indonesian Policy of Supplying Natural Gas & LNG for Power, Industries & Shipping

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Doddy Pranoto
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Gas Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources 6 th Annual LNG

1 Indonesian Policy of Supplying Natural Gas & LNG for Power, Industries & Shipping IGN Wiratmaja Director General of Oil & Gas Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources 6 th Annual LNG Transport, Handling & Storage Forum 2016 Bali, 14 September

2 INDONESIA AS A MARITIME COUNTRY + 5,000 km 2 2

3 1. Indonesia Oil & Gas Balance 3 3

4 PROYEKSI PRODUKSI GAS BUMI dalam MMSCFD 4 4

NERACA GAS BUMI INDONESIA 2015 2030 2019 MULAI IMPOR GAS National Energy Agency Forecast:

5 NERACA GAS BUMI INDONESIA MULAI IMPOR GAS National Energy Agency Forecast: Gas demand in 2025 will make up to 20% of National Energy Mix (7,134 BOED), or 8,249 BBTUD 5 5

6 PEMANFAATAN GAS BUMI INDONESIA 2016 LPG Domestik 2.50% LNG Domestik 5.91% 2,000 Realisasi Penyaluran Gas Pipa untuk Domestik Tahun 2016 Kelistrikan 14.98% 1,800 1,600 1, , ,400 LNG Ekspor 29.10% Pupuk 10.50% BBTUD 1,200 1,000 1, , Ekspor Gas Pipa 11.80% BBG Transportasi 0.06% City Gas 0.05% Industri 22.10% Lifting Minyak 3.02% Kelistrikan Pupuk Industri Lifting Minyak City Gas Realisasi (BBTUD) Kontrak 8.50 Status s.d. Mei

7 NATIONAL OIL & GAS DEMAND & PRODUCTION In mboepd In 2015 the gap between national supply and demand begins. 15 Years AVE CAGR OE Production 4% % source : ESDM, SKK Migas, Upstream Team Projection 4 National Supply National Demand 7

8 NATIONAL GAS DEMAND & PRODUCTION In mmscfd In 2021 the gap between national supply and demand begins. Gas Consumption Industry (98,26%) Household (0,11%) Commercial (1,34%) Transportation (0,29%) 15 Years CAGR Average 7% % National Supply National Demand source : ESDM, SKK Migas, Upstream Team Projection 8 8

9 2. Gas Infrastructure Development 9 9

Infrastruktur Gas Bumi Existing & Rencana EXISTING ROADMAP 2016 2030 Pipa 12 Regasific ation 6.

10 Infrastruktur Gas Bumi Existing & Rencana EXISTING ROADMAP Pipa 12 Regasific ation 6.1 KEBUTUHAN INVESTASI (Miliar USD) Liquefac tion 25.6 Jargas 2.2 SPBG + CNG 1.93 TOTAL LPG

VIRTUAL PIPELINE CLUSTER CONCEPT CLUSTER II (MALUKU) Pembangkit 130 MMSCFD [875MW] Smelter 100 MMSFD Industri 55 MMSCFD Rumah Tangga 1 MMSCFD CLUSTER II (MALUKU) CLUSTER I (PAPUA) Pembangkit 138M

11 VIRTUAL PIPELINE CLUSTER CONCEPT CLUSTER II (MALUKU) Pembangkit 130 MMSCFD [875MW] Smelter 100 MMSFD Industri 55 MMSCFD Rumah Tangga 1 MMSCFD CLUSTER II (MALUKU) CLUSTER I (PAPUA) Pembangkit 138M MSCFD [630 MW] Industri 288 MMSCFD Rumah Tangga 1 MMSCFD CLUSTER IV (NATUNA) CLUSTER I (PAPUA) CLUSTER IV (NATUNA) Pembangkit 49 MMSCFD [495 MW] Rumah Tangga 1 MMSCFD CLUSTER III (NUSA TENGGARA) Pembangkit 183 MMSCFD [1750 MW] Smelter 100 MMSCFD Rumah Tangga 1 MMSCFD CLUSTER III (NUSA TENGGARA) Cluster I Cluster II Cluster III Cluster IV Papua dan Papua Barat Maluku, Maluku Utara, Sulawesi Utara, Sulawesi Tengah Nusa Tenggara Timur, Nusa Tenggara Barat, Sulawesi Selatan Natuna dan Kalimantan Barat 11 11

CLUSTER I (PAPUA) Sorong Frequency : 2 x 2 weeks Travel : 700 km Frequency : 2 x 2 weeks Travel : 1,600 km Jayapura Total Pembangkit : 11 (250 MW) Gas Demand : 50 MMSCFD Isotank : 90 Iso/ 2 weeks

12 CLUSTER I (PAPUA) Sorong Frequency : 2 x 2 weeks Travel : 700 km Frequency : 2 x 2 weeks Travel : 1,600 km Jayapura Total Pembangkit : 11 (250 MW) Gas Demand : 50 MMSCFD Isotank : 90 Iso/ 2 weeks Jayapura Sorong Total Pembangkit : 9 (200 MW) Gas Demand : 46 MMSCFD Isotank : 144 Iso/ 2 weeks Total Distance : 2,200 km Frequency : 1 x 2 weeks Travel : 1,000 km Timika Timika Pembangkit : 11 (180 MW) Gas Demand : 41 MMSCFD Isotank : 180 Iso/ 2 weeks Frequency : 1 x 2 weeks Travel : 1,600 km Pembangkit 31 Lokasi FSRU/FSU/FRU 3 Lokasi Land Based Regas 8 Lokasi Iso Tank Regas System 8 Lokasi Rencana Pembangkit Kebutuhan Gas 630 MW 138 MMSCFD FSU Liquefaction Plant Secondary Hub/Land based Storage Smelter Land based Regas Terminal LNG Iso tank Regas System FSRU PLTGU/MGU PLTG/MG MPP 12 Small Vessel Route 12 Isotank Barge Route

CLUSTER II (MALUKU) Manado Pembangkit : 3 (450 MW) Gas Demand : 46 MMSCFD Isotank : N/A Manado Maba Pembangkit : 12 (225 MW) Gas Demand : 147 MMSCFD Smelter : 1 Plant (100 MMSCFD) Isotank : 198 EA /

13 CLUSTER II (MALUKU) Manado Pembangkit : 3 (450 MW) Gas Demand : 46 MMSCFD Isotank : N/A Manado Maba Pembangkit : 12 (225 MW) Gas Demand : 147 MMSCFD Smelter : 1 Plant (100 MMSCFD) Isotank : 198 EA / 2 weeks Maba Frequency : 1 x 2 weeks Travel : 580 km Frequency : 1 x 2 weeks Travel : 1, 000km Ambon Pembangkit : 9 Plant (200 MW) Gas Demand : 32 MMSCFD Isotank : 255 EA / 2 weeks Ambon Pembangkit 24 Location FSRU/FSU/FRU 3 Location Land Based Regas 5 Location Iso Tank Regas System 10 Location Rencana Pembangkit Kebutuhan Gas Kebutuhan Gas Smelter 875 MW 130 MMSCFD 100 MMSCFD Liquefaction Plant Secondary Hub/Land based Storage Smelter Land based Regas Terminal LNG Iso tank Regas System FSRU PLTGU/MGU PLTG/MG MPP 13 Small Vessel Route 13 Isotank Barge Route

CLUSTER III (NUSA TENGGARA) Makassar Pembangkit : 2 (900 MW) Gas Demand : 36 MMSCFD Isotank : N/A Pomala Frequency : 2 x 2 weeks Travel : 620 km Makassar Pomala Pembangkit : 8 (145 MW) Gas Demand :

14 CLUSTER III (NUSA TENGGARA) Makassar Pembangkit : 2 (900 MW) Gas Demand : 36 MMSCFD Isotank : N/A Pomala Frequency : 2 x 2 weeks Travel : 620 km Makassar Pomala Pembangkit : 8 (145 MW) Gas Demand : 34 MMSCFD Smelter : 1 Plant (100 MMSCFD) Isotank : 126 Iso/ 2 weeks Lombok Lombok Pembangkit : 10 (490 MW) Gas Demand : 79.5 MMSCFD Isotank : N/A Frequency : 4 x 2 weeks Travel : 1,400 km Frequency : 2 x 2 weeks Travel : 750 km Kupang Kupang Pembangkit : 10 (215 MW) Gas Demand : 34 MMSCFD Isotank : 162 Iso/ 2 weeks Pembangkit 30 Location FSRU/FSU/FRU 4 Location Land Based Regas 12 Location Iso Tank Regas System 7 Location Rencana Pembangkit Kebutuhan Gas Kebutuhan Gas Smelter 1,750 MW 183 MMSCFD 100 MMSCFD Liquefaction Plant Secondary Hub/Land based Storage Smelter Land based Regas Terminal LNG Iso tank Regas System FSRU PLTGU/MGU PLTG/MG MPP 14 Small Vessel Route 14 Isotank Barge Route

CLUSTER IV (NATUNA) Frequency : 1 x 2 weeks Travel : 475 km Pontianak Pontianak Pembangkit : 5 (495 MW) Gas Demand : 49 MMSCFD Pembangkit 5 Location FSRU/FSU/FRU 1 Location Land Based Regas 1

15 CLUSTER IV (NATUNA) Frequency : 1 x 2 weeks Travel : 475 km Pontianak Pontianak Pembangkit : 5 (495 MW) Gas Demand : 49 MMSCFD Pembangkit 5 Location FSRU/FSU/FRU 1 Location Land Based Regas 1 Location Iso Tank Regas System - Location Rencana Pembangkit Kebutuhan Gas 495 MW 49 MMSCFD Liquefaction Plant Secondary Hub/Land based Storage Smelter Land based Regas Terminal LNG Iso tank Regas System FSRU PLTGU/MGU PLTG/MG MPP 15 Small Vessel Route 15 Isotank Barge Route

LNG for Marine Transportation Based on Indonesian Regulation* (referring to Marine Safety Committee 95, International Marine Organization): Sulphur Content for marine fuel must not

Total 36,909 Existing Ports in Indonesia Commercial Ports 112 Non-Commercial Ports 1,129 Special Purpose Terminals 1,045 Total 2,289 LNG for Marine Potential Commercial Ports

16 LNG for Marine Transportation Based on Indonesian Regulation* (referring to Marine Safety Committee 95, International Marine Organization): Sulphur Content for marine fuel must not exceed 3,5% m/m** before January 1 st 2020 and 0,5% m/m after January 1 st 2020 LNG Fueled Ship Existing Ships in Indonesia Passenger Ship 535 Cargo Ship 20,346 Fishing Ship 16,028 Total 36,909 Existing Ports in Indonesia Commercial Ports 112 Non-Commercial Ports 1,129 Special Purpose Terminals 1,045 Total 2,289 LNG for Marine Potential Commercial Ports Commercial Shipping Route Pioneer Shipping Route *) Transportation Ministerial Regulation No. 29 / 2014 about Maritime Environment Pollution Prevention **) m/m: microgram/mililiter

GAS INFRASTRUCTURE ROADMAP 2016 2030 *) No.

17 GAS INFRASTRUCTURE ROADMAP *) No. URAIAN Period I Period II Period III Existing Open Access 3,665 6,153 6,153 6,215 6,776 7,390 9,604 12,580 Upstream Dedicated 4,110 4,123 4,123 4,123 4,123 4,123 4,123 4,123 1 Pipeline [KM] Downstream Dedicated 4, ,177 9,211 9,431 11,546 11,546 13,480 13,584 Own Use Liquefaction [UNIT] 3 4 Regasification [UNIT] CNG Application [UNIT] Large Plant Mini Plant FSRU Land based Inland Marine GAS FUELING STATIONS [UNITS] Distribution Network Area [AREA] CNG ,300 LNG LGV City Gas [CONNECTION] 197K 326K 608K 924 million million 1.5 million 3 million 5 million 8 LPG Plant [MTPA] 4,594 4,754 4,754 4,755 4,755 4, LPG Storage [MT] 486K 500K 510K 492K 530K 540K 620, ,000 *) cumulative total 17 17

Closing Remarks Supply & demand gap for natural gas will start in 2019 in which Indonesia will start importing gas. Until 2025, there will be surplus & deficit of LNG Cargo.

18 Closing Remarks Supply & demand gap for natural gas will start in 2019 in which Indonesia will start importing gas. Until 2025, there will be surplus & deficit of LNG Cargo. This calls for a strategy to manage supply and demand of LNG. The gas infrastructure roadmap until 2030 needs US$ 48.2 billion of investment. Virtual pipeline will supply gas using shipping routes in 4 clusters, in which key components for successful virtual pipeline implementation: State Owned Enterprise, PLN, experienced companies, & local content. Current challenge: formulating gas prices to stimulate economic growth. Acceleration of regulatory reform is currently under progress to increase investment attractiveness, simplify permitting processes & promote safety

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